Kevin Reilly

15 runs and I’m interested lol

Yea right lol…. That set up is so flawed for snow. 1. No cold high up north 2. primary almost to western PA 3. 981 cruising near DCA ene way too close as warmer air floods off the Atlantic. 4. Oh look a Great Lakes low. 5. sun angle etc relative surface warmth. 6. 18z will be 66 and sunny with 25% humidity and west southwest winds gusting 30-35 with scattered fires.

We should start a thread looks like a 984 mb low in the Ohio Valley wind rain severe thunderstorms 2-3” of rain and 1-2’ of snow in northwest flank.

Are we still tracking the Joe Bastardi March 1993 type storm he said is possible or is that a no go?

Yea big dent in the drought here today 0.02”

100% it is rain and it will verify.

#12 is happening book it for this area lol

Good luck! Storm track way north and another storm track way south the only thing we see is wind and rain later. I cannot rule out a light 1” event on the grass down this way and 2-4” up your way. ways I see it were are done!

12.83” total here that’s all with 2 freezing rain events we sleet and severe thunderstorms 3 times with hail along with damaging winds up to 65-70 mph Presidents Day Weekend pretty active but precip meh. ACY got way more than 4-8” thru got more than that in one storm. it was like a split more north more south with little in the middle difluence the entire winter here bad kind of blocking lol.

Not here we barely cleared 2”

Much improved over the past few years.

Yea I’ve spent $745 on oil heat this season it too bad and right now I sit between half and quarter tank with a 240 gallon tank think I’m good to not get anymore oil until July or August

67 and sunny that day.

Another issue I’m seeing split flow jet lifting north into Canada precipitation further north jet well south leaving us high and dry with a passing shower or 2 every 4-6 days it’s a drought pattern to boot.

This pattern that we are in doesn’t even suggest that a March 8th to 14th 1993 type storm is even remotely possible. March 1993 was a triple phased storm with the mother load of Arctic Air heading to the central Gulf of Mexico …. Right now, and into next two weeks I’m seeing an untimed split flow with zero phasing systems pretty far apart maybe well east there can be a phase but not here right now. Also, over time we are progressively getting into more and more of a westerly to west southwesterly flow of relatively milder air over time. This is all Bastardi ratings nonsense that happens every year to get the last gasp of ratings for the pay check.

This pattern that we are in doesn’t even suggest that a March 8th to 14th 1993 type storm is even remotely possible. March 1993 was a triple phased storm with the mother load of Arctic Air heading to the central Gulf of Mexico …. Right now and into next two weeks I’m seeing an untimed split flow with zero phasing systems pretty far apart maybe well east there can be a phase but not here right now.

Altoona too I check and it seems they haven’t had snow on the ground for about 4 days dating back to Christmas.

2%-3% Chance of an asteroid strike that year too.

Delco split here just like thunderstorms in the summer band northeast and another southwest. 2-4 flakes falling here 0.4” today! Yes!! Zippo here from last two bands stuck right down the middle in dry air! 12.88”

You’ve been Nam ed!!

Umm if that happens down here Springton Reservoir will be pretty much empty.

Looks like about another 35 minutes a burst then done at least everything is white but yea the dam drought rages on here in Delaware County it’s going to get bad with the increasing sun angle as we head towards March April and May in the back of my mind is that April and May are wetter months but will they produce is a big question.

22f light pixe dust all surfaces roads covered another 0.01” nice 12.86

Sun has set long ago at least here.

Partly cloudy flurries 22f Total snow 0.2” with 1-2” snow drifts Total snow for the year 12.85” you could make out the sun adding instability to the atmosphere drumming up heavy snow squalls that lasted for 5-10 minutes each with wind gusting 30-35. On the drive dry nothing / white 1” then nothing again as I hit I-476 Blue Route along the Baltimore Pike Corridor through Delaware County. Did you know at one point Baltimore Pike was known as the Delaware County Turnpike.