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Go Kart Mozart

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Everything posted by Go Kart Mozart

  1. Go Kart Mozart
    AIs have proven to be better outside of 96 hours, but the physics-based models are better inside of that time frame. It makes perfect sense really, the "math equation" is solvable in the shorter time frames, but too chaotic to be useful in the longer range. Pretty much can be said for ensembles vs. operational. The value of pattern recognition is greatest in the longer (mid, really) ranges.
  2. Go Kart Mozart
    Rock bottom. When I see a post about the 84 Reggie...and I dive in to take a look. I need an intervention.
  3. Go Kart Mozart
    Unfortunately, we have reached the time frame where the physics-based models outperform the AIs.
  4. Go Kart Mozart
    Geezus..what's more than a warning? A bl-bl-bl-bliz...I can't say it.
  5. Go Kart Mozart
    I recall that as a clipper that went 200 miles east of VA, then took a hard left turn....maybe my memory is faulty
  6. Go Kart Mozart
    Although it was rock solid with the current non-event. For quite a few runs we laughed at it when it placed the low over BGM.
  7. Go Kart Mozart
    This is the best sounding I have seen for SBN since...the internet age started? Unidirectional NNW winds from the ground to heaven, virtually no inversion, and insane omega in the DGZ. Wow.
  8. Go Kart Mozart
    Does euro still have the bias of holding energy toward the SW too long, or has that been corrected?
  9. Go Kart Mozart
    I was joking...probably should add an emoji.
  10. Go Kart Mozart
    I'll be pissed if I get only 22" while the Laurel Highlands get 73".
  11. Go Kart Mozart
    Seymour Butts?
  12. Go Kart Mozart
    I am guessing you are referring to TT, but I wouldn't know, I have him on ignore. Unfortunately, I still have to deal with his asinine threads.
  13. Go Kart Mozart
    Is it just my amateur eye, or did 18z euro improve significantly for the 15th? I don't know where to post now, Torch Tiger has effed up the forum with his bullshit.
  14. Go Kart Mozart
    Good news though. Even though storm one fails, storm two ushers in some very cold air after it cuts to our west and north!
  15. Go Kart Mozart
    Check out the 980 low over Newfoundland...then one run later, in the same time frame, it is over southern Greenland. A 1,000 mile adjustment in one run?
  16. Go Kart Mozart
    Apropos of nothing, but why not.
  17. Go Kart Mozart
    To channel the late Johnny Cochran: "If the AIs don't commit, the storm ain't legit".
  18. Go Kart Mozart
    So, ICON was right once again?
  19. Go Kart Mozart
    With so much UL energy, I am wondering if we will see some weird semi-convective results, or unexpected mini-convergence zones. Something like....a general dusting with lollies to 8". The far east looks a bit more like a normal storm result.
  20. Go Kart Mozart
    Nice MJO journey at the same time.
  21. Go Kart Mozart
    Vortex Dude...please post here more often, nice contributions!
  22. Go Kart Mozart
    I can see the Canuck through 162. Looks like it is putting all its chips on wave 2.
  23. Go Kart Mozart
    Critical runs incoming. On-hour, full data. LFG.
  24. Go Kart Mozart
    How about the mods wipe this thread out. Let a real weather fan start a new thread at the proper time. All this thread does is split the posts, doing a disservice to the group.
  25. Go Kart Mozart
    ICON with a helluva storm...over Binghamton.
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