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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    And I would venture to say that it's because of the historic cold pressing that it is south. There are a few of our major snowstorms that were proceeded by historic cold, but 90%+ were not as overwhelming as this air mass.
  2. mitchnick
    Helluva block
  3. mitchnick
    If you run this 500mb vort prog in motion you can see around the Great Lakes the trough pushing a ridge overtop that's shoving our system SE. I think this is fairly representative of all the models. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2026012812&fh=1
  4. mitchnick
    Yeah...you still rub me the wrong way though!
  5. mitchnick
    In northern AA County, every once and a while little would would start to fall steadily, then dwindle to flurries, only to rub salt in the wound.
  6. mitchnick
    And therein lies the rub.
  7. mitchnick
    For those of us west of the Bay, Boxing day was even closer than what is depicted here.
  8. mitchnick
    Fwiw, if you compare 0z Nam to 6z, you can see that it took has taken on the precip shield as Gfs and Euro at 84hrs vs the "headed north" look of 0z.
  9. mitchnick
    This has had Boston's name all over it from the start with the way it extends east.
  10. mitchnick
    Here comes the northern stream energy to kick it east.
  11. mitchnick
    That's snow depth measuring what's already on the ground that isn't melting.
  12. mitchnick
    Just like the Gem, it's got the northern stream system coming out of the Dakotas. Gfs has essentially nothing of consequences on the map.
  13. mitchnick
    Could see it coming. That kicker in the upper Midwest came flying south out of Canada.
  14. mitchnick
    Watch out for that kicker on the Gem.
  15. mitchnick
    Not quite as good 0z.
  16. mitchnick
    Surface looks "busy." https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  17. mitchnick
    18Z GGEM https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  18. mitchnick
    Actually, cut snowfall in half from 12z for mby, BWI, DCA and even SBY.
  19. mitchnick
  20. mitchnick
    Height lines are not as far north at 72hrs and trough up north and little east of 12z
  21. mitchnick
    Maybe, but the surface map looks like the Gfs and unlike other medium range models. Just sayin'.
  22. mitchnick
    Posted that 2 hours ago. He's a copy cat! Lol
  23. mitchnick
    Appears to be a kicker coming down near the Dakotas and the Gfs has it further north into Canada, the Gem further south, and the Ukie the furthest south. It's killing the ridge orientation.
  24. mitchnick
    Ukie on the road to a total miss unless that trough has a miracle.
  25. mitchnick
    You could see it coming instead height lines all backing up.
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