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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Something will pop back up. We'll still be in a favorable MJO phase. And then we've got HM on our side.
  2. Wth went on down there. My brother said his bill has doubled+. New rates or new taxes?
  3. Never forget, the Euro is usually right when it screws us and wrong when it crushes us.
  4. Just a reminder that the map is 10:1, so you would think Kuchera would increase it some.
  5. Actually, I was trying to convey that I didn't have the scientific answer myself with the emoji, but I would certainly think sleet comes in different shapes and sizes to effect accumulations some. But since sleet is generally 3:1, you probably wouldn't notice a big difference between 2.5:1 and 3.5:1.
  6. Not when you're selling the truth. Here's a link to the 6z GGEM. Also very close to 0z. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off
  7. At 39hrs, the 12k has a 1007 slp in central Mississippi, yet it just punch the sleet line thru mby like a hot knife thru butter some 1000+ miles away. Pretty crummy long wave pattern that we can't keep this storm from turning nasty.
  8. There's really no coastal. Just one circle of isobars. Warm air advecting from the south must have been shut off, but I don't know how or why.
  9. Really odd how the sleet makes it just past Hanover at 3pm, but then starts sinking back down the next 2 hours so we're back to snow at 5pm. But, the slp is still in WV gradually moving north. Take a look at it TSSN+.
  10. Longer range Rap currently updating is colder and wetter. Of course, there's the range issue, but it's better than warmer/dryer.
  11. That .02" worth of sleet over mby has been on the prior 2 runs, I believe, as well. Consistency is crazy.
  12. Can't recall the Gfs being this persistent for this long and being horribly wrong. It was equally persistent in 1/16 and did well. Let's hope.
  13. This is one for the ages. The GGEM 12z run showing snow on the ground at 240 hours. Never seen that before.
  14. DC is a good bit north of the 546 height lines for sleet vs usual. Gotta be ultra shallow layer at that point.
  15. Icon Icon drops another 3-4" this week too!
  16. Don't know if it's too early for sat pics, but this has an expansive view of the Conus+. https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/large
  17. I haven't, but I can't say I go out socializing very much. Lol I was at the Walmart last night and they literally did not have 1 gallon of milk left and shelves were half to completely empty.
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