JC-CT
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Everything posted by JC-CT
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Off the jersey shore
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Sir, this is a Wendy's drive thru
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One of the more annoying things to me is when people say "it was never going to happen" or "the pattern never supported it" when multiple different products showed the exact thing for multiple cycles. Like, I guess yall do meteorological physics better than nwp and have better access to initialization conditions than the data that feeds them. To me, there's no difference between the statements "it's definitely coming" and "it's never going to happen." Both are severely lacking of humility.
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That's a lot of flash flood warnings
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It's also more consolidated at h5. So some good some bad
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ignore the primary currently plowing into buffalo
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You seem confused...yes, this is what I was referring to
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I mean the 12z solution
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JMA sucks
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So not 37?
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Everyone take a deep breath, and just wait for the JMA
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Ggem should definitely be further east than 0z, but 0z was extreme
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Definitely still not as clean a phase as some other models
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It won't be "right" it's more a matter of what the compromise ends up being, if any
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Ray will love it
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Better phasing on my least favorite model
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Congrats DC has decent support
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The GEFS don't even have a Euro like solution within its envelope. It's a flag, but also an indictment of the ensemble system
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Regardless, when the second line comes through, I'll be more likely to see thunder than fzrn
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Spikes to mid 50s, no?
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Yeah some members probably go due east from NJ and never gain latitude, a la 2016. Some might be late captures
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Most people eor didn't hit 18 in these storms you are so jealous of
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Don't worry guys it doesn't matter, gfs will be right
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Bold take
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Wor has had a few though, just because your backyard didn't doesn't mean it didn't happen
