LawdogGRNJ

Curious, why is the amount of wind shear that Milton has to go through to get to FL not forecast to weaken it dramatically?

Did Ernesto just split into 2 storms?

About 35N, 70W now. Off the NC coastline.

Is there another system trying to form north east of Invest 92L? Low shear area. Shows on water vapor and clouds are just starting to pop.

No big surprise this storm is not getting farther north. Take a look a the monster Tuesday's snow became. Impressive.

Given your username, I'd expect you to be his greatest champion...lol

Good image of the shear map and it's affect on Lee. I'd expect reorganization and intensification after moves into more favorable conditions to the west.

On a (slim) positive note, Ian will wipe the FL drought map clean.... https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?FL

Meant to share this yesterday. This is a hyperlapse (10 seconds of video compressed into 1) I took yesterday of the "weak rotation" spotted in the cell that passed through Bloomfield NJ at 12:38 PM DST. This is looking south just as damaging winds (possible RFD?) hit my area. Thankfully, it dissipated quickly and doesn't appear to have touched ground. Fun to see, but not that close to my home. NOTE: the video was intentionally darkened to bring out the cloud details so the rotation can be seen, otherwise, the sun angle burns out the details. 20220721_123827 (1).mp4

The Great Ice Storm of 1998 was no joke either. 1 - 3 inches of ice in parts of NH are reported in the article, but I witnessed a few microclimate pockets first hand that saw 5+ The trees in those areas of forest that looked straight out of WW1, very surreal. Nothing but shattered trunks, if anything was still standing at all. Long days and nights of constantly crashing trees and branches.. It was a once in a lifetime event....I hope. Side note: The estimated load of one inch of icing on a 25 ft tree is 1 ton of ice. Put 3 inches of ice on a 75 tree and look out below!

Which coincides with the Blizzard of 1978...(snow weenie mode intensified)

And those were winters with record breaking snowfalls in New England...hmmmm (snow weenie mode activated)

A lot of comments are pointing to Henri, as the sole contributor to the wet conditions in the tri-state area prior to Ida. In reality, it was the just the last in a series of flooding rain events leading up to Ida. July 2021 was the 8th wettest on record for NJ. Rutgers has a great write-up on it recapping each event. You can find it here: https://climate.rutgers.edu/stateclim/?section=menu&target=jul21 The region was already very wet, Henri just kept the party rolling.

Cheers neighbor. Yah, REALLY not looking forward to another hosing. Can I chose "the lotion" instead?

What are the odds that Ida strengthens, even just a little, when it hits the Atlantic? The regions it will be passing through are far wetter than normal and the LLC seems to be holding it together.