TWCCraig
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Everything posted by TWCCraig
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Storms are always going to be hit or miss this time of year. I expect a thunderstorm or two but not an all day washout. Maybe the sea breeze front saves the south shore today. Not the most ideal weather for the 4th but I think it's crazy to constantly cancel things because of the chance of rain. There's a chance of rain in Florida everyday, that doesn't stop them!
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2PM: EWR: 91 LGA: 89 NYC: 87 FRG: 87 JFK: 86
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The models, as of yesterday, had a period of sun for today, some had places in NJ hitting 90 like yesterday's 18z HRRR. We knew there was going to be an initial batch of showers this morning associated with the warm front, and we knew there is potential for decent convection in the evening hours. To be fair, it's not really a bust.
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Raining... again!
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Beautiful day out here. Temps upper 70's and low 80's and bright sunshine with a sea breeze. Cloudy this morning, but sunny all day with towering cumulonimbus clouds to my north. Almost a typical summertime day minus a couple degrees
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Huge difference between you and me and were only a mile or two apart. Full sunshine here
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Fully clear here, no daytime heating clouds with the sea breeze, though I expect clouds and fog to return this evening
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Sun came out about a half hour ago. The sky is actually a nice deep blue for once, no smoke
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The June 1st - June 17th period for NYC ranks as the 55th coolest since 1869. More significant cooler periods in recent years are 2006, 2009, and 2012, all of which were cooler than the first 17 days of June 2023. 1998, 2003, and 2009 all featured significantly cooler weather than this June so far, and those 3 rank as the coolest June 1st- June 17th period in the past 40 years respectively. The table below shows the ranks from 1980 to present. NYC is ranked at 10 since 1980. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 17 Missing Count 1 1998-06-17 64.6 0 2 2003-06-17 64.8 0 3 2009-06-17 64.9 0 4 1982-06-17 65.5 0 5 1997-06-17 66.0 0 6 2006-06-17 67.4 0 7 2012-06-17 67.5 0 8 2002-06-17 67.6 0 9 1980-06-17 67.8 0 10 2023-06-17 68.4 0
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Just missed the storm by a mile to my west, a little breezy here Had more thunderstorms these past 2 weeks than all of last summer
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Tired of these milky-gray smokey skies already. Almost everyday this June has either been cloudy or smokey. I think we've only had like one or two fully clear days
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You can notice on days with smoke in the sky the temperatures are a bit slower to rise in the morning. It would be equivalent to the sun rising 10-20 minutes later than it is. I wonder how much cooling the smoke has had over the past several weeks. Albeit probably not a whole lot in the grand scheme of things, but you can't argue temps wouldn't be slightly warmer if we had 100% full sun.
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If I checked correctly, the last time NYC had 3 consecutive months below normal was 8 years ago January-March 2015
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It's mostly mid to high level clouds, but there still is some smoke aloft which is probably promoting more clouds at those levels with the additional condensation nuclei. There is also a small amount of smoke near the surface still
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That's the coldest snapshot though, it's a full blown ridge after that. I wouldn't be surprised if it got pushed back though
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Weeklies are still a torch for July. They have not backed down. This is the coldest snapshot from yesterday's run. I expect the weeklies to adjust and show more cooler weather in this time frame, but still well above normal for the month
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Interestingly, I was on the north shore when I posted that. Seems that there's pockets of thicker smoke in certain areas. Visibility down to 2.5 miles at ISP, though it doesn't look as bad now as it was before (I'm back on the south shore now), the smoke was thick earlier. I was very surprised given how clear it was around noon/late morning And yes, the sea breeze would bring in more smoke as there's less mixing out
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Looks like the visibility is going down a little bit outhere. Still very smoky when looking into the distance. Visibility was around 8 miles at ISP around 1pm, now it's down to 3 miles
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Still in the thick of it on LI. Hasn't improved yet. Street lights coming on
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Visibilities less than a mile now. Looks unreal outside. Everything is orange, the smell is strong. Unreal
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Unbelievable, never seen smoke this thick before in my life. This is insane!
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Getting very intense and close lightning strikes even though radar returns are moderate at best. Lots of lightning today
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Missed the hail, still decent thunderstorm. Never seen hail in my life here
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Picked up 0.14". Needed more but it'll do for now. Just glad to see some rain
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Temps climbing slower than usual. Smoke is blocking out most of the sun. Lots of near ground smoke too, can see it in the distance
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