mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Euro wasn't into this morning either and it overperformed the Euro forecast x5 in some places like Mappyland and other northern MD locations and x2 imby. The most/more conservative runs of the mesos prevailed over the globals this morning imho. I'll roll with the same winners tomorrow since it's a similar looking system in some ways.
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That's not far off the deck at all. Higher elevations in Howard, Carroll and Baltimore counties should be able to overcome it...hopefully.
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@TSSN+ We're officially hugging the 3k Nam.
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Eps likes late next weekend and not suppression.
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So there's nothing else on the Euro that's threat worthy?
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I think he prefers to sip it.
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Euro AI thru 288hrs lol
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I cannot recall any winter when central and Southern VA scored first they didn't have a better winter to us relative to average. If anyone can remember one, shout it out.
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Fwiw, Icon had potential at the end of its 12z run.
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Canadian cold has won out this year. I think suppression is a bigger concern.
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Fwiw 15z Rap a decent compromise for areawide snow tomorrow. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2026011715&fh=42&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Still snowing lightly and bands developing just to my west, but I doubt much more, if any, accumulation. Hope other. A touch over 1" if it's acceptable to use a car roof as a snow board.
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There's been some backbuilding, but heavy stuff will be ending shortly. There's a 2nd band east of Pittsburgh, so we probably don't clear out until that's past us. But that's a weenie hope.
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I hope they see your Grey hat first!
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Hrrr
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12z Hrrr at 17hrs looking further west than 0z.
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You can see the heavy back edge on radar too.
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Sun came up but it's darker than 1/2 hour ago.
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Suddenly snowing heavy. The most temperamental storm ever!
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Winds are from the s/se, and we're fighting dry air? Wtf?
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Only way to describe this "event" is goofy.
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Unless we get some serious back building (and fast!), looks like it ends sooner than later.
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Snowing hard now.
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Definitely dry air. There can be no other explanation. Fwiw, Rap and Hrrr still show 1"+ on their latest runs. So there's that, I suppose.
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I love how the Euro completely pulled the threat it was advertising at 150hrs at 12z and 144hrs at 18z on last night's 0z run (it's not there on 6z either.) So I feel even more confident than yesterday in saying the Euro fooked us again. Lol
