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wx2fish

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by wx2fish

  1. Definitely seems rate dependent. Getting beat back in the heavier stuff and rising north in the lighter stuff
  2. Gonna have to wait a few more hours. Probably post 7-8pm around here. Maybe a little earlier the bigger bands/bright banding southwest moves in starts dynamically cooling things.
  3. Gone wild. Wish I could trust it, but the trends are atleast favorable. Hoping for a couple here just north of the MA border.
  4. Still quite a bit of sleet mixing in here south of MHT. 36
  5. Probably just saturating aloft, but some sleet and catpaws. 36F
  6. GFS is definitely more interesting next week. Warmer SWFE type look with a weak secondary. Would atleast keep the interior colder
  7. It's pretty warm aloft today. Highs will depend on how much mixing there is. If there's light rain around this afternoon it'll cap them, if its dry it wouldn't be hard to pop near 40 for alot of areas. CAA really doesn't start til after 23-0z
  8. Hrrr still blasting 45 to MHT by midday before the precip moves in. Seems high, but alot of us are gonna drip
  9. Good stretch for the pope's busting 2mt maps. Dry adiabatic lapse rates half the month overshooting model temps. Might be one reason the AIFS scores well with temps, sometimes anyway. It handled this upcoming event pretty poorly with qpf, so the jury is still out on it overall I think.
  10. 6z Nam and hrrr cooled back off from the torched 0z runs. Hopefully keep it up at 12z.
  11. Nam(s) are both pretty solid north of route 2. Decent agreement the snow line starts accelerating south after 0Z, but the euro is real lean vs the nam/gfs after the flip.
  12. Euro tries for a little Sandbar Scott on the 7th. Could easily end up more wedged, but warm verbatim. Monday also looks sneaky downslope dandy-ish. Probably see a few 50F in the warm spots.
  13. It's close, but that's a pretty solid thump SNH down to maybe down to your area. I think there will be a decent fronto band and pretty meh outside where the sets up
  14. The AIFS was by far the best model for temps today in the day 3/4 timeframe. I still don't entirely trust it for precip/storms, but at times it seems very good for temps/500 heights.
  15. Even our best ones down here are normal squalls for the NW side of the mountains
  16. 31". The gyx pns is 28-33". Not sure where 42" came from
  17. Excellent year for ice. The real snowy periods can be crappy for skating/ice fishing. Produces alot of slush under snow no matter how cold it is.
  18. MHT and CON are -1 to -2 too. Last couple of days evened out the departures after BOS was running a couple degrees colder relative to normal. Maybe call it seasonably cold locally. To put the last couple Jans in perspective...MHT is running 10F colder than Jan 2023 and 6F colder than Jan 2024. Avg high temp mtd this Jan is 32.3F and the Avg T in Jan 2023 was 34.7F! So the highs this month are running colder than the avg T in 2023. Funny thing is that month as torched as Jan 2023 and Jan 2024 were both had considerably more snow mtd.
  19. Don't usually think of MHT as a great radiator but pretty solid temps the last two nights. Ran closer to ash than I would've guessed
  20. I thought about doing that too. My davis is mid slope on my property. Dumps another 20-30ft immediately below it to street level. I'm sure there would've been a decent difference this morning.
  21. First CT lake hit -27 yesterday morning. Looks like -25 so far this morning. Might be able to drop a little more
  22. It's cherry picked, theyre at 1.9" in Jan. Seasonal is 30", still 14" below normal though and most fell in Oct. Hasn't been great.
  23. 2004 had significant totals right to the gulf coast. That one was more centered in the TX bend area though
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