mitchnick

I don't know how you found that website that makes those cute little cards, but I wish you hadn't.

It was 1 run last week with 2' totals.

In hope of keeping hopes completely unrealistic, the 6z AI did jump north some too from 0z.

How about 100 instead.

You could see this run coming all the way back to hr. 27.

Nam has confluence this 12z run at 27hrs almost exactly as 12z yesterday fwiw.

This is the scale in mm.

6z AI

A touch south at 36hrs, but not much.

At 30hrs, it sure looks a lot like the 18z run.

Unfortunately for you, the term "going down" is not the going down you envision.

It's high resolution so you can look closely at its errors.

Ocean highway between 1st and 120th Streets gets nothing.

I loved that skit.

Not to ruin the party but to maybe save the lives of innocent animals, but the latest Srefs did tick south.

I don't think we get sustaining cold or warm, but the AI has the NAO negative at the end of its run today along with a decent new cold shot heading south from Canada. I think we're stuck in the middle of both seasons but with more cold than warm starting today thru 3/10-15. Just based on what I'm seeing on modeling, MJO, and the general reluctance of winter to give up in Niñas.

Mjo has us in the great phases for winter storms for the next 3 weeks or so (phases 8, 1, & 2.) It wouldn't be a shock to see the models starting to give some favorable looks as a result. I just am tired of the threat BS with nothing decent, if anything, to show for it.

My sister lives between Richmond and Williamsburg about 1.5 miles from Colonial Downs track. The Euro went from 14" yesterday to 3 or 4" today and I told her not to be surprised if it keeps going down. Of course, she's not a weenie and is fine with the reduction. She must be crazy!

Technically, starting from the ocean, you have the tidewater on the Eastern shore, then the coastal plain from the western shores of the Bay until you hit the piedmont, also referred to as the fall line, that continues until you reach the first ridge, the mountains. Also, some do include the tidewater and coastal plain as part of the coastal plain arguing that the Bay is just a body of water that intruded into the coastal plain after the ocean receeded. My recollection from a college geography class when the Bee Gees were #1 in the charts, was that the area inclusive of the tidewater and coastal plain were, at one time, under the/an ocean.

Nothing I hate more than cold, dry late winters. And that's looking like what we're in store for over the next 3-4 weeks, at least down here.

95+% of my posts I would bet we're accrued before I stopped posting in 1/18.

I look at the Euro. Is the Gfs graphcast also an AI?

If this ends as it looks like now, indisputable winner is the AI that never had a real hit, only some scrapes in varying degrees.

Nam really starting to look like other models.

Not what I want to see.