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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    I say we get at least 1" qpf up here despite any model to the contrary. We've overperformed the last 10 days and I say it happens again.
  2. mitchnick
    Psu, don't know if you've checked, but NWS gives you 3-6" thru Sunday night with a blanket forecast of "Snow" for Monday without stating accumulations. It's a close call, but 6-10" is probably a decent guess at this point imho.
  3. mitchnick
    And in classic Gfs form, it fails. Lol Unless east of the Bay.
  4. mitchnick
    GfsAI qpf a little SE from 6z. No snowfall maps on Pivotal.
  5. mitchnick
    Jmho, don't buy the models that are dry in northern MD and PA. Starting with last weekend's storm, I've received almost exactly 2" qpf, including almost 1" from last weekend'sstorm. None of the models had that. At least in these parts, the drought pattern is over with a noticeable regime change thanks to the warming equatorial Pacific.
  6. mitchnick
    And you people scoffed at me when I posted the 9z Rap. Shame on you weenies, shame on you!
  7. mitchnick
    Love this 500mb wind map off Nam
  8. mitchnick
    Nah. Too subtle and I haven't bothered to look. All comes down to exactly where low sits and spins.
  9. mitchnick
    Nam time
  10. mitchnick
    Fwiw, Hrrr looking a lot like Rap
  11. mitchnick
    I know it's the Rap, but the 9z really moved west over the 3z (extended Rap also comes out every 6 hrs but at 3z, 9z, etc.) With the Srefs and Eps, now Rap, moving west from 0z/3z, we can hope for another jump west. p.s. Wennied myself before anyone else does it!
  12. mitchnick
    Didn't see it posted, but 6z Eps improved over 0z.
  13. mitchnick
    Eps snowier than I would have guessed beyond this weekend. Not crazy, but enough to suggest a decent chance or 2 over the next 2 weeks.
  14. mitchnick
    You would think, but apparently not, with few exceptions. Fwiw, Ukie ensembles, which is the best they ever looked.
  15. mitchnick
    We're just not north enough for them to fully develop unless you're east and NE.
  16. mitchnick
    Rap is the last standing bomb for most at this point. This is thru Monday 12z with more to come.
  17. mitchnick
    I'm talking what counts, snowfall in our back yards.
  18. mitchnick
    None of the foreign models have been all in like the Gfs/Nam and other short range US models. Jma isn't that great either and not worth posting.
  19. mitchnick
    I was comparing his 10:1 map to the Kuchera map and responding to his statement to cut 10:1 by 25-33% to get Kuchera.
  20. mitchnick
    With the system pushed west, the norlun got pushed west too.
  21. mitchnick
    York gets more. Northern areas and those under the cc are least affected.
  22. mitchnick
    No it doesn't.
  23. mitchnick
    Running on Pivotal. 39hrs
  24. mitchnick
    Closes 3 hrs later
  25. mitchnick
    Same as the Rap map I posted above and mentioned.
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