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Windspeed

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Everything posted by Windspeed

  1. Windspeed
    With this pattern in place, it'd be a real shame if the eastern Valley misses out on a good thumping. Looks good for now. We just need good low placement and colder temps to remain in place.
  2. Windspeed
    Snow is now ripping in Bristol, finally....
  3. Windspeed
    KTRI is within a dryslot right now with intermittent sunshine. Subsequently the temp came up a few degrees to 34°. Hoping as the upper low pivots south and southeast, precip will fill and a deformation band will form this evening. That should become all snow. Middle Tennessee is getting pounded right now. Congrats to them.
  4. Windspeed
    Haha yeah but we've already had some 1 and 2 inchers. I'll set the bar at 3" and be let down. lol..
  5. Windspeed
    Usually I feel pretty good for KTRI versus the rest of the eastern Valley, even with an annoying 850 nose. But I honestly have no idea what to expect with this one. Obviously we're in a better location than areas southwest for MRX (Knoxville, Maryville, down to Chattanooga., etc.), if we can get rates to pump and negate that sloppy downslope potential. This system has a small chance to overperform for the eastern Valley like '96 if that 850 slows and digs further south than modeled. But it could also just not overcome the nose at all. So, again, I have no idea on this one. Uncomfortable to make a call. Too much sour modeling to get excited myself. I will say if we squeeze out anything more than 3+", it's a win.
  6. Windspeed
    Congrats to all that got snow. Especially the 4-7" variety. I might be just shy of 2" here south of Bristol. Not going to complain, it's pretty. But still waiting that 4-7" storm here though. Perhaps we get luckier in the coming weeks.
  7. Windspeed
    There is a nice band filling in SW to NE that should bring you some more, sir.
  8. Windspeed
    We've got some nice cloudcover right now over KTRI and 35° currently. Hoping the coverage can limit any significant temp gains. The high was forecast to reach 40°. But I don't think we'll make it. Also hopeful the 850 nose becomes quite limited. Anything to muster 3" totals for the event this evening. I am liking our chances.
  9. Windspeed
    Wow. That is newsworthy. He and his discussions will be greatly missed.
  10. Windspeed
    I would be ecstatic if this system could produce 3" for KTRI. Monday's system left a sour taste in my mouth. Models overdid the upper NE Valley regardless of the snow holes in the deformation band. But we're playing with much colder air this go around with entirely different flow aloft.
  11. Windspeed
    The last flake has fallen here. I think it is safe to say that this system underperformed for KTRI. I was thinking 3-4" in line with modeling and the MRX forecast, but I'll take my inch of cement and enjoy my day off. Congrats to those that scored. Hopefully this is just a tease for something better in the coming weeks.
  12. Windspeed
    South of Bristol, got stuck between two heavier bands just to our west and east for a while as the deformation pivoted. Though it is still snowing, I doubt we'll total 2" of accumulation. Still nice to finally get some decent snow so not going to complain at all. Much of SWVA, including the valleys are in the sweet spot of that deformation band. Wytheville, Blacksburg, Pearisburg, Roanoke, etc., are getting hammered.
  13. Windspeed
    MRX posted a video of that event. But I wish they would have noted that the surface temperatures had little impact on initial accumulation. It came down hard and fast and everything was covered within the first hour.
  14. Windspeed
    Starting to get excited. 2"/hr rates is no joke. If that heavy deformation band sets up, even if the strongest of the event only last 3-5 hours, that's a nice haul for NETN/SWVA. 4-6" for the upper northeast Valley seems possible with the higher elevations getting thumped. 8-12" looks doable for the Smokies, Banner Elk, Mt. Rogers, into the Blue Ridge.
  15. Windspeed
  16. Windspeed
    Yeah it is absurdly warm and muggy outside for 11AM in the Tricities. Sun is out as well.
  17. Windspeed
    This just came out but obviously with the caveats if/will supercells fire in the warm sector. If so it could be a bad evening.
  18. Windspeed
    Even an dusting would be a total win at this point as the Valley has had big nothing so far this season.
  19. Windspeed
    Too much logistical bs to overcome, and even if vaccinated, coming down sick is hell dealing with local unknowns, much less with figuring out how you're getting back. It is what it is...
  20. Windspeed
    Still a pandemic. I doubt anyone would be making the trip into the Philippines. At least I am aware of none.
  21. Windspeed
    This may have to be tabbed a special indicator by the survey crew, not unlike the ripped up hospital parking stops for the Joplin EF5, but this rebar enforced concrete foundation was annihilated at a home site in Bremen.
  22. Windspeed
    Looks like ground scouring can be seen near Bremen.
  23. Windspeed
    Potential mountain snow.
  24. Windspeed
    The problem with having a "Category 6" based on Dorian is the limitations of categorically confining a value of time and motion. Dorian was horrible regardless, but even worse due to its slow motion. You cannot underestimate how much the long duration of sustained Category 5 winds did to magnify the devastation. In reality, anything above 155 mph sustained that persists for a slow mover is going to be magnified. There is no need for a Category 6. If it's a fast moving intense hurricane, the damage is going to be less than a slow moving intense hurricane due to inevitable structural failure caused by prolonged wind force.
  25. Windspeed
    It's currently not tropical or subtropical. At present it is a mid-lattidutinal cold core bomb cyclone. Down stream it could gain subtropical characteristics however as it is forecast to move over the Gulf Stream.
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