mitchnick

I said it after the first failed threat in December, we need all models on board if we expect to score. I should have stuck with that premise over the weekend but put my chips on the failed, overperformer modeling. Oh well, just another live and never learn in the wacky, weenie world of snowpium. As for next week, I haven't even looked at it, taking the one threat/failure at a time approach. One thing is for sure, not saying they will be right, but all modeling ends winter after next week. So if it's going to happen, next week is it.

Don't be so cocky!

Here's a link to the Cansips SSTA starting in November. Looks basinwide with a lean to the west. Not a classic Modoki imho unfortunately. But the key will be the PDO and blocking coupled with this forecast, right or wrong. Forecast will be updated this weekend. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=global&pkg=ssta_noice&runtime=2026020100&fh=9

Eps 24hr qpf is south, but Eps snowfall mean is north. Qpf is low for snowfall which suggests maybe not many members are north?

Glad you're better! Did you really measure 4.25"? Eyeballing I thought 3-4". Guess I need better eyeballs.

Wow. No where near that in Hanover. Eyeballing around 3-4"? Over near I83 was bullseyed by all modeling, so it makes sense.

Really snowing hard in Hanover. Visibility is lowwwwww.

Euro surprisingly low for the eastern shore and much of DE considering the runs the past few days imho.

Here's Kuchera

18z Euro w/norlun obviously!

Ground and roofs are whitened at my daughter's 110' higher in elevation, but not mby yet.

Just can't beat snow on snow piles.

Same here. Wind came out of nowhere.

You're not going to move again, are you?

Once the heavier precip that was rotating in from the SE got over mby, it went to all snow with big flakes.

My NWS forecast out of State College went down to 1-3" hours ago. Lol

Euro wants to snow on us too.

Comparing apples to apples.

12z Euro reflects your/our concerns.

Just going to post that it's starting to pivot. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad

The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall of the 2nd map. Anybody with me? P.s. It's a multi-day event starting next Monday. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026022212&fh=192&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

Icon has event in 5 days for northern crew.

Really rate dependent at this point outside of higher elevations. That should change by noon-1, hopefully sooner.

I would be too, but who knows if it will.

Me too. The latest long range (God help us) Rap has been fairly consistent along these lines.