mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Gfs sort of did that on yesterday's 12z run. Had it in PA, then reformed in VA.
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It should be snowing pretty good in a few minutes here. Won't last, of course.
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AI is basically a miss with maybe 1/2" for us and little or nothing around metros.
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Ukie not updating on Pivotal and only partial info on other sites.
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Fyi, GfsAI has fairly similar snowfall to regular Gfs from what I can tell by piecing 6hr precip maps with 850 temps. Very rudimentary, of course, but close enough to get close to what it's showing for snowfall.
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GfsAI has an overrunning event that starts as snow but goes to something else. So the idea similar to last night's runs is still there.
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Last 4 runs of Gefs snowfall for period ending 186hrs on 12z run. Definite, slow improvement.
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As long as the Gfs, the best snowfall model so far, with the patchy mess, expect to see the rest of modeling follow suit I would guess.
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You do know the line between sane and insane is fine.
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On a related note, I don’t know who these people are, but it just showed up on my YouTube feed. Haven't even listened to it, but the title alone gives me joy.
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Of course it's sketchy at best, but it's better than showing something crappy.
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I don't dislike how the Nam looks at the end of the run. Just sayin'.
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How would I know?
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Geps all lit up at the end of its run last night too.
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First 10 days. Must be some hits from threat 2 in here.
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Reminds me of PDII.
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Storm 1 coming back to life probably screwed it up, so we really do need 1 to work.
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Euro completely lost threat 2. Crazy
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Fuggetaboutit...it's a 126hr panel. Everything remains on the table and a 126hr bullseye is not something to write home about (as you know.)
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Best precip field won't be nailed 4+ days out in any storm.
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Thru 234hrs. Both "threats"
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It did over to our east toward York, and that's the site I used.
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I don't care about the rain in the winter, I'm just giving an example how lack of precip has been a problem in the current weather regime.
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Moisture has been a problem for years with this -PDO and/or Niña. Heck, the 1"+ rain that was supposed to fall today ended up at only .38" at York Airport.
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Only thing I can see is too much interference
