J.Spin

Yesterday I headed up to Bolton Valley for a bit of afternoon lift-served skiing with my wife and our older son ahead of the cold temperatures that are expected to be around into the midweek period. The resort has finally shifted their attention to making snow in the Timberline area over the past week, and since it was open to lift-served skiing for the holiday weekend, we figured we’d check it out. It’s always a nice shift into the feel of Bolton’s full mid-season mode when you can start parking down at Timberline to base yourself there to ski the rest of the resort. Midafternoon yesterday when I was heading home from backcountry skiing in the Jay Peak area, it started snowing as our Saturday system pushed into the area, but the precipitation changed to sprinkles of rain in the valleys as I headed south. We’d picked up a few hundredths of an inch of rain down in the valley at our house in Waterbury that gave a slight crust to the snowpack, so I was curious how high the snow levels had risen. I immediately checked the consistency of the snow when we arrived at the Timberline Base at 1,500’ and was happy to find that the snow was powdery without any rain crust, so even the lowest elevations of the resort had remained above the snow line. As we ascended on the Timberline Quad, we could see that the lower Timberline trails without snowmaking still need more snow. Our long-duration storms from early January scoured a lot of the west-facing terrain, and the existing snowpack down at the Timberline elevations just wasn’t deep enough to hold up to that very well. Most of the natural snow terrain at Timberline was open, but it’s still just a bit thin to support lift-served skiing without some areas of brush and grass poking through. The areas where they’ve made snow have plentiful coverage of course, but seeing what was available, we decided to head up to the main mountain for better coverage and conditions. The resort was reporting 4 to 6 inches of new snow in the past 24 hours, and 8 inches of new snow in he past 48 hours, so somehow the mountains just keep pulling the inches out of these minor systems that come through the area. Those snowfall numbers are definitely more reflective of the main mountain though, because accumulations down at Timberline were certainly less. Up at the main mountain we decided to head right to Wilderness to ski the natural snow terrain, and it was indeed night and day compared to the conditions down at Timberline. There’s certainly been plenty of skier traffic at the resort since it’s a holiday weekend, but jumping off trail into the trees revealed the usual foot plus of light powder that we’ve been seeing over the past couple of weeks in untracked areas. On piste, the snow was nice packed powder wherever the winds hadn’t scoured it down, so we stuck to moderate-angle terrain below the Wilderness Mid Station and had some great runs. We even had some sun at the beginning of our session, and it was nice to have that light and a bit of extra warmth. You could tell that colder air was moving in, and temperatures were dropping through the lower 20s F, so when the clouds came back in ahead of approaching Winter Storm Demi, you could really feel the chill. We headed back to Timberline as we finished up our afternoon session, and we did find some nice natural snow in areas like Lower Tattle Tale, but due to the shallower snowpack you had to be very selective and stick to well protected areas that hadn’t been scoured. The manmade snow on Timberline Run was definitely firm, and I’d say the disparity between the quality/firmness of the natural and manmade snow is far more than the usual at Timberline right now. The snow they made should be very resilient though. The opening of the Timberline area means that food service is firing up there, and this year in the Timberline Base Lodge they have Miso Curry offering food. It turns out that like the Miso Toh Kome hut up at Bolton’s main base area, (and other resorts in the area) Miso Curry is another offering from the Miso Hungry chain. We didn’t know that curry was so prominent in Japanese cuisine, but we shared an order of their katsu pork curry with edamame, and it was great. We were thinking it might be a bit tough though for families if the kids want something more typical to eat, but they can always catch that at the main base lodge, and Miso Curry seems to be a great addition to the variety of food available at the resort.

Glad you enjoyed the pictures! Unfortunately, stopping in for food at Omakase wasn’t even an option – it was closed and looked totally dead aside from a couple of vehicles in the parking area. I couldn’t believe they weren’t open in the midafternoon on Saturday of a holiday weekend and was worried that they’d gone out of business or something (although the icicles seem to suggest plenty of activity in what I guess is the kitchen area with that vent). When I got home, I checked to see what was up, and I guess they just don’t open until 5:00 P.M. I’m amazed they aren’t going for the après ski crowd with a location like that. They would probably get a ton of business if they did, but a 5:00 P.M. opening really means they’re just going for dinner for people who are in the area overnight? This article in Local LaVida from a couple years back suggests that they planned to have an early bird après menu: Seasons Plans: With plans of opening doors starting the winter of 2022, early season hours will be limited to start but will expand as the season progresses. Omakase plans to have an early bird après menu from 2-5 pm, offering generously priced small plates with a daily brew! Dinner service will be held between 5-10 pm with a Sunday brunch menu and specials board on the horizon. As the season goes into full swing, operations will expand to meet the demands of holiday and peak periods. It looks like a great spot, and it’s totally the kind of place that I would grab some food to bring home to the family for dinner after a day at the resort or in the backcountry if they were open (I can’t tell you the number of times I’ve done that at Sushi Yoshi in Stowe or the Miso Kome hut at Bolton). One can’t help but like how the building fits right in with the wintry Jay Peak vibe thanks to the stacked snow and icicles on the roof, so I still had to grab a shot on my way home!

A couple weeks back there was some great discussion in the thread on the Jay Peak backcountry conditions in areas like Gilpin Mountain and Domey’s Dome, so I was certainly looking to head up there for some touring when the opportunity arose. Prodigious amounts of snow have simply continued to fall through much of this past week, with Jay Peak now at 200 inches of snowfall on the season. So, the powder has been staying fresh and the snowpack just keeps getting deeper. I was thinking of heading up for a tour in the Gilpin/Domey’s area this weekend, and out of the blue my younger son called to see if I’d bring him and some of his college friends on a backcountry ski tour since some of their passes were in blackout mode due to the holiday weekend. I told him where I was already thinking on touring, and that’s all it took – the plan was in place to head out Saturday morning. The forecast for the day was looking great – temperatures in the upper 20s F are perfect because it’s warm enough to be quite comfortable out in the backcountry, but below the freezing mark to avoid any temperature effects on the powder. I was concerned about parking since it’s a holiday weekend, but there were plenty of parking spots up at Jay Pass on Route 242. I arrived about 20 minutes before my son and his friends, so I poked around at the pass, and checked out the snow conditions and trail access points until they arrived. I’ve skied the terrain north of the pass on Gilpin Mountain before, but this time I wanted to check out the terrain to the south. My plan for our tour was to use the Long Trail to head up Gilpin Mountain and out along the ridgeline toward Domey’s Dome, then descend the west face of the range and catch the Catamount Trail for the return trip. With regard to ski touring, that side of the range is, in theory, set up beautifully – the Long Trail follows the ridgeline, and the Catamount Trail roughly parallels it down in the valley near Route 242. So, you can head out on the Long Trail to whatever point you want, then drop in for a descent and use the Catamount Trail as a collector for returning to Jay Pass. I say it’s a great setup “in theory”, with the caveat that the Long Trail can be tough to follow at this time of year. The Long Trail uses white blazes on the trees to mark its route for hikers, and the trees up along the ridgeline there can be absolutely loaded with snow. So, following the trail can be quite challenging if someone hasn’t already put a track in place. Also, as the snowpack continues to rise, the blazes can be more and more difficult to find. As of now, the blazes are at about waist level, so they’re still visible if you can find them behind the inches of snow caked to the trees, but even at the current height they are getting hard to see. One could certainly head out to an ascent of Domey’s Dome using the Catamount Trail from below, but after traversing the Catamount Trail in that area for the return on our tour (there are plenty of undulations and meanderings), that approach feels like more work than it needs to be unless you park farther down on Route 242. While it was breezy in the open area of Jay Pass, with the anemometers at the weather station area buzzing right along, the wind disappeared as soon as we entered the forest on our ascent. Following the Long Trail upward from the pass to Gilpin Mountain was fairly easy – it was well set as a skin track from plenty of skier traffic, so even without being able to see the blazes, it’s fairly easy to follow. Once we were up at the Gilpin Mountain ridgeline, we took a quick jaunt to the north to check out the official summit of Gilpin Mountain at 3,021’ then moved southward and reached the South Peak of Gilpin Mountain, which is slightly lower at 2,993’. From there, we headed south on the Long Trail toward Domey’s Dome. We ran into a couple of guys from Quebec (based on their accents) who were setting up to descend a steep, sweet looking gully on the back side of the range. They joked with us about not stealing it from them, but we would never have done that, and we had other plans anyway. After that, we didn’t run into anyone, because skier traffic seems very light once you get past the general Gilpin Mountain area. We were able to follow the Long Trail southward for a little while, with the help of one track from a previous skier, but as we descended into the col between Gilpin and Domey’s, it became more and more difficult to hold the ridgeline and not get pulled into descending on one side of the ridge of the other. Nobody had broken trail on the Long Trail across the ridgeline, so the route finding took time. We had access to multiple GPS units, and when the Long Trail is obscured with deep snow like it is now, you certainly want to have your GPS and compass. Not wanting to waste too much of the session trying to navigate the traverse, we eventually decided to hug the western side of the ridge as we headed southward, with the intention of beginning a descent if we saw some appealing ski terrain. It wasn’t too long before we found a relatively steep line that dropped through some open trees, and we decided it was as good a time as any to begin skiing. Our descent from the col between Gilpin and Domey’s featured some nice areas with reasonably open trees, spots with excellent natural glades, and some terrain that had been logged and maintained for logging access. The powder was fantastic – there was typically 1 to 2 feet of bottomless powder over a deep base. I would frequently check the depth of the snowpack, and my ski pole would go below the surface of the snow, which means the snowpack depth was in excess of 40 inches. The powder was in a very nice right-side-up density gradient starting with snow in roughly the 6 to 8% H2O range on top. The only thing that could have really made the powder better would have been to throw on several more inches of fresh 3-6% H2O champagne, but that’s really getting picky, because it skied incredibly well. Everyone was on fat skis with widths over 100 mm, and the skis were definitely in their element out there today. My son was on his Telemark skis for the first time in 2 or 3 years because he’s been looking for a good pair of boots to replace the current ones that are too tight, but it didn’t look like his Telemark skiing had missed a beat. I was happy to see that, and so were his friends. As of this morning, Jay Peak is reporting 203 inches of snowfall on the season, and you can really feel it when you’re out there in the nearby backcountry. The snowpack depth at the Mt. Mansfield Stake at 3,700’ is around 55 inches, but based on what I found out there on our tour in the Gilpin/Domey’s area, that snowpack depth is probably obtained at a lower elevation in the Jay Peak area. We weren’t even out in the Big Jay Basin area, which seems to collect some of the most snow in the area due to it’s leeward position, so I bet the snowpack is quite deep out there. My son and his friends are planning to head out to Alyeska in March for some skiing during spring break, and he mentioned that as of now they apparently have the most snowfall for the season of any ski area in the U.S. at 346 inches. That got me wondering about how things are going for some of the well-known, snowier resorts in western North America with respect to snowfall, and I saw that Steamboat is at 143 inches, Whistler Blackcomb is at 197 inches, Grand Targhee is at 211 inches, and Alta is at 233 inches. So, Jay Peak’s 203 inches is certainly in that ballpark, and the area’s snowpack is definitely doing well. I’d say what’s really helped with making Jay Peak’s snowfall perform in terms of building the snowpack is that they haven’t had to deal with many thaws, especially in the past few weeks when they’ve has so much continuous snowfall.

The back side of our current storm cycle has looked decent for a while on the GFS (which seems to typically do really nice medium-range work with these northern stream systems around here), and I see that the BTV NWS has Winter Weather Advisories up for the Northern Greens (and stretching down in the Central Greens a bit) starting at 4 PM today. This morning’s near term AFD talks about some of the snow that’s already fallen, what could be coming, and the Froude aspects. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 930 AM EST Tue Jan 14 2025 NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 918 AM EST Tuesday...Fcst in good shape this morning after our first round of upslope snow showers last night delivered 8.5 inches at Westfield CoCoRahs site and 4.7 inches near Enosburg Falls and 3.3 in Stowe. The setup for later this aftn into the overnight hours features a weak surface trof approaching from the north, while a combination of Great Lake and building mid/upper lvl trof moisture wl increase from north to south acrs our region. Expect the areal coverage of snow showers to increase aft 18z this aftn with localized moderate snowfall possible in the favorable upslope regions of the northern Dacks and mtns of central/northern VT by evening. Initially froude is btwn 1.0 and 1.5, which supports snow close to mtn ridge crests and less side, but toward 12z Weds numbers decrease <1.0 supporting heavier snowfall immediately upwind of mtn crest. In addition, thermal analysis indicates sweet spot for snow growth with progged 850mb temps falling btwn -12C and -16C and good moisture profiles, supporting snow ratios in the 25/30 to 1 range. All this is covered well in crnt snowfall fcst with a sharp elevational dependent snowfall anticipated from a dusting to 2 inches Champlain Valley to localized amounts near a foot Mt Mansfield to Jay Peak and similar scenario expected from the SLV to Giant Mtn in northern NY. Temps hold steady in the upper teens to locally near 30F CPV cities today with cloudy skies prevailing.

Since our long-duration storms from the start of the month have finished, I figured it was a good time for an update on the seasonal snowfall progression in our area of the Northern Greens. Those two January systems were extremely helpful with respect to adding liquid equivalent to the snowpack in both the mountains and the valleys and progressing the season’s snowfall. While they were fairly similar in terms of their liquid equivalent at our site, the second system had more than twice the snowfall of the first, and it became our largest snowstorm of the season thus far: 1/1/2025 System: 9.1” Snow/0.97” Liquid 1/6/2025 System: 22.7” Snow/0.79” Liquid The second system was just a bit shy of the 2-foot mark with respect to snowfall, and decent snow growth was a big part of that. Both systems had periods with those small, ~1 to 2 mm flakes, but they were much more dominant in the first system, where the overall snow density ended up at a very synoptic-like 10.7% H2O, while the second system’s overall snow density was a much more upslope-like 3.5% H2O. They both had that continuous wind as well, which really played a factor in the deposition of the snow. In any event, each system should have contributed 1 to 2 inches of liquid equivalent to the mountain snowpack, so that’s a great thing. There hasn’t been much talk about it in the thread, but it was a pretty unique period/pattern to have those two long-duration systems run back-to-back like that without much of an initial surface low pressure passing through the area. The first system did have that to some degree, but neither had one of those big coastal systems that meanders up into the Maritimes and sits there as a stacked low-pressure system. Both systems brought cold, windy weather, but it was single digits F in the mountains vs. subzero F temperatures, so it was far better than those extremely cold January outbreaks of arctic air we can get. And the great thing is that the relatively cold temperatures came with a bunch of snow, which doesn’t often happen. The forum always seems to be talking about how our winter weather patterns are different due to climate change, but if getting systems like that with the January cold is the new routine vs. just the clear, calm, January cold that we’ve often had, then that seems like a decent switch for when there’s appropriate blocking. Back in December I noted that the first 10 days of the month gave us quite a good run of snowfall (30.4 inches) and that’s an impressive snowfall pace that was clearly evident on the plot of snowfall progression below. In one fell swoop it pulled snowfall well above average from where it was after a relatively slow November. I would never bet on seeing something like that follow up the very next month, but thanks to those two long-duration storms with nearly continuous snowfall, the first 10 days of January actually surpassed that impressive early December snowfall with a total of 31.8 inches. That area of steep ascent for early January is clearly visible on the updated snowfall progression plot. And at the beginning of January, we weren’t starting out behind average snowfall pace, we were already ahead of it, so that burst brough us well above average. Season snowfall sailed right past 80 inches during that period, putting us more than 20 inches ahead of average. While the local ski resorts were farther ahead on average snowfall prior to those early January systems, that period certainly helped the valleys catch up. It looks like at 143” of snowfall, Bolton Valley is at roughly 116% of average, at 187” of snowfall, Jay Peak is at roughly 133% of average, and now at our site, snowfall is 134% of average. If it feels like it’s been a while since we’ve been ahead this much on snowfall at this point in the winter, my data say that’s true for our site; it’s been six seasons since the last time snowfall was ahead like this in mid-January.

Yesterday’s weather and ski conditions were excellent, but today kicked that up yet another notch. Today’s temperatures were well up into the 20s F with brilliant winter sunshine and no wind. And after our spell of cold, snowy weather, you could really feel the difference today. Whether you were riding on the slopes, sitting the lifts, or just hanging out at the base area, it was all very comfortable. Also, with brilliant sun, we had great light for action photography; Near base ISO I was able to shoot 1/4000 sec at f/2.8 even in the trees. I was up at Bolton Valley this afternoon skiing with my older son, and one notable, and surprising improvement was in the powder. As I mentioned in yesterday’s report, the powder skiing was decent, but not outstanding because the snow density was so homogeneous throughout its depth. I guess Mother Nature just needed a bit of time with that new snow because as of today it had settled beautifully into a more right-side-up powder stack that skied much better. My son and I dug into the snowpack and checked on what had changed, and the first roughly half foot of powder had dried out, and the snow below that had settled into a smooth density gradient, presumably due to compression from the snow above. At ~2,400’ elevation on Wilderness we found roughly 18 inches of powder before you hit what I’d say was a layer resembling a subsurface. With the weather and snow conditions, it was once again fairly busy at the resort with parking needed down at Timberline. Since we went up in the early afternoon though, we were able to get a parking spot up in the Village because people who were leaving, but it still wasn’t easy – others were arriving to get in afternoon turns as well. Based on the current forecast, the next system is expected to move into the area tomorrow, with a couple more over the course of the week, so hopefully we’ll have a few rounds of snow to keep the great conditions in place.

Our recent long-duration system finished up on Friday, and the next winter system moved into the area today, so Mother Nature continues to deliver snow and enhance the conditions on the slopes. My wife and I headed up to Bolton Valley this morning to check out the conditions with some lift-served skiing, and there’s no doubt that word is out about the conditions. It was midmorning when we arrived at the resort, and people were already parking at the third tier of Timberline and being shuttled up to the main base. The good news is that they resort has fired up the snow guns on Timberline, so they’ll probably be opening that area to lift-served skiing soon. After the run of relatively cold, windy (and thankfully snowy) weather we’ve had for the first third of January, today was extremely comfortable with temperatures around 20 F, no wind, and light snow falling. So, everyone we saw at the resort seemed to be excited about that. The resort had received another few inches of snow as the previous system wrapped up, and conditions on the slopes were very similar to what I experienced on Wednesday and Thursday with a touch of improvement thanks to the additional snow and more grooming. The scoured areas were still thin on snow, but grooming had definitely help equalize and soften the conditions there a bit. Natural snow areas out of the wind continue to offer fantastic snow – and when that snow is groomed it skis beautifully – you’re not hitting anything under the packed powder. Off piste, there is a lot of powder as one would expect. We were finding depths of around 20 inches, which is similar to what I’ve been finding this week. In general, areas with that sort of deep powder are skiing fine, but it’s not outstanding powder skiing. The powder is of roughly medium-density, but its density is roughly equivalent throughout its depth, so you can sink in pretty far and get a bit bogged down on lower-angle terrain. It’s not upside-down powder, but it just doesn’t ski as well as it would with a really nice right-side-up arrangement. Some areas did offer a better powder experience though. They have finally opened up more of the Snowflake terrain, and we found about a foot of powder over places that had either been groomed or had more settled snow underneath, and those spots offered some very pleasant powder skiing today.

I had time to head up to Bolton Valley for another ski tour yesterday morning, and the weather was very much like what we’d had in the mountains for the past few days: temperatures in the single digits F with a lot of wind. Thankfully, Wednesday appeared to be the coldest of the days this week, and yesterday morning was about 5 to 10 degrees F warmer. On Wednesday I’d done a bit of lift-served skiing after my tour, but yesterday I decided to make my tour a bit longer instead of sitting on the lifts. On my ascent I topped out around 2,900’ on Wilderness, and I figured I’d gone high enough to get a good sampling of the snow at various elevations. With a few more inches of snow each day, the conditions on the slopes have just continued to improve aside from those areas exposed to the wind where scouring has been incessant. Exposed areas just continued to be scoured, and I wouldn’t be surprised if some of those exposed spots had less snow than they did before this system began. Protected areas had simply fantastic snow though. Like Wednesday, I typically measured 20 inches or more of powder in protected areas yesterday, and the subsurface snow is a distant memory there. I also measured depths as great as 35 inches in some non-drifted spots, where it seemed like I was just pushing down into the older layers in the snowpack without even hitting any firm layer to differentiate the older snow from these recent couple of events. That’s a good sign about the overall quality of the snowpack though if you can’t even find a subsurface layer until you head down 35 inches into the snow. With the end of this most recent long-duration system, it looks like we could be moving into a pattern featuring some Clipper systems. The first one is coming into the area tonight, with another expected for Monday into Tuesday.

I’d hoped to head up to the mountain for some turns yesterday afternoon to see how accumulations were settling in from our current system, but it was a bit close to sunset after I finished the work I wanted to get done. I wasn’t too worried about it though, since this is another long-duration system, and the snow accumulations are slowly building up. I did manage to get out for some turns this morning on my way into Burlington, so I can report on that outing. In the weekly forecast, today had the coldest temperatures of any day, with valleys in the single digits F. So, in that respect, this wasn’t my preference for days to get out, but it’s been snowing, and it worked out. In most respects, the weather up at the mountain was sort of status quo for what we’ve had over the past several days – at the Village elevations it was still in the single digits F. In this case, the temperature was barely in the positive category, but it can definitely get far worse in January. A big current factor in comfort on the slopes though is the wind – those winds are still howling out there with this system. With that in mind, I started the morning with an ascent via the Wilderness Uphill Route to get my body up to temperature, and that worked well. Then I was warm enough to take a trip up the Vista Quad and make another run. Bolton Valley was reporting 6 inches for their 48-hour total/storm total as of this morning, which doesn’t seem like much, but this system has brough decent moisture with it. The flakes have been small in many areas because of poor dendritic growth. Combine that with those winds blowing it around and packing it together, and measuring accumulations in the mountains has been tough. For example, I’ve recorded almost a foot of snow from this system down at my house in the valley, not because we actually got more liquid equivalent than the higher elevations, but because we’re sheltered from the high winds, and the dendrites can actually stack up with loft and not get smashed and compacted. In any event, we’ve recorded about a half inch of liquid equivalent from this storm so far at the house, so the mountains have probably picked up somewhere between a half inch and an inch of liquid. In areas protected from the wind, such as by the Miso Toh Kome hut, there are some snow stacks that give you a nice sense of how much has fallen with this event in unscoured areas, and the stacks looked like they were about 10 inches deep. In terms of the ski conditions, with a lot of its terrain facing west, those usual exposed areas at Bolton without snowmaking are scoured down to just a couple of crusty inches. Areas out of the wind have lots of great medium-weight powder though. Measurements I took in protected, non-drifted areas in the 2,000’ to 2,500’ elevation range revealed up to 20 inches of powder, so where it’s not blown away, even the lower elevations of the main mountain are really starting to accumulate quite a stack of surface snow atop the base. I skied Lower Turnpike on my touring run at Wilderness, and being protected from the wind, it had great snow wall-to-wall, with some spots having a foot of powder, and others just a few inches of powder if they had seen grooming and/or skier traffic. With the cold temperatures, the snow was a bit slow, but not so slow that I had trouble maintain speed even in those deeper areas of powder. Off Vista, I stayed away from Spillway and Hard Luck, which are much more exposed and get scoured, and chose Vermont 200, which is much more protected. It had just a couple of small scoured spots, but beyond that it was a playground of 1 to 3 feet of nearly untouched powder depending on whether or not you were blasting through a drift. Although we’re not currently getting tons of champagne powder turns from this system with its prodigious winds, I did notice one great thing that this current system is doing. Aside from some nice resurfacing outside of the exposed areas, the winds are really filling in any of those deeper water bars in the lower elevations that just hadn’t managed to get there yet. I really noticed it on Lower Turnpike – there are those certainly water bars in lower elevations where you have had to shift to a certain spot across the trail because it’s got the smoothest transition for crossing. That issue has largely disappeared now with this meaty snow being driven into the hollows of the water bars by those winds.

I’m thinking the Froude has been around 1? Driving in to Burlington, the snowfall was heaviest around our place through Bolton Flats, and then gradually improved as I headed west to the point of light snow here in the Burlington area. Snowfall at the house has been in roughly the 1 in/hr. range this morning as I’d estimated, and there had been about 6-7” of accumulation when I’d left.

We had picked up a half inch overnight from that evening snowfall, but it certainly ramped up at some point – there was an additional 3 to 4 inches on the boards this morning at observations time, with snowfall in the 1-2”/hr. range. The snow ratio on the morning stack was 26.2:1, so pretty close to that 19:1 to 23:1 range that the BTV NWS has mentioned in some of their discussions. I’m not sure when the bulk of that most recent stack fell, but I’d say snowfall has probably settled back a bit below 1”/hr. now. I was surprised to see that Bolton Valley only indicated 2-3” new in their morning report, so there isn’t any huge elevation impact between here to there.

We’ll see how it goes around here regarding that last part. We had plenty of fine arctic-style flakes during the last event, but periods of larger flakes as well. We’ve had a mix this evening – certainly some 1 mm flakes in there, but also a good portion in the 5-8 mm range.

As noted earlier, Winter Weather Advisories are up for the Northern Greens for at least the first part of this anticipated event. I didn’t know it was going to be impactful enough during any one period to require alerts, but the BTV NWS forecast discussion talks about it: Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 927 PM EST Sun Jan 5 2025 .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... As of 254 PM EST Sunday...The snow machine is expected to kick into overdrive for portions of the northern Green Mountains and northwestern slopes of the Adirondacks starting Tuesday morning and continuing through Wednesday evening. A long-duration upslope snow event looks all but certain at this time with an upper level low off the Main coastline will allow for Atlantic moisture to wrap around back into the North Country. Steep low level lapse rates, strong upward vertical motion, and a saturated (or mostly saturated DGZ) will lead to plentiful snowfall for elevations at 1500 ft and higher. Snow totals in these locations will range from 4 to 8 inches through Wednesday. The best accumulations, however, will likely be well above 2000 ft where upwards of 1-2 feet of snow will be possible through the upcoming week. Because of this, we have issued winter weather advisories for portions of the northern Green and northern Adirondack Mountains. Snowfall isn`t expected to be super heavy at any one point in time but the fact that we could be looking ta 48+ hours of continuous or nearly continuous snowfall will allow snow to steadily accumulate on Tuesday and Wednesday.