wx2fish

Hrrr still blasting 45 to MHT by midday before the precip moves in. Seems high, but alot of us are gonna drip

Good stretch for the pope's busting 2mt maps. Dry adiabatic lapse rates half the month overshooting model temps. Might be one reason the AIFS scores well with temps, sometimes anyway. It handled this upcoming event pretty poorly with qpf, so the jury is still out on it overall I think.

6z Nam and hrrr cooled back off from the torched 0z runs. Hopefully keep it up at 12z.

Plenty of qpf there, just a torch

Nam(s) are both pretty solid north of route 2. Decent agreement the snow line starts accelerating south after 0Z, but the euro is real lean vs the nam/gfs after the flip.

Euro tries for a little Sandbar Scott on the 7th. Could easily end up more wedged, but warm verbatim. Monday also looks sneaky downslope dandy-ish. Probably see a few 50F in the warm spots.

It's close, but that's a pretty solid thump SNH down to maybe down to your area. I think there will be a decent fronto band and pretty meh outside where the sets up

The AIFS was by far the best model for temps today in the day 3/4 timeframe. I still don't entirely trust it for precip/storms, but at times it seems very good for temps/500 heights.

2.5" here too

Even our best ones down here are normal squalls for the NW side of the mountains

31". The gyx pns is 28-33". Not sure where 42" came from

Excellent year for ice. The real snowy periods can be crappy for skating/ice fishing. Produces alot of slush under snow no matter how cold it is.

MHT and CON are -1 to -2 too. Last couple of days evened out the departures after BOS was running a couple degrees colder relative to normal. Maybe call it seasonably cold locally. To put the last couple Jans in perspective...MHT is running 10F colder than Jan 2023 and 6F colder than Jan 2024. Avg high temp mtd this Jan is 32.3F and the Avg T in Jan 2023 was 34.7F! So the highs this month are running colder than the avg T in 2023. Funny thing is that month as torched as Jan 2023 and Jan 2024 were both had considerably more snow mtd.

Don't usually think of MHT as a great radiator but pretty solid temps the last two nights. Ran closer to ash than I would've guessed

I thought about doing that too. My davis is mid slope on my property. Dumps another 20-30ft immediately below it to street level. I'm sure there would've been a decent difference this morning.

First CT lake hit -27 yesterday morning. Looks like -25 so far this morning. Might be able to drop a little more

It's cherry picked, theyre at 1.9" in Jan. Seasonal is 30", still 14" below normal though and most fell in Oct. Hasn't been great.

2004 had significant totals right to the gulf coast. That one was more centered in the TX bend area though

Pretty sure the FL record is 4.4". Somewhere near PNS may have a shot at that later.

Yeah, fake or not, the temps still go in the books. Rad spots have it baked into climo. Those windy airmasses feel worse but dont produce decent lows in places like CON. The snowpack, while thin, also makes a big difference radiating.

Some big differences in the areas that have decoupled with the fresh snow. @CoastalWx Triggered

Core definetely will be west. Looks comparable to what we've seen, maybe a little lower in the rad pits.

My guess is models are a little warm across the rad areas that just got fresh snow, but itll depend on how much it can calm off. Neither night looks real windy, but Wednesday has the best shot.

6.0" total

~4". Transitioned back to smaller flakes for the moment