mitchnick

The Stormsurf link that I included in my post the other day has just added CFS2 Relative Nino plumes to its links, both raw and bias corrected. They are a little past half way down. Updated daily, they'll at least give us trends, which should make for a nice roller coaster ride over the next 9 or 10 months. Lol https://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/ensocurr.html

Wasn't March, 2025 a +NAO? Closer to +1 I believe.

Idk what's going to come of next winter, but this Stormsurf link has a lot of info and I've posted it before. Watching it the past 10-14 days, I'm not seeing off the Cfs links the things that were showing up back in 23/24. First of all, the SSTA plumes are starting to show a much weaker Nino. Likewise, as Chuck's mentioned, the SOI ain't cooperating. But what I find more compelling is the 3 month MJO forecast. The westerly wind anomalies represented by the yellow/red, seem to be stuck west of the dateline except for a brief intrusion east mid/late April-mid May. Moreover, there remains pockets of blue (easterly wind anomalies) scattered east of the dateline through the end of the forecast period in late June. https://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/ensocurr.html I know it's early, but if that forecast doesn’t start showing some substantial changes, strong or super Niño forecasts look like a tough sell.

Snow in Hanover, but the back end is close. Just another reminder how this winter was a disappointment with snow.

My office used to be in Hanover. In fact, Emergency Management may be in the same complex if I'm not mistaken. If it is the same complex, rest assured she'll have better choices in the area to eat than Popeye's.

Fwiw, EuroAI still likes 26-28th period, but is on an island alone at this point.

I was just going to post that the 12z Gfs had this. Surprised the Nam has it too.

Make it 5x now.

Thought I'dpost this off the 12z Gfs before @CAPE does. Lol

4 runs in a row on the Gefs giving me 6"+ of fantasy snow. I'll wait to see if it's still there after 3 more runs before looking under what circumstances or when it falls during the 360 hours. Lol

No it won't. I hate severe, unless it's severe cold.

First flakes imby

Stopped precipitating here. Nam probably ends up right with it being SE, as I am defeated.

All I can think of when I see Tofu in the store is an abbreviation of toe fungus.

Wet flakes mixing in now.

Look to be 80-90% sleet now.

Sleet has started to mix in imby.

Love this radar. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=CCX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad

You can see the front come through the forum on this radar. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad

Kuchera

6z Gfs

Thank you for that crucial forum update

Why not? The exercise would have been good for her...maybe not on 2nd thought.

I was just up in Selensgrove earlier today to pick up my new (used) car. Glad I left this morning. Still hoping to hear from Bliz soon.