GaWx

Yesterday’s mean at KSAV ended up at 49. There was only one day colder than that back to February 16th! The high was only 57. There was only one high colder than that back to February 9th! This morning’s low of 37 was the coldest since March 14th.

I thought Fitzpatrick would have done much better as of the end of round 3 than +4, tied for 26th, and 13 shots out. OTOH, Lowry at -2 and tied for 4th played quite well overall. Also, McIlroy at +1 and tied for 9th is respectable. Winds will be much lighter today (lightest of the 4 rounds overall I expect) and temperatures will be much warmer. However, the greens should be the fastest of the four rounds, especially late in the round.

It was like a typical midwinter day here today with a high only near 57 after a low of 43 along with cloudy to PC most of the day and windiness. The 50 average is right at the normal for the coldest of January. I enjoyed watching the cold Masters on TV today!

Including Cink’s, there have been 17 holes in one on 16 over the last 19 tourneys or about once every year on average. Contrast that to only 7 over the prior 70 years or once every 10 years on average! Why such a drastic change the last 19 years? https://www.masters.com/en_US/scores/stats/historical/holesInOne.html It looks almost definite now that +5 will not make the cut as winds have dropped considerably and allowed for better scoring.

2017’s first round was one of the windiest Masters rounds ever with steady 20 mph winds with gusts to 40. Here are the 2017 first round results: https://thegolfnewsnet.com/golfnewsnetteam/2017/04/06/who-leads-2017-masters-first-round-leaderboard-104465/ The leader, Hoffmann, and McGirt, who was in 2nd, aren’t playing in the 2022 Masters. Westwood, who was in 3rd then, is at even right now and may be one to watch though he’s 48 years old. Of those who were tied for 4th then (at -1), Fitzpatrick is now doing the best with his -1 while Garcia is at even and Henley is at +1. Of those who were even then, Lowry and McIlroy are at +1. Looking at Fitzpatrick in 2022, he has finished in the top 12 in 5 of his last 7 tourneys. So, based on how he did in the very windy 1st round of 2017 as well as current scores, his 2022 performance over the last 7 tourneys, and the expected wind of the next 2 rounds, it wouldn’t surprise me if Fitzpatrick is leading or near the top after round 3.

The cold front just went through within the last 2 hours or so and winds have increased. It will remain windy through most of Saturday and mainly sunny the rest of the tourney. So, not only will greens dry out, the winds will make the course more difficult through round 3. Thus, I expect overall scoring to be worse than average and am looking for players who tend to do relatively well in tougher conditions to have a better chance. Back in the day, Tom Watson tended to do well with conditions like this. These days I'm not sure who best fits that category. Anyone know? I'm pulling for my hometown's Brian Harman to win.

In this area for this weekend, we have a legit shot at the coldest high and low since March 14th. So, it is going to be a chilly Masters with it being the coldest at least since 2018. Also, later today through Saturday are looking to be windy. So, I’m expecting average scoring to be worse than most years.

It won't quit: same general areas keep getting hit! NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 100 AM EDT THU APR 7 2022 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL LOWNDES COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... * UNTIL 130 AM EDT. * AT 100 AM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER LAKE PARK, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LAKE PARK, DASHER, I-75 AT EXIT 5 AND TWIN LAKES.

For that line: BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 931 PM EDT WED APR 6 2022 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF... BRYAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA... SCREVEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA... EVANS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA... LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA... BULLOCH COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA... EFFINGHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA... HAMPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA... ALLENDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA... JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA... * UNTIL 1015 PM EDT. * AT 931 PM EDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF SYLVANIA TO OLIVER TO NEAR EGYPT TO NEAR BAY TO NEAR GROVELAND, MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWERLINES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE: ALLENDALE, SYLVANIA, SPRINGFIELD, PEMBROKE, GODLEY STATION, LANIER, RINCON, PORT WENTWORTH, ESTILL, FAIRFAX, GUYTON, HILTONIA, GIFFORD, NEWINGTON AND FURMAN.

The Pembroke-Ellabell area of GA, which was hit by a strong tornado yesterday, is about to be hit by a rapidly moving strong line of thunderstorms.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 906 PM EDT WED APR 6 2022 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL BROOKS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... * UNTIL 945 PM EDT. * AT 906 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BOSTON, OR 11 MILES EAST OF THOMASVILLE, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... PAVO AROUND 915 PM EDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE MORVEN, BARNEY AND BARWICK.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 900 PM EDT WED APR 6 2022 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF... CHARLESTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA... BERKELEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA... * UNTIL 1000 PM EDT. * AT 900 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER LADSON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...MINOR HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS POSSIBLE. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWERLINES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE: NORTH CHARLESTON, MOUNT PLEASANT, GOOSE CREEK, HANAHAN, MCCLELLANVILLE, DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON, DANIEL ISLAND, NAVAL WEAPONS STATION CHARLESTON, I-26/I-526 INTERCHANGE, LADSON, WEST ASHLEY, ISLE OF PALMS, SULLIVAN'S ISLAND, AWENDAW AND JAMESTOWN. THIS WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES: I-26 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 209 AND 221. I-526 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 14 AND 31.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 840 PM EDT WED APR 6 2022 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL THOMAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... * UNTIL 930 PM EDT. * AT 840 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR THOMASVILLE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... BOSTON AROUND 855 PM EDT. PAVO AROUND 910 PM EDT.

Tornado approaching Swainsboro, GA!

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 822 PM EDT WED APR 6 2022 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL EMANUEL COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA... SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA... * UNTIL 845 PM EDT. * AT 822 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ADRIAN, OR 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WRIGHTSVILLE, MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SWAINSBORO, TWIN CITY, ADRIAN, STILLMORE, NUNEZ, KITE, COVENA, MODOC, NORRISTOWN, NORRISTOWN JUNCTION, DELLWOOD, MEEKS AND LEXSY.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 755 PM EDT WED APR 6 2022 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... LAURENS COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA... WESTERN TREUTLEN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA... SOUTH CENTRAL JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA... * UNTIL 830 PM EDT. * AT 755 PM EDT, AREAS OF ROTATION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WERE LOCATED NEAR DUDLEY AND NEAR CHESTER, MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... DUBLIN, EAST DUBLIN, DEXTER, DUDLEY, CADWELL, RENTZ, LOTHAIR, ORLAND, ROCKLEDGE, ORIANNA, BARNHILL, MINTER, HARLOW, BREWTON, LOWERY AND SCOTT. Edit: ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAURENS AND WESTERN TREUTLEN COUNTIES... AT 805 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR RENTZ, OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF DUBLIN, MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN LOWNDES COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... * UNTIL 745 PM EDT. * AT 715 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF QUITMAN, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOWNDES COUNTY, INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... DASHER, I-75 AT EXIT 5, I-75 AT EXIT 11, VALDOSTA REGIONAL AIRPORT, TWIN LAKES AND CLYATTVILLE. AT 728 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF I-75 AT EXIT 16, OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF QUITMAN, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. Edit to add: THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL LOWNDES COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... * UNTIL 830 PM EDT. * AT 739 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR I-75 AT EXIT 16, OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF VALDOSTA, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

From NWS: 0539 PM HAIL 1 SE MONCKS CORNER 33.19N 80.00W 04/06/2022 E1.75 INCH BERKELEY SC PUBLIC PUBLIC REPORTED HAIL AS LARGE AS GOLF BALLS AT A RESIDENCE ON DENNIS BLVD.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN BIG BEND OF FLORIDA... NORTHEASTERN LEON COUNTY IN BIG BEND OF FLORIDA... * UNTIL 600 PM EDT. * AT 529 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF TALLAHASSEE, MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

New tornado watch for SE GA/S SC til 11 PM. PS: The thread title needs to have April 6th added and probably should be pinned.

TW extended til 4:45 PM: TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN WILCOX COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA... SOUTHEASTERN DOOLY COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA... CRISP COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA... AT 402 PM EDT, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED OVER CORDELE, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

A tornado has apparently been seen in south central GA and is headed toward southside of Cordele. It is moving NE. From NWS, T.W. til 4 PM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CORDELE, LESLIE, DE SOTO, DESOTO, COBB, FORT EARLY, GEORGIA VETERANS MEMORIAL ST PK AND RAINES.

The McIntosh County, GA, 2008 tornado damage is still very evident looking at the trees along I-95 near mile marker 50, which is just north of the GA 251 exit. The damage there is nearly 1/2 mile wide! (2,100 feet). Here’s a link showing some of the awful damage: https://www.southeasternphotography.com/Journalism/EF4-Tornado-hits-McIntosh/ I’m thankful that I live in an area where violent tornadoes have only very rarely been within ~50 miles. This one in McIntosh County as well as yesterday’s in the Pembroke-Ellabell area are the only two I’m aware of off the top of my head. Of course, any tornado is dangerous. Our bigger concern is obviously hurricanes, which themselves have produced many tornadoes in the area.

This meteorological spring to date (March 1st-April 3rd) has averaged 4 F warmer than normal at RDU for means as well as for both highs and lows: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=rah

We’ve just completed a beautiful spring weekend and I look forward to still another this coming weekend! So far this spring has been top notch as far as delivering many days, especially during weekends, of near perfect weather for outdoors with mild to warm afternoons/evenings, sunny skies, low RH, and nice breezes. Overall temperatures have averaged slightly warmer than normal so far this met spring.