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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. 6z Euro went the wrong way for Friday. Yesterday's 6z Gfs is looking like a blip. I just hope we can skip the zr and ip. Nothing exciting about spending Christmas weekend day inside.
  2. Keep in mind that the models have been horrendous in the 4+ day range, so it's hard to believe anything beyond 48hrs imho, good or bad. So even if 1 or 2 showed a storm beyond 4 days, chances are it's a lie.
  3. Mine is snow & zr before 1pm, then rn & zr after. Meh
  4. 6z Gfs is a heartbreaker down here for Friday. Oh soooo close. Still time....sorta.
  5. Started as decent snow around 4:30. Good luck up north of me. I'm sure mine will be washed away....but not yet!
  6. Started as some decent snow this morning before being washed away shortly. Lol
  7. I don't know. I think we'd still find a way to argue about it!
  8. Fwiw, Nam is the coldest of it, the Euro and Gfs. Euro is a little cooler than half way between the other 2. That's as of 84hrs on the 18z runs.
  9. Good luck up there. You should get an inch maybe? I haven't looked that closely at tonight as I knew I was in line for a participation trophy at best.
  10. 12z Eps snowfall on top and 18z below. I see movement south. Subtle, but it's there.
  11. Quit trying to excite Weather Will like that.
  12. Thanks for the curse. Mediocre Christmas to you!
  13. Gfs 850's on top and Nam below. Notice wind direction too.
  14. 18z Gfs has the 546 height line through northern Baltimore City while the Nam has it just south of DCA. IF the Nam is closer to correct with the cold air draining further south, that's enough to make a difference for some.
  15. I did a total thru 150hrs so some may be from tonight
  16. AIGFS is colder aloft than Gfs fwiw.
  17. I don't want realism realism, I want fantasy!
  18. At 60hrs, 12z gfs height lines are ever so slightly north of 6z. We'll see if that makes a difference.
  19. I got nothing imby for that event. Thanks for ruining my day. Merry Christmas nonetheless!
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