mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Pivotal shows 3-4", with a bullseye of 6" on the Cape.
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Ninja'd!
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That's one hell of a big molar in nw Virginia. Quite the dental office there, I'm sure.
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Crazy how Gefs and EuroAI snowfall is very similar thru 300hrs. Similar, but not good. Clearly, modeling is favoring as of now suppression and is unimpressed with anything else for us. The straw we can grasp for now is it's too far to be confident of anything.
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Gotta' give it credit. It learns fast. Lol
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I think we can laugh in 6 hours for this one.
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Hey...a usual suspect!
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That's close enough for 180hrs away. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2026011718&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Euro wasn't into this morning either and it overperformed the Euro forecast x5 in some places like Mappyland and other northern MD locations and x2 imby. The most/more conservative runs of the mesos prevailed over the globals this morning imho. I'll roll with the same winners tomorrow since it's a similar looking system in some ways.
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That's not far off the deck at all. Higher elevations in Howard, Carroll and Baltimore counties should be able to overcome it...hopefully.
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@TSSN+ We're officially hugging the 3k Nam.
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Eps likes late next weekend and not suppression.
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So there's nothing else on the Euro that's threat worthy?
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I think he prefers to sip it.
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Euro AI thru 288hrs lol
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I cannot recall any winter when central and Southern VA scored first they didn't have a better winter to us relative to average. If anyone can remember one, shout it out.
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Fwiw, Icon had potential at the end of its 12z run.
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Canadian cold has won out this year. I think suppression is a bigger concern.
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Fwiw 15z Rap a decent compromise for areawide snow tomorrow. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026011715&fh=42&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Still snowing lightly and bands developing just to my west, but I doubt much more, if any, accumulation. Hope other. A touch over 1" if it's acceptable to use a car roof as a snow board.
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There's been some backbuilding, but heavy stuff will be ending shortly. There's a 2nd band east of Pittsburgh, so we probably don't clear out until that's past us. But that's a weenie hope.
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I hope they see your Grey hat first!
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Hrrr
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12z Hrrr at 17hrs looking further west than 0z.
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You can see the heavy back edge on radar too.
