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wx2fish

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by wx2fish

  1. You want the DGZ saturated with lift through that layer, so a thicker DGZ provides a much larger favorable window. Basically just increases the size of the target.
  2. Flirting with a pretty thick DGZ on the soundings. Northern side is probably high ratio fluff in this one
  3. Theres a salt haze over 93 anytime there's an inversion lately
  4. Ratios will probably be mediocre due to the warming layer aloft, but I doubt there will be much paste in CNE. More than likely a flip to sleet before hitting 32F
  5. Not a great look thursday on the mean, but much better look next weekend vs op.
  6. Yeah grabbed another 1/2" here near 93. 2.8" total, finally tapering down.
  7. Surprising steady snow this morning. Tacking on some fluff
  8. Should be a good one for the radiators tonight. High crests over NNE at the right time, just have to keep high clouds at bay.
  9. I'm guessing 15-17". The Hudson Coop is at 15.5" and I've measured 16". That site avg is 33.7" ytd, so tracking about 40-50% of normal, but up from the 10% in mid Jan.
  10. 2.3" of paste after 0.38" of rain. Went about as expected on the snow side.
  11. Flipped here a few miles north of MA border within the past 20 min.
  12. Checked a few min ago and I'm over 0.3". No shortage of qpf. 50/50 mix now
  13. Definitely seems rate dependent. Getting beat back in the heavier stuff and rising north in the lighter stuff
  14. Gonna have to wait a few more hours. Probably post 7-8pm around here. Maybe a little earlier the bigger bands/bright banding southwest moves in starts dynamically cooling things.
  15. Gone wild. Wish I could trust it, but the trends are atleast favorable. Hoping for a couple here just north of the MA border.
  16. Still quite a bit of sleet mixing in here south of MHT. 36
  17. Probably just saturating aloft, but some sleet and catpaws. 36F
  18. GFS is definitely more interesting next week. Warmer SWFE type look with a weak secondary. Would atleast keep the interior colder
  19. It's pretty warm aloft today. Highs will depend on how much mixing there is. If there's light rain around this afternoon it'll cap them, if its dry it wouldn't be hard to pop near 40 for alot of areas. CAA really doesn't start til after 23-0z
  20. Hrrr still blasting 45 to MHT by midday before the precip moves in. Seems high, but alot of us are gonna drip
  21. Good stretch for the pope's busting 2mt maps. Dry adiabatic lapse rates half the month overshooting model temps. Might be one reason the AIFS scores well with temps, sometimes anyway. It handled this upcoming event pretty poorly with qpf, so the jury is still out on it overall I think.
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