wasnow215

This is nuts-People make fun of weather people but no wonder they are so uncommitted many times

Or Bermuda!

CMC?

Man this hobby-should've taken up model airplanes lol.

Yes that too but look how he has lower totals south and east. That means he has to be thinking a NW correction with precip field, like he mentioned that last paragraph earlier.

Yeah looks like he's really thinking trends back nw

@chris624wxjust posted

DT map is out and bold lol.

Precip field expanded a tad vs 18z

It's good-slightly better than 18z and 18z was slightly better than 12z. So I'm gonna call it a GOOD TREND. Surface temps are saving the day right now. Cold storm

For this thread we aren't in "rug pull" mode. That's north of us at least currently lol

The one thing that was weird is someone said in the main thread about the ICON was "not only is it south but it's not even a storm." It's still throwing out 20" numbers to the south of us so that's not true.

This is the only thing that's important at this point. RGEM is NEVER right. Icon is Icon-I will focus on global and then mesos starting in 24 hours.

Translation is either Midnight or tomorrow lol

I mean y'all could just chuck it up and hope it's the Bears' defense.

Can't argue

They were hoping for a 1$ scratch off to pay $50,000. Lol- and yes 1000% correct. NAM at least is in the ballpark now but not in range til Tue am.

If anyone on here was rooting for NAM to stay as far north as it was at 12z -that would be a big L (loss) with mixing and a storm like ended up the other day. This will not be that.

It was WAY too north before. Made no sense with rest of guidance so yeah it's going to correct.

This is how I think we end up but 15:1 at times especially after dark Wednesday. (My birthday haha)

I know I had to re-read and deleted the post. Lol

You're right

Is it true tho? Has they're been a NW trend inside of 48 hours for different events? I haven't paid that close attention and also don't recall. He did also caution that just bc not seeing totals we saw from Euro yesterday anymore today, not to think it won't snow now. True for DC, but not for us.

DT just updated 2 hours ago: Thought this was interesting at the end: "Finally -- remember the seasonal Trend and this is important. So far this winter once we have moved within 48 Hours of an event the short range models on almost every storm has shifted precipitation shield and the heaviest snow further to the north and west. IF this trend were to continue it would mean that the heaviest snow areas would be pushed back towards Richmond and With more significant snow closer to Charlottesville Fredericksburg and into DC Southern metro area."

Just finally had some time to look through some posts. @RIC Airport this might end up being a good comp for this storm. Cold powder n high ratios.