Jump to content

Kevin Reilly

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,935

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    brighter blue south of DCA is fronto forcing… north of DCA is likely your overrunning which gfs always has a hard time with. I suppose subsidence could be an issue between bands but that like the other things noted above is now casting stuff.
  2. Kevin Reilly
    It’s all keeping it very interesting at least. Let’s just say this wasn’t really happening lately.
  3. Kevin Reilly
    Yep liquid available
  4. Kevin Reilly
    18z Nam changes
  5. Kevin Reilly
    confluence is clearly up here weakening and leaving stage right to my NNE over to Long Beach Island NJ.... The winds here in Media Delaware County were gusting past 40 mph about an hour ago and now have dramatically diminished.
  6. Kevin Reilly
    HRRR the “Farmers Almanac” does have support from the NBM and SREF lol FWIW
  7. Kevin Reilly
    Now that's funny!!
  8. Kevin Reilly
    Very happy!!! I am so glad that DT put that 3" snowfall map out for Delaware County! Thank you!
  9. Kevin Reilly
    I sure hope the other models follow suit! Let's do this!!! The north trend has commenced, and the confluence is leaving Quakertown to Langhorne, PA to Long Beach Island NJ off to the NE.
  10. Kevin Reilly
    I am sure it shows 1-3" down here in Delaware County which at this time will not be far off outside of cold snow ratios that we don't know about yet.
  11. Kevin Reilly
    Currently 31f Looks like on the water vapor map the confluence is now slowly pulling away to the northeast. Looks like the back edge of that very strong confluence is lifting ne in a line from Pottstown over to say Langhorne, PA. I will notice here that the winds have died down dramatically here in Media last 30 minutes or so we are no longer getting those strong gusts past 30-35 mph now.
  12. Kevin Reilly
    Damn confluence!
  13. Kevin Reilly
    Currently 32f been holding steady at 32f for some time now. Episodes of sun and clouds with passing snow showers quite windy too gusting to 35-40 mph at times (dam confluence!) Snowfall today: Trace Total Snowfall Year: 1.88"
  14. Kevin Reilly
    Could it be because the air is drier and colder that the storm is running into?
  15. Kevin Reilly
    Hmmm how about those higher ratios in southern PA over to southeast PA with .30" liquid I would think 4-6" of snow.
  16. Kevin Reilly
    12z gfs I would say down here in Delaware County looks like a 4-6” event not 100% sure what ratios will do but it’s probably in the teens and snowing! We take! Thoughts?
  17. Kevin Reilly
    Only problem it's on an island by itself for now.
  18. Kevin Reilly
    Currently 31f Cloudy with snow flurries flying: Looks like a pretty good snow shower moving rapidly southeast on the back side of our blocking low pressure that needs to leave like now in order to get out of the way for Monday if we want appreciable snow. Total Snowfall in Media This snow season: 1.88"
  19. Kevin Reilly
    I mean this thing is just getting crushed south. Hope this confluence helps us with the big one later!!
  20. Kevin Reilly
  21. Kevin Reilly
    That's what happens when you train a great network of trained NWS spotters.
  22. Kevin Reilly
    To me isn’t this what the gfs and other models showing lobe up north moving further away. I really have a tough time trusting 18z runs there not called off runs for nothing. I’ll be patient until 0z to see real lasting changes or trends as I wave good bye to this little pesky storm stage right and get outta the way of the more important storm on Monday.
  23. Kevin Reilly
    30f currently dew point 21f wind NNE 7 mph Total Snow: Coating 0.35" or so underwhelming You can see the low developing to our SE rapidly moving ENE and away....>>>>> That's it leave get out of the way get outta here for and out of the way for our Monday storm.
  24. Kevin Reilly
    You forgot one where the best snow ratios set up in the coldest air on the northern side of the precipitation field.
  25. Kevin Reilly
    Actually, those higher amounts in DCA Baltimore and across Delaware into South Jersey very well could be that warm nose aloft causing sleet.
×
×
  • Create New...