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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. @wncsnowthats def what it is man. Trough axis orientation at 60 is def westward and confluence isn’t as strong resulting in better waa to the north. You can see it built up more over western KY and MO
  2. Odd part is moisture is a good bit north of 18z. Confluence in the northeast also not as great this go around. The back end energy seems to want to affect the storm this go around. A lot of different moving parts for sure here. One thing I see and notice now is the energy up on the Dakota/Canada border seems to be taller and a tad more displaced westward, which I guess in theory would affect the moisture transport, along with a tick less confluence up north.
  3. Wow! I feel like for once this is going the right way for I-40, I-20 and I-85. Wrong way for north of 40 and up 81.
  4. Anyone got the 0z SREF’s? Used to be a good precursor as to what the Nam was going to do.
  5. My lord couldn’t imagine it would be worse than the 18z control. That was brutal for our area.
  6. 18z GFS is a beat down for WNC foothills/mountains and up into SVA.
  7. Wanted to get an idea why or how 18z Nam and GFS are differing with evolution etc. Found that by hour 36 the orientation of the energy out west is taller. This is what allowed the system to gain some latitude with Nam at 18z. GFS thus far is flatter. We will see how it translates down stream.
  8. THIS!!! On Sunday I was at 36 degrees with a 4 dew point. Once snow became moderate my temp dropped down to 28. Amazing what evap cooling can do.
  9. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=us&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2025010718&fh=54 Nam looks ready to go ape sh*t at 60!
  10. Nam out to 48 already. Going back toward the global models regarding earlier phasing. Looks more like it’s 6z run compared to 12z. Should help with precip on north side of storm.
  11. That’s pretty wild! I honestly didnt even know they were releasing it as soon as they have.
  12. Guys in the MA forum saying it has performed very well. Would be a nice hit if that’s the case for many here.
  13. Ugh.. was really hoping euro was going to come around. Not good to see that. For what it’s worth, euro actually came around to the gfs last storm and compromised. Hopefully we can get that to happen again.
  14. Ukie sucked last storm. Was the furthest south than any other model. I wouldn’t overly stress about it. Euro shows this then maybe we can start to scratch our heads.
  15. The one thing I’ll say I like A LOT about 12Z thus far is precipitation expansion on the northwest side of the storm minus the NAM’s depiction. Feel like that bodes well as we get closer to the event.
  16. We took one for the team the other night so you all could get fire hosed. My road looks like I live in northwest Russia right now. Would like some nice powder.
  17. Pretty significant differences between Canadian and GFS. Canadian way more neutral tilted to almost negative at 66.
  18. 12z Canadian looks a lot more phase happy earlier on than 12z GFS lets see what happens in the upcoming frames.
  19. Canadian earlier on looks more phase happy than the GFS same time. Let’s see where it goes.
  20. We just went thru one hell of a sleet and ice storm here the other night. While it’s nice to look at it was a pain in the rear end to clean up before Siberia temperatures came in last night I love winter weather so I can totally understand where you’re coming from.
  21. I’ll take it! Best run so far for southern areas. Now we need Euro onboard. Hopefully you all can get in on the action as trends happen.
  22. @BornAgain13 12Z GFS NUKE! @Met1985 @wncsnow also great for you all!
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