IWXwx
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Everything posted by IWXwx
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Boy, this thread's been dead. Oh, we're going to Dayton the first week of December to see Trans Siberian Orchestra. Hope we don't get 89'd.
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The same thing that happened to spring-two weeks worth in May
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1.91" here as of 7 AM. Picked around another 1/2" this morning. Rivers going into minor flood.
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Not even close to a frost out this way yet. Tonight will be the first night to get below 40 and the forecast calls for 39 before the clouds roll in with the approaching warm front.
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After I posted those CPC forecast maps yesterday, I thought they looked familiar. On the left is this year's predictions and last year's is on the right. Cut and paste?
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...oh, and here's their temp prediction, as if anyone would be surprised.
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Other than western Colorado, the Dakotas and Minnesota, CPC used that Nina map for their winter season precip prediction.
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Just when you think you've got ENSO figured out, climate change comes along and throws a wrench into the cogs.
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Meh, yeah more fall-like weather compared to the blast furnace we've been experiencing, but I'm seeing no chance of frost in the next 10 days, which is the normal dates of the first frost in our area. In fact, I'm not even seeing any 30's in the current modeling.
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I just told my wife yesterday that it seems that over the last few years the winter runs long with a short spring and summer runs long with a short autumn. Those 30-year averages kind of verifies that.
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I'm riding Brian D's Old Farmers Almanac model.
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Well okay then! Ludington-Lake Michigan
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Meanwhile, 3 1/2" of rain imby and 5-6" in some areas in the past two days will wipe out the "abnormally dry" status in northeastern Indiana/northwest Ohio.
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The area's rainfall forecast maps look like an advisory level snow forecast except it's inches of rain.
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Our NWI posters need to head up to the Indiana Dunes area and get some video of the 10-14 ft. waves crashing onto shore tomorrow.
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Mother Nature is complying with the calendar for Northeast Indiana. We have enjoyed a prolonged stretch of much above normal temperatures and even yesterday and today was/will be in the upper 70's. However, the autumnal equinox tomorrow will bring highs only reaching the upper 50's with the cold through/closed low (depending on your model of choice) and not much recovery until Friday afternoon. Welcome to fall 2021.
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I saw my first v down here yesterday.
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Grass was getting cooked here. Close to an inch of rain with tonight's line of storms cured that. A real nice evening of rain, some boomers, and a lot of crawlers.
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It's been the opposite here. A couple of barely normal, a couple duds. The odds are working in our favor in northeast IN.
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LOL at the area between the two Watches getting raked
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I thought Roger Edwards put out a top notch outlook this morning (as usual), but I also see what you are saying about underplaying the threat.
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In the midst of this putrid severe weather year for most of the country, anecdotally, WI and MI seem to cashing in.
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I don't have a clue about what happened, but sorry to hear that you're not a mod anymore. I for one am thankful that you will still be posting, as you are one of the more educated, level-headed posters here. I've learned a ton from you over the years.
