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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Frankly, there's plenty of time for this to trend, one way or the other. Admittedly, it's sad to see how, in general terms, it's turning into an old fashioned "Niña north" event. For that reason, odds favor a slow trend north imho. Maybe this one will be different. I hope. Either way, I'm done for the evening.
  2. mitchnick
    It's called: Euro They should have waited, but at least they corrected it quickly.
  3. mitchnick
    Don't buy that one.
  4. mitchnick
    Nams a touch cooler at 48hrs with heights down a touch.
  5. mitchnick
    Actually, really, really close to these old eyes. Generally speaking, of course.
  6. mitchnick
    That's thru Sunday 6pm only
  7. mitchnick
    That shouldn't be the case based on those maps.
  8. mitchnick
    We should, except for maybe 2-3 hours of mix worst case. Being conservative obviously.
  9. mitchnick
    That's pretty good.
  10. mitchnick
    Accurate enough for us not to want them to have posted it.
  11. mitchnick
    Are you posting from Reston, VA or a rest home in Virginia?
  12. mitchnick
    Comparing 15z Srefs 78hr snowfall total to 9z Srefs 84hr snowfall total. 15Z IS BETTER!!!
  13. mitchnick
    Eps fwiw at this point. Pretty consistent if nothing else.
  14. mitchnick
    Go to any 7-11 and make yourself a large cup of crushed ice.
  15. mitchnick
    It'll crush Altoona once inside 48 hours. Lol
  16. mitchnick
    Not out yet, but maybe be getting past usefulness at this range.
  17. mitchnick
    Once Pivotal catches up, they have sounding plots by clicking on the location. That may be pay only, but they are only $99/year or $10-$12/month.
  18. mitchnick
    Looooooooong duration. Now that that is locked in, we work on thermals.
  19. mitchnick
    That's not bad based on heights.
  20. mitchnick
    Which probably allows the confluence to leave.
  21. mitchnick
    That's cold smoke right there.
  22. mitchnick
    Maybe if I say it enough times. Lol Seriously, the warm layer on the Rgem is shallow and just above freezing, so "maybe" was my thinking/hope.
  23. mitchnick
    Rgem 84hrs, surface low off the coast with plenty precip to the w sw. If it changes back, that's a nice backside of fluff.
  24. mitchnick
    Last comment on 12z Nam, if you look at the 84hrs Conus surface map, there was a lot of precip to go. It was definitely heading toward the long long duration scenario of one form of precip or another.
  25. mitchnick
    That was the first huge sign to me the upgraded Euro stunk because the night before (0z) it dropped 20"+ imby, then the next run was 12"+, and I ended up with 3"+.
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