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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    It didn't stop you from commenting in the NE forum, nor did you question it. Lol
  2. mitchnick
    Surprised you didn't post this snowfall map posted in the NE forum that shows AN snowfall in a good part of the Mid Atlantic. You commented on it in the NE forum.
  3. mitchnick
    You'd probably want the High to start a bit more south as the surface winds would probably be more easterly than ne'ly, which would hurt the lower levels. Plus there's no slp off the coast to pull in a northerly component to the surface flow. This knowledge comes from age.
  4. mitchnick
    Hey, at least it was 1972-1976 and not 1872-1876.
  5. mitchnick
    Wait...aren't you Stormchaser Chuck? You should never be surprised by a snow storm! Lol
  6. mitchnick
    Amen as to the early to mid 70's. My high school years of 72/73-75/76 were horrendous. Fortunately, redemption came the next 4 years in college, though 76/77 was not snowy, only historic for the cold.
  7. mitchnick
    I deleted my post re the Cfs2 as it seems the Cfs2 site is stuck on 9/12. Looks like TT, as of today’s link, is more current. Those government guys are tricky!
  8. mitchnick
    Try "Global Relative AAM"
  9. mitchnick
    I never heard of the authors/site, but 40/70 was pretty critical of them over in the New England forums winter thread.
  10. mitchnick
    Definitely expect some adjustments over the next 2 months...hopefully not in the wrong direction. After that, it's December with the daily weeklies update! What a drug this hobby can be! Lol
  11. mitchnick
    Never argue with a March map like that one! Lol It has been consistent fwiw.
  12. mitchnick
    Euro was too cool in 23/24 in the east, then too warm in 24/25 and again last winter. I really don't know what to think about this winter except it's a bit warmer than Jamstec, Cfs2, NMME and JMA. I think the Cansips is a bit behind the curve and will eventually look like the rest of seasonal modeling, more or less.
  13. mitchnick
    At this point, I look at a consensus average. But interestingly, none of the seasonal models are that different with temps (early season being warmest) and heavy precip along the SE and east coasts regardless of how they got there, east or central based.
  14. mitchnick
    We're going to need the Icon to settle this. Lemme' take a close look with my good eye.
  15. mitchnick
    September Jamstec. It may not get the forecast right, but it'll at least get you to make an optometrist appointment.
  16. mitchnick
    That's the point, that's climo. Our snow is like bananas...it comes in bunches. No bunches, no snow. True flukes here are 95/96, 02/03, and 13/14.
  17. mitchnick
    Forgetting, of course, that the warmest December on record at BWI, 12/15, was followed the next month with the single biggest snowstorm on record during a strong Niño. Not to mention the 3rd or 4th largest snowfall in 2/83 was an east based strong Niño. You should know better that's how it works around here.
  18. mitchnick
    Enso 3.0 down too.
  19. mitchnick
    Yeah, I've posted this Cfs2 chart a couple times recently. Here's the updated one.
  20. mitchnick
    Eps, among other models, show a weakening of 850 anomalies as well as the renewal of trades breaking through in days to come; Gefs even more so.
  21. mitchnick
    -.39 updated today (different on 40/70's site)
  22. mitchnick
    Imho, you're in a great location based on current seasonal modeling. But the jackpot, again based on modeling, would definitely be higher elevations and the other side of the BR Parkway.
  23. mitchnick
    They've all been eliminated and we no longer speak of them. Snow is serious bidness.
  24. mitchnick
    Flurries for you
  25. mitchnick
    That's got to be exclusively 72/73 as DCA & BWI ended the winter with only 1-2" while parts of VA & NC had a record year.
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