TWCCraig
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Everything posted by TWCCraig
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Maybe you guys need some better insulation! I had the window open last night, coldest it got was 64 inside. Hoping these clouds break up soon
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Tons of new fires popping up, now in eastern Canada. A lot of places, arguably a large chunk of North America are experiencing drier than normal conditions, and places north of here are well above average with 90's well into Canada. Tons of fuel for fires to develop and keep going. Only places that have been wetter than normal are the extreme Southeast and just east of the Rockies. I don't think I've ever seen so many fires burning in eastern Canada, western yes, but eastern Canada is typically cooler and wetter in the spring. All we can hope for is some rain!
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
TWCCraig replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
I expect another above average summer. It's almost impossible to have a below average one nowadays. 2014 was "cool" but really lacked any significant heat. 2009 was the last real cool summer around here. Every year since then has been near average to above average. When in doubt, you could always go above average and you'll be right more often than wrong. FWIW, Euro seasonal and weeklies have a ridge building over the central US come July with cooler than normal temps to our NE. Interested to see if this verifies, or just model noise.
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Forecast for today is sunny, but today is akin to a day with tons of high level clouds/cirrus due to all the smoke in the sky from the wildfires. It gives that dull, gloomy feeling to what should be a sunny day. Bummer
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Beautiful day, 78 degrees. Take note, those "clouds" to our northeast are not clouds but smoke from wildfires raging in Alberta and British Columbia in Canada. Impressively thick smoke from thousands of miles away
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HRDPS has 95 for BDL (Windsor Locks), Connecticut tomorrow. BDL is sitting at 92 right now so mid 90's for tomorrow would be a good bet there. Crazy to be talking temps near 100 degrees in New England in April
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Solid 80 degrees here still with good breeze off the water
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82 and sunny 67 degrees just a couple miles to my SE. Happy to not be in the sea breeze today!
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72 and cloudy
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NYC is currently tied with 2012 for the warmest January 1st-March 30th period on record. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jan 1 to Mar 30 Missing Count 1 2023-03-30 43.1 1 - 2012-03-30 43.1 0 3 2020-03-30 42.4 0 4 1990-03-30 42.1 0 5 1998-03-30 41.7 0 6 2002-03-30 41.4 0 7 2016-03-30 40.2 0 8 1949-03-30 40.0 0 9 2006-03-30 39.8 0 - 1991-03-30 39.8 0 11 1953-03-30 39.7 0
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Down to 32. Moderate snow, coating on most surfaces, streets wet
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Need your snow fix? Here's a live feed from Maine with lots of deer. If only it was here!
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Pretty sure it's ice pellets. Under decent radar returns right now but my visibility is pretty high. I was under heavy snow before
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1.5" OTG Snow/sleet mix
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Most roads covered except avenues and highways. Even those have some snow. Dumping
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Heavy snow and breezy
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Solid coating down Moderate snow
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Mostly snow now!
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Just drove down the Sagtikos, middle of island is mostly snow. Once I got to the south shore it was mostly sleet
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No leafout but silver maples are budding and daffodils are sprouting
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The difference is probably resulting from using different climate averages. Tropical tidbits looks to be using CFSR 1981-2010, Weatherbell is using ECMWF ERA-5 1991-2020. Weathermodels.com appears to be using some 20-year average. The differences could also be resulting from whether it's a instantaneous snapshot of temperature anomalies, or the average of the anomalies over the past 6 to 12 hours
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High of 69 and dropping now with increasing clouds and a sea breeze, so I've never got into the 70's but glad to see ISP's record fall. HRRR, RGEM, HRDPS did great with temps today
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ISP at 69 Officially breaks the all-time warmest February temp on record. Original record was 68 set last year
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Most sites on Long Island are 60+ already except Montauk. Already exceeding the lower-end model forecasts for today. RGEM, HRDPS, HRRR had the right idea. HRRR has 71 later for ISP. Would be the all-time record. We'll see, we have clouds and the sea breeze which could easily prevent that
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HRRR has 70's tomorrow before some late afternoon rain moves in
