GaWx

March following Nina winter by phase (based on Baltimore): remember these are just averages 1: +1.0 (near Niña Mar climo) 2: -0.1 3: +1.8 4: +0.3 5: +2.1 (2nd warmest) 6: +2.6 (warmest)(also warmest in Feb) 7: -1.7 (coldest) 8: -0.7 (2nd coldest) AVG: +0.7 for all phases Phase 6 breakdown: MB 3 B 1 N 7 A 4 MA 5

That’s depending on where you are of course. It looks like the heaviest has shifted southward into the Deep South leading to an increase there, where they also desperately need rain. Looking way on down the road toward next fall/winter, the highly likely El Niño is encouraging for rainfall prospects for much of the SE then.

I’m even more speechless than yesterday! For Mar 7th, the mean has plunged from +20 with only 2% reversing around then a mere 5 runs ago to -11 and 100% reversing on today’s!! Again, I’ve never seen anything anywhere close to this much run to run drop before. Despite this, the EW run for the 3 weeks near and after Mar 7th is even milder than yesterday!

More on the PNA that was -1.2 for this blizzard: 20 NYC 5”+ snows for Feb -ENSO since 1950: PNA 2/1/57 -1.2 2/7/67 +0.7 2/19/72 -0.5 2/23-4/72 -0.5 2/8/74 -0.2 2/12/75 -0.8 2/7/79 -1.1 2/19/79 -0.1 2/5-6/85 -0.8 2/2-3/96 +0.7 2/16/96 -0.4 2/22/01 +0.4 2/12/06 +1.7 2/22/08 +0.7 2/8-9/13 +0.4 2/3/14 -1.1 2/13-14/14 -1.0 2/9/17 +0.7 2/1/21 0.0 2/22-23/26 -1.2 —————— Median -0.2 Mean -0.2 -So, this latest one tied with 2/1/1957 for the lowest PNA for a Feb -ENSO NYC 5”+ snowstorm since 1950. -Note that DC, which hasn’t done as well as NYC with a -PNA for a similar category of storms, didn’t reach the 3”+ criteria that I use for them. @donsutherland1

2/22-3 NE Blizzard: indices 1. PNA -1.2 2. AO +0.2 (neutral) 3. NAO +1.1 4-5. EPO/WPO: strongly negative (waiting on verification) 6. MJO inside circle both days 2/22: phase 3 2/23: either phase 3 or phase 2 (near border and thus waiting on verification) 7. AAM: -0.9 (moderate La Niñaish) 8. SOI: +6 9. PDO: negative 10. QBO (30 mb): strongly negative

KSAV (official SAV station at the more inland airport) had a solidly cold 28 low (16 BN) and a 5 hour long freeze, not too common this late in the winter. The daily record low is 25. That’s quite the impressive turnaround compared to the record high (86) and high low (65) set just 3 days ago! KSVN had a low of 27. Today’s high will be a bit warmer but still only ~mid 50s, which is well below the normal of 67. This will be another great day for a walk.

If by “horrible” you mean cool spring in the E US, good! Bring it on as I love it way down here! Actually cool late Mar/early April here means highs mainly 60-75 and lows 40-50 along with nice low dewpoints for great outdoor wx.

..RECORD DAILY LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT ASHEVILLE THE HIGH TEMPERATURE WAS ONLY 28 DEGREES MONDAY, FEBRUARY 23 AT THE ASHEVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD LOW MAXIMUM OF 29 DEGREES, SET IN 1989. RECORDS FOR THE ASHEVILLE AREA GO BACK TO 1869.

..RECORD DAILY LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT ASHEVILLE THE HIGH TEMPERATURE WAS ONLY 28 DEGREES MONDAY, FEBRUARY 23 AT THE ASHEVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD LOW MAXIMUM OF 29 DEGREES, SET IN 1989. RECORDS FOR THE ASHEVILLE AREA GO BACK TO 1869.

This is the most rapid run to run 10 mb mean wind drop to a reversal I’ve ever seen! Just 4 days ago on the 2/19 run, March 7 had mean winds way up near climo of +20 m/s and only 2 of 100 members reversing around that date: On today’s, which you posted, it has March 7th way down to -2 m/s and ~75% of members reversing!! Unfortunately though, today’s weeklies continue to not show any significant long lasting widespread cold in mid to late March. Hoping that changes/keep hope alive!

102 PM SNOW 1 SE BATTERY PARK 40.70N 74.00W 02/23/2026 M17.0 INCH KINGS (Brooklyn)

0130 PM SNOW WASHINGTON HEIGHTS 40.85N 73.93W 02/23/2026 M22.1 INCH NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)

100 PM SNOW UPTON (NWS OFFICE) 40.87N 72.86W 02/23/2026 M19.8 INCH SUFFOLK

~1.75” liquid equivalent C Park as of 1PM

~1.65” of liquid equivalent has fallen at NYC/C Park as of 11AM and it was still coming down! This storm is nearly beyond description. This is snow deserving gold medal status at NYC as it is their biggest snow in a decade. More snow has fallen there since yesterday than even some of the Olympic ski areas this entire month!