wx2fish
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Everything posted by wx2fish
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Ticks back out today, things are unkillable. Even with numerous sub-zero nights with fairly minimal snowcover, right back out during the first few warm days.
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High of 68.4, but clouding up now ahead of the front
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63 here too. We'll see if we can tack on another couple degrees. CAA starts kicking in during peak heating this afternoon, so we'll likely set our high around midday
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There's definitely a backdoor type boundary on some of the runs, with a little surface reflection offshore. I'd welcome another warm day, but we'll see what happens. Airmass is pretty cold in ME tomorrow morning, I bet those typical CAD haunts in NH and ME take quite a while to erode.
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Pretty big difference tomorrow between the nam/gfs and euro. Nam/gfs are pretty wedged most of the day, while the euro has much less CAD. I'd probably lean more wedged, but since most areas will spike by evening, it'll still go in the books as high in the 50s. Dendy might stay wedged into early Wednesday morning.
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Can we get a TDWR at MHT
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Kind of in no mans between radars now, but I think you'll be fine. Box is picking up some periphery stuff up into SW NH. Tough to get a good read yet though
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Lies, you'll be glued to radar later
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Seems like quite the mess up in Pittsburg. Lots of flooded trails from runoff, stuck sleds and some water rescues.
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Pretty classic looking swfe
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Could be the popes 65-70 on the euro
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That one was a raging cutter at one point on all globals in the longer range. I think most of them have come in flatter, except the BGM cutter. This one did too, but it just didn't matter for NE. GFS had 15" for ORD at 60-72hr, and they ended up with 4". Well see next week, has a decent look for this range though.
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It was pretty breezy earlier, but since it clouded up and cooled off 5-7 degrees the gusts are gone
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18-19 was huge there too. Pittsburg had over 230"
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I've become convinced MHT is T + 1 or 2 lately. Always warmer than ASH, but a torch regardless. Slowly getting rid of the crusty icepack here, but its pretty resilient. Ready to get rid of it and start over, ice everywhere.
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If we get a look like the gfs Tues am I'll sell how north it has the warm front.
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I'll take my chances with that look. Hopefully the areas with the biggest deficits cash in.
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Probably a couple torchy days next week, but there's an awful lot of high pressure lurking in Canada. Not gonna take much for a backdoor and/or overrunning, esp later in the week.
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Fake fluff = fake cold?
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Just looking at the gfs soundings Thursday and there is definitely an inversion around 925. Even if we fully mix below the inversion it'll be tough to crack much above 60F with 6-8c 925s. It does wash out eventually, but then we're fighting overnight timing and rain.
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I just looked back and I pulled back to back 66F and 75F days in Feb 2018. March worked out well that year...
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1" since it started again here around 7pm. Still pretty steady. About 2" total.
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Picking up here in the band that developed over Rockingham County
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Picked up 1" here this morning. I had to run to Salem and there was atleast 1.5" close to border.
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I could see atleast one angry post when MHT hits 55F 6+ hours before Tilton.
