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wasnow215

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Everything posted by wasnow215

  1. If you have an opportunity can you do the comparison thing again only if you can please
  2. NAM will come in range by Wednesday! Hahahaha
  3. Much better! I may need to adjust my 3 to 5 inch call lol.
  4. It's better than the last two runs isn't it? Can one of you amazing people do a comparison map lol?
  5. They are not totally discounting the models that are showing the more southern tracks. Nor should anyone.
  6. I thought the CMC looked better too -I've been kind of running around today and I have to work in a little bit but it looks like the CMC gave us some more frozen
  7. I think many of us will see 3 inches before it actually mixes. At least 2 inches for sure with that beginning thump. There's 2 to 3 inches right there. And then another one to 2 inches on the backside makes it 3 to 5 inches and that's my call
  8. Everything is still solid. Looks like the 12z NAM is coming in good
  9. Whole precip field expanded north and south. It's great
  10. 12/19-12/20 2009? Maybe a bit but man that was pure as far as I recall
  11. It's better again then the 18z-been better each run the past 24 hours!
  12. More not in good range for 3K than a fluke to me.
  13. In all fairness mesoscales don't come into range for another 24 hours. And I've NEVER found HRRR or SREF to be viable or accurate especially for complicated systems like these.
  14. Onto the Euro!! (Haha-see what I did there?)
  15. First time I've seen this on any NAM run for this storm. At our 72 a secondary low develops on the border of NC/Va.
  16. At hour 60 it's still mainly a mix on NAM. However it is colder. 540 line 30 miles south of where it was at 18z.
  17. Uh oh-I'm an Eagles and PSU fan. I'm from South Jersey originally. Go Birds! Lol
  18. It's just nice to have something to track again in between the holidays and the NFL playoffs lol.
  19. See I think those are solid maps! Especially Bernie's best bets lol. The bigger spread at this point makes way more sense and gives fair warning to people about what could happen. Even if we do get mostly freezing rain they should be showing the possibility of more than a quarter inch don't you think?
  20. This is a respectable forecast right here. It's a blend of the GFS and Euro really. I'm 4-8" if we get a little bit on the back end.
  21. I want to add one more thing. When you are just a little over or at 48 hours before an event and you are that conservative- why wouldn't most of the public who sees that forecast, just go about life as normal and be out on the roads and POSSIBLY risking lives? It's the same way I feel when they wait way too long to put up severe storm watches. I just feel sometimes it borders on being irresponsible. Ok I'm done lol.
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