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Everything posted by Windspeed
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I know it's not our area, but portions of Alabama and southern GA are getting rocked this evening. Significant long track tornadoes, some strong and some unfortunately deadly with multiple fatalities. https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/52142-march-3-2019-severe-threat/
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Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.
Windspeed replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Bristol to Abingdon may be just cold enough to change over and steal 2-3 inches in Holston Valley. Obviously higher elevations should do better. 5-6 inches doesn't seem impossible above 2000 ft. -
I feel like Tennessee had a bad stretch of games and played their worst basketball of the season. They appear to have got it out of their system and put that stretch behind them. The LSU game still stings, but I think they'll still earn a No.1 seed.
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Speaking of Spring/Summer, I just noticed this article from the Brisbane Times in Australia. Their above normal mean temperature anomalies nationally were off the charts during their meteorological Summer: Yowza! I knew it was a scorcher down there and an above normal anomaly, but a full degree above the previous record is shocking. https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/australia-s-hottest-summer-beats-previous-record-by-large-margin-20190301-p5119e.html I love Spring and Fall weather. I am also fascinated by all precipation types. But I've never been a big fan of scorching summer time heat. I enjoy cool days and mild days with low humidity and can certainly tolerate the cold without much fuss. So therefore I'm afraid this article already has me dreading our upcoming Summer; and I stress that without any intended correlation to what Australia endured the past four months.
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TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
Windspeed replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah today hurt. I am thankful we got a 72-96 hour break this week, but I thought today's rain would remain light and rather insignificant. Nope, a rather large area will finish around .8 to 1.25 for the upper TVA watershed. -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
Windspeed replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Same video but on KnoxNews Sentinel's YT channel: -
The Columbus, MS tornado has been rated an EF3.
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Super Typhoon Wutip was upgraded to Cat 5. No, not unusual to see those in the WPAC, but it's a first for February. In fact, this is the first classified Cat 5 ever in the northern hemisphere for the month. 28°C SSTs around the Marinas are still warm enough to support the intensity, but atmospheric favorability and outflow for this cyclone is textbook.
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That site is cancer on mobile. Full of spam and redirects.
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Got an engagement and won't be able to post further warnings but it does look like things are picking up. Hopefully things don't digress into an outbreak and the discrete stuff transitions more linear swifly. Regardless, good luck to everyone. Here is the most recent warning on cell east of Philadelphia, MS, moving ENE:
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Well-defined quasi-linear meso circulation on the strong line approaching MS/AL line moving north of Aberdeen, MS.
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Discrete cells over central MS starting to get that look.
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West of Booneville, MS:
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First tornado warning of the event issued in Walker Co., Alabama:
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TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
Windspeed replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Uptick QPF a bit further on the 00z. I hope this busts. -
Thanks, Jeff! No need to remind when you are merely being informative about what to expect weather-wise while people are out exercising their right as citizens. Hopefully no severe variety storms or high wind impact events, and crap rain is all anybody has to deal with that day.
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Yutu appears to be reintensifying. The ERC completed many hours ago and both microwave and visible imagery confirm a large and well-developed eyewall that continues to clear out. It is surrounded by a rather large CDO -- a big donut. Yutu may also not be done with land either. Some of the globals are flirting with Luzon. It is possible Yutu could even have a south of west motion for a time as heights may rebuild west under a lifting trough to the north. That trough was originally capturing Yutu, but that solution is losing recent model support.
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Night time visible band uses moon light and some other remote sensing techniques. You can see the stadium shape of the eye down near the surface and lower level. The northern portion of Saipan may have missed the worst of the eyewall but it's still a guess at this point. The southern half may have got the worst. Clearly all of Tinian experienced full frontal and backside winds. I want to refrain from hyperbole, but there probably is catastrophic devestation for anything not built within the strictest of code. Image courtesy of CIMSS and William Straka and Scott Bachmeier: Use the direct link here if you want full resolution from CIMSS as the GIF is too large to post or is just will not animate correctly as posted to the forum.
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Very clean microwave during landfall. Distinct concentric features with an ERC in early stages. Two wind maxima were probably experienced in Tinian and Saipan with the larger outter band and insanely intense inner eyewall. Infared can be deceiving for exact path of the wall over those islands as well. The Himawari satellite is positioned at a plane of lower latitude and at an acute angle south of the typhoon. IR images reflect colder cloud tops that only start to resolve at the mid-to-upper level of the eye. You must account for the height of the eyewall cylinder down to the surface at that distance. A visible image with sunlight at the same angle will show the lower-level circulation, closer to the surface, at the bottom of the eyewall cylinder. It's frustrating we don't have observable radar for a US territory besides, but it is what it is. Luckily we did have the clean microwave scan at landfall. And perhaps the airport/military will have some closed network remote sensing before all hell broke lose; and hopefully some instrumentation survived for pressure distribution.