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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Still a trace and the trace has dried up nothing left again second time today. 56f humidity 76% dewpoint 44f.
  2. Still a trace and the trace has dried up nothing left. Looking at radar nothing coming either from the west-southwest everything is well north and west from here.
  3. Today marks the first day in about 3 months I have even needed to look at the HRR Model for short range tracking of precipitation.
  4. Mostly Cloudy right now with an inversion layer temp is 51 degrees. The low last night was 34. We have fairly poor air quality, and it smells like a house fire out there right now.
  5. hopefully the rain we get next 24-36 hours will help. We just don't know yet though how much we actually get. I would say we get somewhere between 0.28-0.44" down here which would just about tie the amount the last time it rained here 0.38" on August 18th. We shall see how the precipitation distributes around the area, but it would not be surprising if we underperform.
  6. Looks to me more of the same we have seen over the past few years the pacific and the southeast ridge just dominate Mississippi east and we get relatively cool and wet at times.
  7. Not happening it will never make it also I am not sure it is moving any further west as well as it is right now. At one point about a week ago it was supposed to be up here in the Mid Atlantic tangled with a cold front that ship has sailed a long time ago as well.
  8. Next run of the gfs will be a hurricane coming up the East Coast rather than snow on the 18th to the 22nd we just don't know yet? Soon though?
  9. Next run will be a hurricane coming up the coast LOL. We just don't know yet LOL
  10. Any idea what the sea surface temperatures are under Rafael? it's just about in the Loop Current.
  11. Ummm how about 0.38" of rain since August 18th up here in Southern PA and oh yea today marks 40 days in a row without a trace here. Also, we have had about 6 record highs too. It's bad here!
  12. You mean Grand Cayman radar Cancun is about 400 miles wnw from this point.
  13. Do we have any officially reports the best I think we could do here in Media was a trace. I mean this dry period is dreadful and now we are set to add another 10 days to it with the only hope a storm along a front come Sunday, November 10th, but we know it is 9 days out and what can happen.... what could go wrong??
  14. Low this morning was 36 ZERO frost we can't even get that cars and grass dry the humidity was only 64% at 6:30 am crazy low with a dewpoint of 23 can't make this up. Crazy times!
  15. It's a once in 1,000-year drought! Now, what are the chances of a once in 1,000 winter! Something has to give!
  16. Low this morning 39f going on up to 59f Rain for October 0.00" Rain since August 18th 0.38 Looking forward maybe we can squeeze out a shower or two by Friday, November 1st??? If so, November would be off to a very wet start LOL.
  17. Guess it will be a battle between dry desert air and desert grounds vs. the lingering warmth of the nearby water ways. I am guessing the same will be up here in regard to the dry it's really bad we have streams literally disappearing that have been around for many years. While guidance shows middle / upper 30's do they factor in dry desert grounds (I suppose with dew points)?
  18. Up here we are dating back to 1874 in regards to the dryness. I am willing to bet it snowed in 1874?
  19. Ditto that here in SE Pa we are beyond -10". We have picked up 0.38" of rain since August 18th. Local reservoir here is down 12-15 feet. We have picked up zero not even a trace so far in October. I don't think I have ever remembered a time where I have seen 0.00" of rain without a trace here in my lifetime. PHL is about to break a dry streak without a trace a rain that dates back to 1874.
  20. Yes 1874 to be exact we are approaching that record and will smash it!!! Not sure where but someone said this is not unprecedented I am sorry, but I disagree this is in one word for this area in regard to this dry stretch abnormal! According to records this has not happened before a dry stretch like this. We still currently sit at 0.38" here in Media Delaware County since August 18th, 2024!
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