wasnow215

Gfs ensembles out yet?

2-and one has been as consistent as any other. Also since January 1st forecasted high temperatures consistently have been busting by a few degrees too warm during events. And it ends up being colder than forecasted. That's been the pattern of the climo so far this winter season. How did you determine that we weren't gonna much of anything a few weeks ago when the models were saying we were going to? Don't you see that this is my whole point. I could see from what was going on that 3 to 5 a few weeks ago for many parts was very possible and that's what ended up happening. There are other times that it doesn't work out.

Tell me what was incorrect about what I wrote? And the first time the GFS showed any kind of accumulation like it did was 0Z last night. So how can anyone say it's caving if literally it just started showing this amount of snow 12 hours ago? Every event we had so far, and somebody else called you out not me, you said it wasn't going to snow, or we would have next to nothing. And you ended up being incorrect. So really it's not about me hoping it's more about people being negative against the science which is just funny to me. Will we get 3-5" like I see us getting before thermals cave? Who knows? But it's not something that is a wish based on the models at this point. It's at least 30-40% chance CURRENTLY.

Yes for sure -and lots of time to see how that HP actually plays out and how suppressed we end up

This is how you know you could be "debbing" About three or four weeks ago...."the euro is way to amped there's no way we're gonna get that much snow-GFS makes way more sense" Today-...."No way that GFS can be right it's gonna end up going towards the euro!"

Lol

It's funny because if it was the opposite way and all the snow from the GFS was in the DC area nobody will be saying that lol

I will say that GFS last night had more information put into it they were talking about that on the other thread. Dropsonde?

They've sort of been meeting in the 65/35 euro leans range this winter so I think 3 to 5 inches of snow as possible with sleet after

Gfs ensembles excellent!

I was terrified of Daniels heading in! He's already great and heading towards superstar!

One thing is for sure as a LONG time Eagles fan tracking serves as a good distraction haha. Need kickoff just to get here already!

I know it's one run but goodness-actually some wiggle room north for some down here. But I'll sign the dotted line right now for this!

Also I read in the other thread about how more info was just ingested into the GFS for this run. MAYBE this is a start of a trend???

Hahahahaha-you're right-it was nice to get a little good news down here for now lovers lol. Lots of time for all

https://weather.us/model-charts/standard/2025020700/virginia/snow-depth-in/20250212-0900z.html

Trying to post pic but too large-way south! Like south of RVA jackpots south!

And RVA!!

Eric Allen HOF!! WELL deserved!! Go Birds!!

0z GFS is SOUTH for next week!

Don't forget ice -also the euro model is the least frozen and snowy. But when it did snow a few weeks ago it had the most snow and people said they had too much but this time Euro is king again? Just funny the mindset.

What about my snow I got here? Haha-the one Sunday night into Monday and then the late Friday into Saturday within 6 days. It was terrific!

I was messing with you -I have had 7 1/2 inches of snow here in Southwestern Chesterfield Co. Lasted for WEEKS bc of the cold and the fact I live on the shady side of the street lol. it was the best January I've seen in this area in at least several years. How many double digit snowstorms has there been ever in the history of Richmond? 10? 12? Since records have been kept? I think we can score 2-4" of pure snow before sleet etc Tuesday. I'm looking forward to it.

Do you hate to say it???? Lol

Ensembles excellent