Jump to content

mitchnick

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,579

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Like the weatherman who forecasts without looking outside, he needs to check actual ssta's.
  2. mitchnick
    Bastardi fwiw. Mentions a lot of the same factors discussed here. https://www.weatherbell.com/winter-seasonal-forecast
  3. mitchnick
    Admittedly, I do feel honored to make Snowman's hate list.
  4. mitchnick
    Tell that to my wife.
  5. mitchnick
    Although the latest MEI number hasn't updated, it looks to me like this Graph has been for September/October. Assuming I'm right, the MEI has DROPPED for S/O.
  6. mitchnick
    But it's the internet. Jumping to conclusions and off bridges is just what people like to do.
  7. mitchnick
    Though I agree with you, I wouldn't expect the Nina base-state to get erased fast enough to produce numbers like 09/10*. For those of us lucky enough to be in the right spot for snow event(s), be prepared for a lot of wet snow with powder a fond memory. *Speaking from a MA perspective.
  8. mitchnick
    Despite the location of the surface anomalies, the upper 300 meters have been shifting westward.
  9. mitchnick
    Unless I hear it from Eric Webb, I won't get excited.
  10. mitchnick
    So in other words, if your hopes for a winter ruining super Niño don't materialize this year, you have renewed hope that next winter will be ruined by a Niña. Something is wrong with you.
  11. mitchnick
    As a paranoid Mid-Atlanticer, I'm hoping to get rid of the La Niño in favor of an El Niño by 12/1. I'm in no mood to roll the dice on snowfall with a "unique" look.
  12. mitchnick
    37 at 5am. Don't know what has happened since. THV sitting at 30...what's new.
  13. mitchnick
    With all the large wobbles, I have a hard time thinking daily ensemble updates are really that useful. Seems they are just as bad, or close to just as bad, as operational runs. Jmho
  14. mitchnick
    Betcha' I know who loves Webb...
  15. mitchnick
    I'd be happy with a weak pv to at least avoid a December shutout and hope for the SSW down the road. Heck, we don't require a SSW event in strong Niños with well placed forcing anyway.
  16. mitchnick
    Link is here with graph on the right side of the page. https://s2s.worldclimateservice.com/climatepanel/
  17. mitchnick
    27.2 so far, but 2 Wunderground sites near me have a 26 handle.
  18. mitchnick
    On a different note...
  19. mitchnick
    Looking at the surface temps as depicted on the SSTA maps, December has the east coast in the first AN level (don't see the legend, but I'm guessing+.5C-1C?) and the rest of the months are all in the normal range with some BN in February. That's not bad at all.
  20. mitchnick
    I think I've seen the Cansips late on TT 1, maybe 2 times, in the past many years. Usually out the evening of the last day of the month.
  21. mitchnick
    I admit it...I've been listening for the last 15 minutes.
  22. mitchnick
    Sounds good to me. Snow Water equivalent looks to be normal from Boston on south along I95 and westward beyond I81. I'll take that in a heartbeat.
  23. mitchnick
    Fwiw, updated Cansips from the Canadian site. Only map is a global map and no 500mb maps. https://climate-scenarios.canada.ca/?page=cansips-global
  24. mitchnick
    @FPizz Huh? I said I posted it yesterday and it was on the previous page.
  25. mitchnick
    They got those maps from the same link I posted last night, one page back in this thread. And it was cold off the presses by the time they posted it this afternoon. https://www.metcheck.com/SEASONAL/cansips_charts.asp
×
×
  • Create New...