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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. The differences between the end of the Gfs and AIGfs runs are beyond laughable.
  2. Let's see if the Euro's rain predictions at this range are as overblown as it's snow predictions at this range. My guess is Yes!
  3. Hard to believe so little qpf out of a 996slp.
  4. That's OK. He hasn't changed much either since the 90's.
  5. Don't you have some pictures to hang in the new house for your wife?
  6. Another abysmal EuroAI snowfall run. 18z that is.
  7. I had 3.5" on 12/14. Higher elevations in Northern MD got upwards of 5". That was the last and only "decent" event up here this year, though I've had a couple 1/2"'ers and 3 or 4 days of trace snow.
  8. The NW-->SE flow that has been prevalent for the past 45+ days will not allow for a storm to spin up. We need the PNA to go decently positive or we're screwed if this pattern continues the rest of the season. Not totally screwed, of course, but limited to northern stream clippers, or clipper like systems, with accumulations of 1-4" max. Of course, it's been weeks since we had one of those, so they're not a guarantee either.
  9. 18z gfs has a potential clipper around day 10. Maybe explosive?
  10. No ensemble snowfall improvement on the Eps unfortunately.
  11. Well, when I saw the top 5H anomaly map at 252hrs, I wasn't expecting it to look like the bottom map at 264hrs. But I won't fight you on the "beggars can't be choosers" point of view.
  12. 1/16 looks interesting on the Euro Edit: until it failed
  13. Not so sure I buy temps. Precip....yes. Anything other than AN can be believed.
  14. January forecast sounds about right. Who knows on February.
  15. Realistically, legit "interest" begins mid month.
  16. I'll delete mine. Your colors are prettier.
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