TWCCraig

Snow/graupel mix, starting to get a coating finally

Latest HRRR is still 2-3" NYC and east. Barely any accumulating snow before 6pm, most falls after 6pm. This is inline with what most models had (timing wise)

Most models didn't have any steady precip until about 5/6pm out here on Long Island so it's going as planned. 2-4" out this way

Steady graupel here with some flakes, no rain so far!

I remember Stony Brook's MM5! Though it's more for storm surge forecasting Expecting 2-4" here on the south shore

Best thunderstorm in years and it's basically January. Tons of ctg strikes

Seems like we get better thunderstorms in the winter than in the summer, at least here!

Couple fires in NJ sending a smoke plume over Manhattan

Unfortunately the dry streak in NYC is over picking up 0.01", but if no more rain falls through Thursday it should still be the driest month all-time behind June 1949 where 0.02" fell

If the rain chances this upcoming week don't pan out, there's a chance for many spots to have their driest September on record. This could also end up being one of the driest months ever. ISP currently only has 0.06" of precip for September, record for the driest month is 0.18" set in October 2000 and August 1964. NYC is currently tied for 5th driest month ever NYC: Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year-Month Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 1949-06 0.02 0 2 1963-10 0.14 0 3 1995-08 0.18 0 4 1884-09 0.21 0 5 2024-09 0.24 9 - 1964-08 0.24 0 ISP: Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year-Month Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2024-09 0.06 9 2 2000-10 0.18 0 - 1964-08 0.18 0 4 2013-10 0.22 0 5 1963-10 0.24 0

Been mostly sunny here all day. 81

85/77 Dew points went up with the sea breeze

Not much since June 27th

Haven't seen the sun in how long? Feels like forever. We've been locked in with these clouds. These clouds will probably clear just in time for Monday lol

Central Park at 73, hottest spot in the whole area as it should be. Amazing what a lack of foliage can do this time of year for that station 69 on the island

Beautiful day, the HRDPS or the GEM-LAM hinted 80 degree temps briefly even for the island. Wouldn't be achievable without the offshore flow. Absolutely loves days like this!

Something interesting I've noticed during the last solar eclipse in 2017 is how much the temperatures drop during the eclipse. I was in SC for that one, you were able to notice the temperature drop a couple degrees simply due to the lack of sun. I'm curious to see how the eclipse will effect high temps today, I can see temps peaking early. Most weather models do not take into account the loss of heating from a solar eclipse.

Looking on USGS, there was a 2.2M earthquake less than a mile from today's earthquake back on March 14th, so there might be some aftershocks over the coming days as the area is still active. There happens to be a quarry right where the epicenter of those 2 quakes are although a quarry can't cause that large of a quake lol

If you think about it, the rain adds millions of tons of weight on top of the ground. Wouldn't be surprised if there's some correlation. August 2011 was very wet just like this past March

That one was in Virginia, this one, although a little weaker, is a lot closer to home

That was so cool. Sitting in my car as it rocks back and forth! Thought it was the wind but it wasnt that windy! Such a rare but cool event, I remember the one back in August 2011

55 and sunny here on the south shore. Clouds built up along the sea breeze boundary to the north, akin to a summer day where the north shore would be getting storms right now

Gusts as high as 46mph at ISP and 50mph at JFK so far

Decent moderate snow now, heaviest rates of the morning so far. Probably about an inch or two on the ground so far. Side streets covered

Nice to finally have some snow! Turned to rain here now but temp is 30.9 so it's freezing rain