Buddy1987
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Everything posted by Buddy1987
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Yea I have no clue what happened to it after the upgrade but I remember back to the days with the SREF’s when they were juiced up and the NAM was about to come out watch out! Now it is beyond paltry. Now with 2m temps and ice storms all day still
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Junk model lol. Globals are starting to converge on “something”. Ever since the nam was upgraded it produces paltry and meager precip amounts.
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2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Buddy1987 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
About a 6 hr timing difference with the vort digging more on the gfs. Both want to explode around hrs 60-66. Going to be mighty interesting what happens and what 12z euro wants to do. Imo 3/3 thus far with RGEM/GFS/CMC all showing something similar with Synoptics -
Had the cmc started to dig earlier like gfs maps wouldn’t be that far off. I think we’re onto something here. Tepidly excited
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Pretty decent difference between CMC and GFS at 54 hrs on 5h. That is what I’ll be watching next couple model runs. Really would love euro to come onboard at 12z
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Lmao! I remember (and you can call me crazy) RGEM scoring a win or two at least down this way last year. So far for my scoring purposes 12z trends are our friends. 2/2 between the RGEM and GFS. Euro on board at 12z may be sniffing something coming together. Gotta play this one positive
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Still plenty of time for Synoptics and precip field to adjust nicely. Just based on the 72hr map should be a nice shield over a good portion of us.
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First post in a long time. DEF more juiced at 60/66. Goods coming in on that look for someone.
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2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Buddy1987 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Canadians going all in on 12z lol -
Have been vacationing in Naples at my parents house since Friday. Some nasty storms traversing the area currently. Ton of lightning with these things. Only the beginning for the area. Have a flight out of Ft Lauderdale at noon tomorrow. Not feeling too good about the prospects of that flight.
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The CDO has been mighty impressive last couple hours watching it. Now some very cold cloud tops eastern side of the LLC. Interesting to see what transpires overnight.
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Stay safe man!
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That’s the one I’m looking at. Nasty hook about to hit pleasant garden (south/southeast of greensboro).
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
Buddy1987 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Still 31.5 here. Pretty decent accrual of ice up this way but what everyone has been alluding to throughout the morning here about half of what I expected. In all honesty probably pretty lucky because double this I don’t think we’d have power. Easily 1/3” of ice eyeballing it.- 970 replies
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Yea we cashed in on about 3 hours worth of precipitation as it cruised into WV all night. Good glaze and 1/2” of sleet or so. Disappointing to say the least. Congrats to those that got dumped on.
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
Buddy1987 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
28.8 and absolutely pouring down sleet outside. Roads covered and everything is a sheet of ice.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
Buddy1987 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Yea the models are horrid. There’s no sugarcoating that one. Woke up at 4am and the entire area was dry slotted. All the moisture was to our west. Now that band will pivot through and will essentially be the back end. We went from a solid 12-18 hour storm to a 6-8 hour event IMO.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
Buddy1987 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Man it looks like an ice skating rink. That’s impressive. That band hasn’t officially stretched this Far East northeast just yet but man it looks ferocious on my radar app I have. I can hear the sleet starting to pick up now tho as I type this.- 970 replies
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Exactly!! We’re wasting time down here because it’s actually snowing with no pingers currently. Disappointed in the splotchy ness so far.
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
Buddy1987 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Just for reference someone here yesterday and I can’t recall who was asking about sleet to liquid ratio. Based on NWS parameters 2:1/3:1 is the norm depending on the system. Been a while since I’ve seen that type of sleet accumulation. Tonight is kind of odd for up this far north. Not sure if I wake up to a sleet bomb or ice bomb. Really believe sleet may be the predominant type, at least for my immediate vicinity.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
Buddy1987 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Would be nice to have some precip form on the ATL/Greenville radars some. Trajectory is to our northwest for the forum as of right now but as southeast aid/lift/enhancement takes over should overcome. Precip over western GA very convective looking.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
Buddy1987 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Forecasted low here is 27. Would make sense for my specific area.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
Buddy1987 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
30.7/22.5 dropping quick now. Clear skies predominantly out there still. Could end up dropping under the forecasted temps.- 970 replies
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33.3/22.8 starting to moisten up some. Clear skies at the moment as well down this way.
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
Buddy1987 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Boy.. forecasted high of 39 today. Just got to 32.0 and 17.9 dew point. Also @HKY_WX I’m patiently waiting for that map you said you were going to post today. Haven’t seen one of your maps in awhile. Let’s me know you see this being a major player.- 970 replies
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