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GaWx

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  1. GaWx
    Thanks. But tomorrow is a busier day from the afternoon onward than Saturday I believe. Do you think he’s referring only to his airline when he said no cancellations?
  2. GaWx
    Thanks. Does that mean tomorrow PM could return to big delays at LGA like yesterday? I’m asking because my nephew has a 4PM flight leaving from there.
  3. GaWx
    LaGuardia for now is doing much better than 24 hours ago, when avg delays were nearly 3 hrs, as the avg delay now is <15 minutes. JFK avg delay is 50 minutes.
  4. GaWx
    Thanks. Ulster’s now at 17k out of ~100k customers vs Suffolk being at 10k with >6 times the # of customers! Ulster has almost half the outages in the entire state. https://poweroutage.us/area/county/833
  5. GaWx
    Kind of odd: Ulster Cty now has highest # and % of outages in NY with 11k/11%. Is this accurate? Neighboring counties are much lower. Suffolk is at 9k/1.4%. https://poweroutage.us/area/county/833
  6. GaWx
    Radar suggests several mainly dry hours coming in NYC.
  7. GaWx
    KSAV low of 51 is coldest this early in season since 1999.
  8. GaWx
    That 51 at KSAV is the earliest that cold since 1999!
  9. GaWx
    Delays are currently much shorter on avg vs last evening at LaGuardia, when they were nearing 3 hrs…maybe then will turn out to be the worst of it?? LaGuardia Airport (LGA) is currently reporting normal operations with general departure and arrival delays of 15 minutes or less, according to the FAA Airspace System Status. Arrival Delays: Airborne delays are 15 minutes or less. Departure Delays: Gate hold and taxi delays are lasting 15 minutes or less. Weather/Status: Previous weather-related ground delays from earlier in the weekend have cleared, and current FAA status shows normal conditions.
  10. GaWx
    Suffolk is still by far leading the outages in the area with 10K although that’s still not too bad on a % basis (1.6%). Nassau has 5.5K/1.2%. Total in NY state: 23K NJ: 31K with highest # in Ocean Cty at 8K (2.5%) although highest % in NW NJ’s Warren Cty (5.4%) CT: 14K with highest % of 4% in E CT
  11. GaWx
    Suffolk outages have increased from ~3K (0.5%) to ~5K (0.8%) within the last hour.
  12. GaWx
    Due to WEATHER / WIND, there is a Traffic Management Program in effect for traffic arriving La Guardia Airport, New York, NY (LGA). This is causing some arriving flights to be delayed an average of 2 hours and 42 minutes.
  13. GaWx
    Power outages are highest in Suffolk as a %, but even there that’s only at 0.5%.
  14. GaWx
    Thank you! I had a brain malfunction! I edited my original post to point to the error and correction of dates. I apologize for my mistake. The new map for Oct 5-11 has a slightly stronger cold signal than yesterday’s: H5: @mitchnick
  15. GaWx
    I’m not saying the Euro is necessarily going to be right. But I’m passing this along because it’s objectively determined and easily available to the wx community. So fwiw: The new Euro ensemble (12Z) maintains the 90-100% chance that the 0Z and 6Z had for a tropical storm to form from this: The run from just 24 hrs earlier for the same period had only just over 70% for the chance:
  16. GaWx
    I’ve only rarely seen these very comfy conditions here this early in autumn, especially in recent decades: SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS SAVANNAH ARPT MOSUNNY 75 53 46 N10 30.02F HUNTER AAF SUNNY 75 53 45 N5 29.98F
  17. GaWx
    12Z Euro maps have a 500 mb temperature max of -5C near the center mainly on the eastside.
  18. GaWx
    A beast:
  19. GaWx
    What about airport service on Sun/Mon at the 3 major NYC area airports? How did past comparable storms affect service?
  20. GaWx
    Thanks. 1. I understand and perhaps this will bust too cool. We’ll see. 2. Let’s see if today’s update is warmer. 2. You may have not seen my edit: “Keep in mind that this was based on yesterday’s 0Z Euro ens (the latest Euro Weeklies output available til after 4PM EDT today).”
  21. GaWx
    John, Keep in mind that this was based on yesterday’s 0Z Euro ens (the latest Euro Weeklies output available til after 4PM EDT today), the 2nd shade of blue is -1 to -3C (so much of it for 9/28-10/3 could conceivably be closer to the -1C boundary), and this product uses a warmer climo base than most, the last 20 years: re-forecasts are derived by re-running an 11-member ensemble (1 control and 10 perturbed members) using the same calendar start date for each of the last 20 years. *Edited
  22. GaWx
    It’s looking pretty chilly in the E 1/2 of the U.S. next week (this is for Sep 28th-Oct 4th): *Edited to correct date to Oct 4th ———— **Edit #2 4:35PM EDT Sep 25th: As was pointed out to me later ITT, I made a mistake as the map was actually for Oct 5-11, not Sep 28th-Oct 4th:
  23. GaWx
    The MJO continues to avoid both the IO and the MC for a duration unlike any in recorded history:
  24. GaWx
  25. GaWx
    The 0Z Euro ens increased the chance of “tropical cyclone activity” off the Mid-Atlantic coast during the weekend to its highest yet of any run and the highest possible, >90%! Yesterday it wasn’t as high for the weekend as it was peaking at ~80%.
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