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Berlin1926
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Everything posted by Berlin1926
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Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
Berlin1926 replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Roxboro: Triangle's Snow Capital. -
I may have missed this, but how was it possible for the NWS in Massachusetts never raised north central CT above WWA but towns there reported over 15"?
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Thank you for your hard work, Grit. Don't look back....keep doing what you're doing!
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Great site. Wondering how they managed to leave North Carolina (Raleigh or Charlotte) off their "local" options when they have Nashville, TN?
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I was genuinely surprised to see 7 - 13 for us as well. Consistency between Blacksburg and RAH is unusual. We are at the point where RNK, AKQ, and RAH meet. AKQ has 3- 5.
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So, if you live in Person, Granville, Vance, and Warren for example, snow totals will be determined by the state line. I don't disagree with the assessment, but the graphic needs work.
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From the talking heads on TV WX and the RAH NWS office, if you live east and south of Roxboro, it will be a cold rain. They appear to be about as entrenched in their forecast as the models appear to be saying they are wrong. It's like a battle of wills. P.S. Amazing posts from everyone here since starting earlier this week. Looking forward to the post-storm forensics!
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The "too cute" comment caught my attention too. I think RAH is taking the models with a grain of salt and, may, being/attempting to be "realistic". 12"+ before Xmas in north central NC is a little hard to believe, but I would expect more from the local NWS office than a snarky comment. If the snow models are wrong, explain why.
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RAH is lukewarm at best. Maybe a few inches along the VA border; zilch everywhere else. Are the model amounts typically this divorced from the local NWS office?
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Is it worth remembering that 2 days ago the path was Fran-like and trending right and while it's trending left now, it may still trend back and end up having a solution in the middle? I guess the answer is anything is possible given the circumstances. I also recall hearing that the Gulf system could have an impact on Florence's steering. Any thoughts on that?
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If the steering mechanisms are so weak, why does Florence get as far as the coast and then looks like a billard ball hitting the edge of the table. Is there something magic about the coast or are the models struggling with happens with the hurricane once it's made landfall.
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Not sure if this has been posted yet...?
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Wolf...
The southern end of Long Lake is known as Van Buren Lake by locals. My family has owned camps at that end of the lake for 100+ years. Are you on the snowmobile trails? If you go through Grand Isle and Van Buren you'll be crossing my family's lands. It's beautiful. I'm jealous you're up there. Enjoy!
