mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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And in classic Gfs form, it fails. Lol Unless east of the Bay.
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GfsAI qpf a little SE from 6z. No snowfall maps on Pivotal.
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Jmho, don't buy the models that are dry in northern MD and PA. Starting with last weekend's storm, I've received almost exactly 2" qpf, including almost 1" from last weekend'sstorm. None of the models had that. At least in these parts, the drought pattern is over with a noticeable regime change thanks to the warming equatorial Pacific.
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And you people scoffed at me when I posted the 9z Rap. Shame on you weenies, shame on you!
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Love this 500mb wind map off Nam
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Nah. Too subtle and I haven't bothered to look. All comes down to exactly where low sits and spins.
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Nam time
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Fwiw, Hrrr looking a lot like Rap
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I know it's the Rap, but the 9z really moved west over the 3z (extended Rap also comes out every 6 hrs but at 3z, 9z, etc.) With the Srefs and Eps, now Rap, moving west from 0z/3z, we can hope for another jump west. p.s. Wennied myself before anyone else does it!
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Didn't see it posted, but 6z Eps improved over 0z.
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Eps snowier than I would have guessed beyond this weekend. Not crazy, but enough to suggest a decent chance or 2 over the next 2 weeks.
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You would think, but apparently not, with few exceptions. Fwiw, Ukie ensembles, which is the best they ever looked.
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We're just not north enough for them to fully develop unless you're east and NE.
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Rap is the last standing bomb for most at this point. This is thru Monday 12z with more to come.
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I'm talking what counts, snowfall in our back yards.
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None of the foreign models have been all in like the Gfs/Nam and other short range US models. Jma isn't that great either and not worth posting.
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I was comparing his 10:1 map to the Kuchera map and responding to his statement to cut 10:1 by 25-33% to get Kuchera.
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With the system pushed west, the norlun got pushed west too.
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York gets more. Northern areas and those under the cc are least affected.
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No it doesn't.
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Running on Pivotal. 39hrs
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Closes 3 hrs later
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Same as the Rap map I posted above and mentioned.
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Eh, 21z Rap is no slouch either. Plenty more to go after this panel with a nice bowling ball of circled 500mb Heights to the west yet to come through. And if scroll back to an earlier panel you notice that in the last panel attached a new slp is starting to reform tucked in along the coast. That's what the Gfs had in its first bomb of 2-4'!
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The February 22-23 Late Season Miracle: JV Disco/Banter Thread
mitchnick replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
Another soul lost to RR. You happy RR?
