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wxman

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Everything posted by wxman

  1. wxman
    It ends up ok. What its doing at 21z I have no idea. If NAM is right it's going to be bone dry until later in the afternoon tomorrow.
  2. wxman
    It perked up a bit but notably different compared to HRR especially early on.
  3. wxman
    18Z NAM looks dreadful so far.
  4. wxman
    Still quite a spread so close in.
  5. wxman
    I hate to criticize the NWS but really need to question what Mt. Holly is doing here. Not everyone pays close attention to the weather and just scan the forecast...relying on I phone alerts and the like if anything serious in about to happen. Mt. Holly does not even have headlines for the winter storm starting tomorrow outside of the NW zones. While most people "probably" heard something about snow tomorrow we are looking at a likely impactful storm on a holiday weekend starting around 24 hours from now. I get it, there is much uncertainty but at least an advisory is warranted for most of NJ at this time which can then be escalated to a WSW.
  6. wxman
    Fair enough but a few of us were saying the rgem was on crack being so far west a few days ago yet it sure seems like the western envelope will prevail here.
  7. wxman
    So if three days out the euro showed snow because the low was racing towards Bermuda and the the rgem showed rain because the low was off of ACY and the end result was snow because the actual low passed 50 miles east of ACY, you would say the euro performed better?
  8. wxman
    It's not only about snow. On that score you are correct. But in terms of placement the RGEM has been as or perhaps more consistent than the Euro. But the relatively small southeast ticks have resulted in a likely snowier outcome.
  9. wxman
    For the RGEM to be right the euro would need to be wildly wrong on an 84 hour forecast. If the RGEM showed snow and the euro showed rain at that range, which would you pick?
  10. wxman
    0.5" here. 7.57" for the season. 23 degrees.
  11. wxman
    I assume we are talking 2 to 5 flakes. Not sure we will even get that.
  12. wxman
    Define "coast". Verbatim NYC gets 10+ on the 18z GFS. Down the Jersey Shore and LI, yes, much less snow.
  13. wxman
    1" total here.
  14. wxman
    Well, the 18z hrrr gives us 4" lol........
  15. wxman
    That's the definition of noise. The best I can say is it didn't go south.
  16. wxman
    I saw three flakes just now.
  17. wxman
    1" even. Snow done. Nice! Temp 24.
  18. wxman
    Nice burst of snow. 24 degrees.
  19. wxman
    Elevation helps a lot in these marginal temp events. Was in downtown Somerville last night and virtually nothing OTG. On the hill the ground was completely covered.
  20. wxman
    4.75" final total
  21. wxman
    Everything but paved surfaces covered. .2-.3 on the picnic table. 31.3
  22. wxman
    32.5 with light snow grains/sleet falling.
  23. wxman
    The parade may suck but it's on NBC as it has been for years.
  24. wxman
    Light wet snow here. No accumulation. 34.7
  25. wxman
    First scattered flakes of the season in my backyard. 34.7
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