
sussexcountyobs
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Everything posted by sussexcountyobs
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I was scratching my head about that also?
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For the interior, we need a 40-50 mile jog northwest.
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Problem is that upper level low in the north Atlantic. Models are picking up on its southwest arm moving further south and west. Hence our storm will be forced to form further south and go east.
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Everyone prays for blocking. Well you got it all January. How'd that work out?
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This has fish storm for heaviest precip written all over it.
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True. But what does that have to do with precip types during a storm? I can see urban development and heat island effect keeping near ground surface temps warmer on a cold clear night. But it will have no effect during a coastal storm. Maybe on accumulation, but not on what's falling from the sky.
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Mt. Holly .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Low pressure will track through the Ohio Valley Sunday and it will transfer its energy to a coastal low Sunday night into Monday. The lows origin will be from the Pacific Ocean, and it will tap into moisture from the Gulf of Mexico as well as the Atlantic Ocean. With high pressure to the north, this provides a good setup for a winter storm to affect the area. Also, the coastal low will likely be slow to move once it does develop near the Delmarva and that is due to blocking high pressure to the north. Therefore, a prolonged period of wintry precipitation is possible for at least portions of the area. Exact details are still uncertain at this time, but it does appear that snow will overspread the area ahead of the primary low Sunday from southwest to northeast. Accumulating snow is likely for most areas during this time. Warmer air will begin to work its way in from the Atlantic Ocean, likely causing snow to mix with and even change to rain Sunday afternoon into Sunday night across the Delmarva into southern New Jersey. The rain/snow line will approach I-95 later Sunday night into Monday, which adds some uncertainty to the forecast in regards to how much accumulation there will be. Coastal low pressure will remain near the Delmarva Coast Monday through Monday night before slowly moving off to the east Tuesday. A prolonged period of wintry precipitation is likely to continue Monday and Monday night, especially near and north of Interstate 95. Rain or rain changing to snow is more likely farther south into southern Jersey and the Delmarva. Significant snow accumulations are possible, especially for areas where snow does not mix with or change to rain. Snow may continue Tuesday and Tuesday evening, but with the low slowly departing it does appear that precipitation rates will decrease. It seems like as of now, Mt. Holly does not see the low hugging the coast and moving north or northeast. But, east, from the Delmarva.
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Not liking these south trends at all on the models today.
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So again all knowledgeable one. As of tonight, what's your forecast for this Sunday thru Tuesday?
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So, what's your forecast for the next event?
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I didn't say it was crazy, wrong, right, or a sound forecast at this point. I just stated what the guy said.
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I was getting a coffee in Dunkin Donuts, and it was on their TV. LOL
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FWIW Ijust saw Lee Goldberg on tv. He said theres possibility of a decent snow, but right now he's expecting just on and off snow and rain showers for Monday.
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Light accumulating snow continues. 1" otg. Temp hovering between 27.5 and 27.7. Will not measure again till early tomorrow morning.
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Steady light to occasionally moderate bursts of snow . 28° Plow just came by. Measured .9"
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Snow has started to pick up a bit in last 10 minutes. We should reach an inch I would think. Lol
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Approaching .8" here in Vernon @ elevation of 1217' with very light snow falling . Temp 27.5
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Yes. First and only measurement. Just got back home. Steady light snow falling now @ 28°