mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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5 days out is way too long to ever get comfortable really.
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Oh no, that's cheating. I've said to my wife for years if I had to choose how to die, it would be from a heart attack shoveling snow.
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6z Eps is better than 0z Eps.
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And this is why the doctor said to take your meds before reading the board.
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Eps 24hr snowfall mean for storm better than 0z.
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Eps total thru 138hrs
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6z Eps snowfall mean beefier than 0z surprisingly.
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6z Eps snowfall today and tomorrow.
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Otoh, if it keeps getting wound up, we run the risk of overamplication and resulting track issues. Fine line and I'm sure we'll beat the analysis of it over the next 5 days like a dead horse. Lol
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Yeah, I didn't like seeing that elongation.
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Here's probably why the 6z is lighter. 0z kept the tpv intact while the 6z had split it and was starting to consolidate again as it approached the east coast. I think in future runs, should the tpv remain consolidated, you'll get those 2' numbers again.
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17 or 18 inches I can shovel I think. 2' that the 0z had might have been a bit much for this old man.
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Wax and wane. Once the models lock in on a solution early, you're going to get minor variations that are normal and have nothing to do with fail.
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Is it over at that point 138hrs?
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I knew you would be waiting on the 6z Heisey.
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31/?
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24hr Eps
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24hr Eps
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Eps total snowfall
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Why? It's close.
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Doesn't need to be with such cold temps.
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No, that would be the AHOLE model.
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Admit failure? Ugh, not likely.
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You weren't supposed to post it. Lol But since you did, I am starting to think the reason they're launching a new version on 2/25 is because there's a problem. The 18z run gave us essentially no precip after this weekend. Everything was off the coast. Something wrong with that imho.
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Just going to post. But here's the 24hr comparing 12z and 18z.
