mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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At 78hrs, heights are noticeably higher on the east coast.
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At 108hrs it does look better than 18z.
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Maybe it'll turn out better, but I ain't seeing it yet
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Icon leaves the Baja trough dangling.
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Would love to see that vortex in Canada drift a bit to the north and west by 50+ miles.
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I just pulled it up???
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Idk if it was how I said it to get those reactions, but 18z qpf really went down from 12z on the EuroAI ensembles (EPS).
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On the darker side, EuroAI ensembles looked to have lowered 12z qpf at DCA and BWI by .3" and York, PA by .2". Hopefully a blip.
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I said it looks like a part 2 for us up north in light of that northern stream trough.
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Snowfall total on 18z EuroAI is incredible and there is a blizzard ongoing on the last frame sure to add more had the run been longer.
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Mitchland too!
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Just checked 12z and that trough over Iowa wasn't there, just a tail of the trough over eastern Canada. .
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Look what's coming in up top at 144hrs. That'll definitely enhance snowfall. I think with that High pressure puling off the NE coast driving in cold ocean air and that trough coming in, there will be a part 2 for us northern folks.
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Ai has a 2nd event centered again in s va and MD eastern shore.
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Minor....see map above
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That kicker in the Dakotas is the problem on the Gfs suite this run. Will it start showing up on other guidance is the question.
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Which leads to the inevitable question Stormtracker continues to ponder...Do you feel lucky punk? Well do ya'?
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Anyone interested in maps from 18z GGEM, you can get them at the link below. Just be prepared to go back in time when you look at them. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&mod=cmc_gdps
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And that's the problem. It shows up way to soon.
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As for the AIGFS, look what's shown up over the Dakotas this run that nothing at 12z and didn't exist at 6z. Our little friend again.
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This is the way it works. If southern VA is the bullseye at 120hrs, it'll basically stay put with minor changes. If we're in the bullseye at 120hrs, it's heading north. Always been that way.
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EuriAI gives us 2 more monsters after this weekend while the Eps snowfall this run increases by 1.5" imby after this weekend! Lol wtf Sure hope technology wins this run.
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Don't close this thread. It's been good luck!
