Go Kart Mozart

Tip's 576 line is in a much better space this run, but Geez, last night we had pronounced ridging pushing into eastern Greenland....today it's a deep low. IMO the PNA ridging is not as impressive as it was depicted a few days ago.

Upon further reflection, the changes east of Greenland might be the most significant....edit...make that the disappearance of the TX Gulf coast trough.

I don't see any changes, do you?

That's nuts. Any idea if OES was involved?

Sorry for the delayed response. Yes, it is doing well, but these are the very early returns...can't draw big conclusions yet.

Aren't 46" storms commonplace in Sea Girt?

Yup, AI in particular is hitting on that.

Brutal cold showing up on AI.

Wow, that's bold. The current radar does not look like a 1" event to me.

So glad you asked. I have been following it closely since the early fall, and so far, it is the best model. Granted, my analysis is for our little area only, and is entirely empirical. Here is a little anecdotal example: I am also active on a Notre Dame football board, where I have installed myself as the weather nerd in-chief. About 5 days ago, it appeared likely that we would be hosting Alabama on the 20th. Of course, I went to the maps hoping for the most miserable cold possible for northern Indiana in December. At that time, gfs and euro showed a nationwide zonal flow, with temps far above normal for SBN. Euro AI on the other hand, had deep winter. I am not ready to spike the ball, since we are only on the 15 yard line, but AI has held fairly steady while the others are showing signs of capitulation. We'll see what happens! I am ready to make this prediction: Next year at this time we will all be going to the AI models first...with occasional references to the "legacy models".

Obviously a depiction error, but still cool to look at!

Survivable....if you had the prescience to stock up at the grocery store the nights before.

The 168hr storm shown on euro seems to be another windy little bugger, at least down here.

At first glance, I thought someone was forecasting the solstice, lol. Euro AI continues to intrigue me...and it has been showing a stormy-wintry look in this time frame.

No inversion layer at all back here, that should "help".

Now this is a funny map!

Nice stinger now. I can't believe this was mostly snow down here. We're on the scoreboard!

Either he videoed that in a mirror or he had his shirt on inside out, but good presentation.

My focus is going to be heavily focused on SBN when The Tide comes calling on 12/20 or 21. I want 10f with wind driven light snow of the "sand" variety.

Is it 1969?

The Villages? Hope he is using a jimmy.

OT, but cool snowricane over SW Michigan:

Say what!?

Go get em Clark!

You say goodbye, and I say hello, hello hello...