mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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It did ok with today's event, but that could have been luck as it's rarely the best model on any particular storm. The king has been dethroned with nothing to replace it, so model anarchy rules.
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Shame timing on the Gem is off on this. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2024021312&fh=132&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Ggem is serving shredded wheat for the weekend. We toss.
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Dang. Gfs is advertising cold shot after cold shot.
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Come on. Guys like you and me are too good for that...
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Weird how the Gfs really slows down the slp from 84hrs onward. Sorta like it's waiting for something to explode. Lol
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Vigorous sucker on Gfs. Max is thru N MD this run.
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Here comes the GOM on Gfs
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Gfs is going to be south of 6z
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Not when you drive like I do.
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I'm liking 12z modeling so far. We may just nickel and dime ourselves to average yet thanks to February, the favored month in Niños.
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I had 4" on the dot, and he's not that far from me.
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Who you calling sunny, old man?
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12z Nam offering a new twist to the weekend not on other modeling...Gulf of Mexico connection?
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Just ended.
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If this season has taught us anything, it's there ain't no king of modeling anymore.
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Best part of this snow is that sidewalks and driveway amounts are substantially less than grass so I won't need to break my back shoveling. Lol
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Eps ain't bad. Looks like a lighter precip field as Icon, but our area as a bullseye. But lighter qpf is what you'd expect to see at this point on the ensembles.
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I'm under them right now and rates have picked up. End is near however.
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Lots of chance ls on the 6z Gfs, but no direct hits. That's ok with me.
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Looks like 4" so far eyeballing and still snowing.
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I need my temp to drop at least another degree, preferably 2. Accumulating everywhere, but slowly due to temp. My residential neighborhood location has plenty of heating from the homes. Lol
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Hopefully the 6z Icon is correct with its 3-4" this weekend.
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I see the location on your sig, but where is that in relation to MDT?
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Models did a damn good job on changeover timing. I had sleet mixing in a little after 3:30 then gradual change to snow completed around 4:15.
