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GaWx

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About GaWx

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KSAV
  • Gender
    Not Telling
  • Location:
    SAV, GA
  • Interests
    weather stats, sports, walking/hiking

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  1. GaWx
    Suffolk outages have increased from ~3K (0.5%) to ~5K (0.8%) within the last hour.
  2. GaWx
    Due to WEATHER / WIND, there is a Traffic Management Program in effect for traffic arriving La Guardia Airport, New York, NY (LGA). This is causing some arriving flights to be delayed an average of 2 hours and 42 minutes.
  3. GaWx
    Power outages are highest in Suffolk as a %, but even there that’s only at 0.5%.
  4. GaWx
    Thank you! I had a brain malfunction! I edited my original post to point to the error and correction of dates. I apologize for my mistake. The new map for Oct 5-11 has a slightly stronger cold signal than yesterday’s: H5: @mitchnick
  5. GaWx
    I’m not saying the Euro is necessarily going to be right. But I’m passing this along because it’s objectively determined and easily available to the wx community. So fwiw: The new Euro ensemble (12Z) maintains the 90-100% chance that the 0Z and 6Z had for a tropical storm to form from this: The run from just 24 hrs earlier for the same period had only just over 70% for the chance:
  6. GaWx
    I’ve only rarely seen these very comfy conditions here this early in autumn, especially in recent decades: SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS SAVANNAH ARPT MOSUNNY 75 53 46 N10 30.02F HUNTER AAF SUNNY 75 53 45 N5 29.98F
  7. GaWx
    12Z Euro maps have a 500 mb temperature max of -5C near the center mainly on the eastside.
  8. GaWx
    A beast:
  9. GaWx
    What about airport service on Sun/Mon at the 3 major NYC area airports? How did past comparable storms affect service?
  10. GaWx
    Thanks. 1. I understand and perhaps this will bust too cool. We’ll see. 2. Let’s see if today’s update is warmer. 2. You may have not seen my edit: “Keep in mind that this was based on yesterday’s 0Z Euro ens (the latest Euro Weeklies output available til after 4PM EDT today).”
  11. GaWx
    John, Keep in mind that this was based on yesterday’s 0Z Euro ens (the latest Euro Weeklies output available til after 4PM EDT today), the 2nd shade of blue is -1 to -3C (so much of it for 9/28-10/3 could conceivably be closer to the -1C boundary), and this product uses a warmer climo base than most, the last 20 years: re-forecasts are derived by re-running an 11-member ensemble (1 control and 10 perturbed members) using the same calendar start date for each of the last 20 years. *Edited
  12. GaWx
    It’s looking pretty chilly in the E 1/2 of the U.S. next week (this is for Sep 28th-Oct 4th): *Edited to correct date to Oct 4th ———— **Edit #2 4:35PM EDT Sep 25th: As was pointed out to me later ITT, I made a mistake as the map was actually for Oct 5-11, not Sep 28th-Oct 4th:
  13. GaWx
    The MJO continues to avoid both the IO and the MC for a duration unlike any in recorded history:
  14. GaWx
  15. GaWx
    The 0Z Euro ens increased the chance of “tropical cyclone activity” off the Mid-Atlantic coast during the weekend to its highest yet of any run and the highest possible, >90%! Yesterday it wasn’t as high for the weekend as it was peaking at ~80%.
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