mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Euro is 1/2"+ for that little appetizer before the big show. I'm hoping it overperforms to really get me fired up! Lol
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Geps for a split too.
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Nice Ninja! Lol This can only help in extending the cold.
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Eps snowfall total. Somebody pinch me...not you @Yardstickgozinya
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12z and 0z eps snowfall for comparison. Pretty close, for better or worse.
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Fyi, I read that the Ukie was a miss to the south. That's good to hear, but man that model sux at 7 days for snowstorms. I don't care what the 500mb map ratings say.
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All I know at this point is that I'm glad I don't live in my old location 2 miles north of BWI. After 33 years in the same home, I miss it at times for other reasons but not the winter weather. I'd be livid right now if I did. Lol
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Actually, when I move 2 time frames forward, it increases. Something wrong, but here it is anyway.
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Lots of snow falls first
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Yes, but first
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One would think not, but...
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Will it turn north?
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Batter up
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I didn't think I was wrong. western trough was weaker and more held back and 50/50 was a lot stronger, big step in right direction we were close https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/59861-jan-mediumlong-range-disco-winter-is-coming/?do=findComment&comment=7105385
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MC was supposed to be NC. lol
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10:1 and Kuchie. Really close to something huge further east.
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Yep. A little warmer than 0z. But ok for out west and north of me.
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Still primary west but new slp forming in MC at 156hrs. Still gunna be warmish methinks.
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At 150hrs, High in Canada in better spot and 1031 v 1027 at 0z.
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Same at 144hrs. I'm likihg what I'm seeing so far vs 0z Euro run.
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Trough is a little weaker and Canadian high a little stronger at 132hrs
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At 123 hrs on Euro, the High over Superior is 1028 v 1025 on 0z run. We'll see if it matters soon enough.
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Hate to see the Gfs with the jump north, but that was my concern in the earlier post about seasonal trends. It's not a disaster by any stretch and I'd take it in a heartbeat and be happy. But there's littke to no breathing room imby. Funny how the atmosphere wants to default back to its seasonal ways. That said, that next system is already in the wings with more high pressure in southern Canada than prior runs. That may end up giving us more than we figured with cold now entrenched in Canada.
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Fyi, there's been a lot written about the SSW and a possible split of the PV. Don't know if anyone has continued to follow it, but I have and the 6z Gfs operational is now splitting the PV again. It had backed off from showing it after a wave 1 hit, but now has it finally splitting after a second wave hit. This is good if it happens. Gefs aren't on board yet, but they always lag the operational on SSW events due to smoothing.
