mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Enjoy https://avalonpier.com/piercam/
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Ukie's a nyet
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Fwiw, Cfs2 is really wet in the east for March. If we can get some of that to come in before the end of the month, we'll be tired of shoveling.
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Congrats Randy. Bullseye at 96hrs.
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Looks like that would be the best we'd due on the Nam thanks to that GL vort pressing down. We need that to move a little faster to get more than 2".
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It still has a "storm" instead of the Gfs sunny skies.
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Nam's liking next week it seems. Good to know we have the 2 best models in support of our cause. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026013112&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 We just need to move that GL low along before it crushes it.
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3 as the low for the closest reporting site near me. -8F, if you can believe it, at York Airport. They are known for extreme low temps as they are in a bit of a valley and their thermometer is located in a a low spot very close to a creek bed. https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KTHV.html
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I was comparing surface maps at 120hrs on 6z Icon and Gfs.
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Surface maps of the 6z Gfs and 0z Euro show literally nothing. Lol
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It's a great model. Can't wait for everything else to ketchup.
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It's been showing up more on modeling than reality since I moved up here unfortunately.
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Talk about coming out of nowhere.
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It does. But I was wondering where all the cold air went. Lol
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3k Nam advertising a last minute fail for eastern NC snow.
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Great beach weekend at KD Hills. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-75.664&lat=36.013
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So AI jumps north from 12z with Wednesday threat and the plays the disappearing act with the 4-6" event it had for next weekend. So much for the notion of AI being consistent.
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That seems to be an AI thing. I've been noticing that on a number of both AI runs.
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Incredible how far south this has been crushed.
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Yeah. It was on the Gfs and I posted on it in a response to Stormtracker.
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I was looking at snowfall on Pivotal, not that it matters.
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No. It's really weak too. Not more than 1" east of the mountains.
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Ukie has nothing for us or anyone else for that matter.
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On the Gfs? They've got to be excited.
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If you use thr slide function for this 5H vort, not only is the weekend storm off the coast with its low height killing us, there's a s/w in Canada heading south making sure it gets crushed to our south. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2026013012&fh=6
