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Everything posted by Zelocita Weather
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Wow, this has well over a foot into S NJ, Philly, N Del, etc......impressive
- 3,762 replies
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- heavy snow
- heavy rain
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I feel like many will be surprised tomorrow, especially just NW of the cities...with everyone concentrated on Wed/Thu, this storm normally would be getting quite a bit of attention, 0.5” LE or so, good amount of it snow....
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NAM is a very intense/snowy solution...
- 3,762 replies
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- heavy snow
- heavy rain
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NAM is juiced...
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Ukie was 8” plus for all I95 and west from one model and one run....
- 3,762 replies
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- heavy snow
- heavy rain
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Did GFS really up qpf with this or is it me, any snow maps from GFS?
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Gfs looks good...
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Anyone have the snow map?
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NAM looks decent
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GFS looked good for 2-4” with this?
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Sound similar to NAM with 1-2/3”
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Do you have next frames, doesn’t look suppressed here...
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Ukie and Euro for this storm?
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Cold air and confluence is pressing here, storm will scoot south of us...storm can trend stronger, but with orientation of trough and pressing cold, can’t get too much more north (a la NAM that squashes it)
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This setup is interesting, surface starts warm, but cold it is pressing smartly at same time coastal passes well to our south, could be 1”-2” for many
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It’s a balance between the low position and the confluence/cold air, we have all seen a low pressure tucked onto the Delaware beaches, but NYC not see a flake due to confluence (Feb 5 2010); lots of fresh very cold air and a lot of moisture should make this at least a 6” storm, but very well could be 1’ plus...
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Zelocita Weather replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
With current depiction, I would expect significant (3" - 4"+) on ground after the storm has passed for most of the region.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Zelocita Weather replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Little to no rain/mix from N/C NJ northward, unless you count 0.05 or so as signficant, that verbatim is a snowstorm- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Zelocita Weather replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Wow, basically a complete snowstorm for the entire region on the GFS with VERY COLD air in place. Not even sure much mix would enter the picture per that run.- 1,119 replies