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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    That’s the one I’m looking at. Nasty hook about to hit pleasant garden (south/southeast of greensboro).
  2. Buddy1987
    Still 31.5 here. Pretty decent accrual of ice up this way but what everyone has been alluding to throughout the morning here about half of what I expected. In all honesty probably pretty lucky because double this I don’t think we’d have power. Easily 1/3” of ice eyeballing it.
  3. Buddy1987
    Yea we cashed in on about 3 hours worth of precipitation as it cruised into WV all night. Good glaze and 1/2” of sleet or so. Disappointing to say the least. Congrats to those that got dumped on.
  4. Buddy1987
    28.8 and absolutely pouring down sleet outside. Roads covered and everything is a sheet of ice.
  5. Buddy1987
    Yea the models are horrid. There’s no sugarcoating that one. Woke up at 4am and the entire area was dry slotted. All the moisture was to our west. Now that band will pivot through and will essentially be the back end. We went from a solid 12-18 hour storm to a 6-8 hour event IMO.
  6. Buddy1987
    Man it looks like an ice skating rink. That’s impressive. That band hasn’t officially stretched this Far East northeast just yet but man it looks ferocious on my radar app I have. I can hear the sleet starting to pick up now tho as I type this.
  7. Buddy1987
    Exactly!! We’re wasting time down here because it’s actually snowing with no pingers currently. Disappointed in the splotchy ness so far.
  8. Buddy1987
    Just for reference someone here yesterday and I can’t recall who was asking about sleet to liquid ratio. Based on NWS parameters 2:1/3:1 is the norm depending on the system. Been a while since I’ve seen that type of sleet accumulation. Tonight is kind of odd for up this far north. Not sure if I wake up to a sleet bomb or ice bomb. Really believe sleet may be the predominant type, at least for my immediate vicinity.
  9. Buddy1987
    Would be nice to have some precip form on the ATL/Greenville radars some. Trajectory is to our northwest for the forum as of right now but as southeast aid/lift/enhancement takes over should overcome. Precip over western GA very convective looking.
  10. Buddy1987
    Forecasted low here is 27. Would make sense for my specific area.
  11. Buddy1987
    30.7/22.5 dropping quick now. Clear skies predominantly out there still. Could end up dropping under the forecasted temps.
  12. Buddy1987
    33.3/22.8 starting to moisten up some. Clear skies at the moment as well down this way.
  13. Buddy1987
    Boy.. forecasted high of 39 today. Just got to 32.0 and 17.9 dew point. Also @HKY_WX I’m patiently waiting for that map you said you were going to post today. Haven’t seen one of your maps in awhile. Let’s me know you see this being a major player.
  14. Buddy1987
    Impressive in that Hickory goes from 35 to 31 and Charlotte from 40 to 34. Believe the trend is still materializing and we haven’t yet reached the final outcome.
  15. Buddy1987
    One thing I really love to see, unlike other storms where we’ve been completely borderline going into, is temp has dropped to 27 and dew is down to 16 here. Great indicator for the upcoming system.
  16. Buddy1987
    700 and 925 continue to cool however, which is a good sign and toward the right direction anyway.
  17. Buddy1987
    Boy if this comes to fruition even half of it I feel for people to my south. This again will be one hell of a sleet storm up this way if it pans out. Blacksburg had a good forecast discussion where it talks about fzra being able to accrue radially. So in theory if you got 1” you could only accrue 40% of that on the limbs etc.. would still be lights out but def concerning reading something like that. When I was younger we had a storm deliver .75” of fzra to our house in CT and were without power for over a week. Post storm was 50-60 mph winds. Thank god my father had a generator and a wood stove.
  18. Buddy1987
    I’ve had it at 12 in Connecticut. It was unbelievable what happened. Like a nuclear bomb exploded in the back woods.
  19. Buddy1987
    Gfs just did a bunch of us a non favor. Lot of fzra instead of sleet that run.
  20. Buddy1987
    I also believe this was issued prior to a majority of the 6z model guidance infused into the graphic out of Blacksburg.
  21. Buddy1987
    I think that’s a pretty broad stroke of the paint brush. Areas north of the NC/VA border if it does primarily end up being fzra over sleet could have a crippling lights out type event.
  22. Buddy1987
    Some of those sleet rates up this way are still incredible. I couldn’t imagine having like 3” of sleet on the ground. Would be nutso.
  23. Buddy1987
    @Jonathan @jjwxman what are you guys thinking? You both have been on the board for a good amount of time.
  24. Buddy1987
    GFS def the warmest model after looking at 2m’s from 54-66 but that is to be expected IMO anyhow.
  25. Buddy1987
    Other trend has been to not lack in the qpf dept regardless of which model you prefer!
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