LawdogGRNJ
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Everything posted by LawdogGRNJ
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Ahh, missed it in the flurry. Cheers.
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Surprised that no one has mentioned that the next full moon is at 8:02 AM EST....on Sunday.
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I was thinking that too, but the ensemble split has left everything such a coin toss so far. Once there's more model agreement, the page count will jump.
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Looks like Henri is starting to move out of the stronger shear, more pinwheel than pumpkinseed. Still tilted a bit, but still traveling due west. The next 12 - 24 hrs are going to be interesting.
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Still a learner, but what's going on with the convection exploding just north of the Lesser Antilies? Soon to be Invest 96?
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Much of the path will still be saturated from Fred. Flooding will be a major issue, regardless of strength.
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As it stands, I can't see the wave doing much unless it clears the area of 30 KTS wind shear currently sitting in the Straits of Florida. That being said, the models have been shifting more westerly the last few runs. This would give the wave a shot at reaching very favorable conditions. Again, thats if it holds together. Lot of "ifs" there.
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Kind of surprised that there have been no posts about Elsa in 15+ hrs. It may no longer be a hurricane, but it is still a strong weather event that is impacting millions of people in a negative way. For sake of discussion, are the tornados being generated typical in volume and intensity? Also, is there any thoughts as to why Elsa has remained so persistant?
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Is Elsa going to pull another Isaias? Nothing much as TS goes, but moving at such a pace that it effectively adds strength? Isaias was NOT fun in NJ...7+ days of no power due to all the downed lines.
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I shudder to think of the destruction Delta will bring considering the massive volume of water Gamma dumped on the Yucatan. Even in its post tropical state the NHC forecast calls for an additional 8 inches of rain in some regions.
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So can they break tradition and give both storms female names as a nod to Dee Snider?
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How about a 1965 Betsy repeat?
