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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. First 2 Niños I was old enough to be a weenie and experience were 77/78 & 82/83. Boy did they ever skew my expectations for Niños. Lol Both had decent Decembers in the Mid Atlantic
  2. Sorry. I was cleaning out my attachments and deleted a few too many recent ones. Anyway, here's the link. You can get more info than what I originally posted. https://www.jamstec.go.jp/aplinfo/sintexf/e/seasonal/outlook.html
  3. Starting to see that sought after wintertime pivot in the radar echoes, with areas north of Westminster, MD in the jackpot zone.
  4. Center looks to be cutting ENE now from southern MD as rain is starting to fill in again around Baltimore. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DOX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  5. 6z Euro as well as other guidance has Ophelia's center passing to our SE so we'll stay under the NW precip field most of the day. It's become your typical inland runner at this point with much needed rain.
  6. Raining steady. From a distance, it looks like 1.5"+ in the gauge. Precse measurement when I feel like getting wet.
  7. Bwi just over an inch. High likelihood they'll make 2" at this rate imho, which is in line with progs. https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KBWI.html
  8. It'll fill in as the center moves north. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=AKQ-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad .7" so far imby.
  9. From a purely MA winter perspective, I don't care where the ONI peaks at so long as the MEI can reach a mod to strong level.
  10. I don't think you can use a 5 day 5h anomaly forecast at the end of the model's range to prove October will turn out differently from a previous October. The model could be wrong or even if correct, it's pure luck that 5 days out of 31 will accurately depict the entire month.
  11. Godspeed! It's actually sad what has happened to Baltimore's Inner Harbor. When I was in law school back in the early 80's, the place was packed on weekends, a real party atmosphere. It was a great place to go with plenty of bars and safe. Sure, an occasional mugging, but there were lots of cops around and they tried hard to keep it that way. Now, I would be reluctant to go there during the daytime hours, but that's me.
  12. There's too many old, married men in this subforum living in the past. Lol
  13. Thanks to this weekend and next weekend with a similar event, Euro says drought conditions may be ending very soon. Just hope it's right.
  14. Some decent cams of the storm at this link. https://www.surfchex.com/cams/nags-head-web-cam-abalone-st/
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