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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    I didn't see the 144hrs Eps snowfall map, so... There's actually a noticeable jump north from 138hrs and 148hrs too.
  2. mitchnick
    Meh...Gefs always follow the leader operational. At least more often than not.
  3. mitchnick
    Why should a snake in the grass worry about iguanas?
  4. mitchnick
    Hard time making it north with that up north.
  5. mitchnick
    At least it's angled wsw/ene instead of due east.
  6. mitchnick
    BAMWX is doing a live streem in a minute or 2 on the potential storm.
  7. mitchnick
    Gunna' be a lot of folks with bloody sleeves over this post.
  8. mitchnick
    Lt snow here. No accumulations I'm sure. But I felt the need to post and feel the joy.
  9. mitchnick
    Your mother finally changed your diaper?
  10. mitchnick
    We had a pretty strong stj in 09/10 bully it's way north. Don't have that now unfortunately.
  11. mitchnick
    I remember discussions that your area was under 700mb lift normally found on the northern edge of precip shield iirc correctly.
  12. mitchnick
    Meh...5" back in Linthicum and maybe an inch up here.
  13. mitchnick
    The question is how much does the operational increase the numbers in VA since it is part of the Eps average (I believe) and it's quite a dump down there. Someone correct me if the operational numbers aren't part of the Eps mean.
  14. mitchnick
    I'll be surprised if the Eps aren't close to the Gefs for the threat.
  15. mitchnick
    Nor I. Both AI's are hits, which provide some comfort negating the need for Southern Comfort at this point.
  16. mitchnick
    And this map is 10:1. Definitely better ratios, especially north of southern VA.
  17. mitchnick
    Thought for sure you'd end up at 2".
  18. mitchnick
    6z Eps at the end of the 144hr run looks "right" if you know what I mean. Lol Top is 6hr precip and bottom is 6hr snowfall.
  19. mitchnick
    Just about over here. Lt snow that radar misses, as is often the case up here I have found, should be ending soon. Roads and sidewalks basically wet with only a few snowy patches. I'll be shocked if I measure an inch on my car, but definitely not over an inch. Iow, you really didn't miss anything of consequence.
  20. mitchnick
    You made me look. Dang, Eps even better than the 6z Gefs 24hr period! But to answer your question, looks like a weak sign of a threat at the end of the run.
  21. mitchnick
    Undoubtedly, the best 24hr ensemble forecast period of the year on the 6z Gefs. EDIT: I should add that this is 180 hours, so you can't expect a big number like 6"+. Those won't come until we're closer to the threat.
  22. mitchnick
    Meh...snow hole over mby too. 3"
  23. mitchnick
    Seems to me we probably have just 1 shot at a big storm before the cold dump. Gunna' stink if we fail with it.
  24. mitchnick
    Just lt snow now. There's a heavy band incoming but it'll just clip me or miss altogether. Again, to my east will get hit. I suspect Mappy should get another 2"+ out of this.
  25. mitchnick
    I'm right on the western edge of better stuff. Mappy will do much better. The Nam replacement was showing this best if I rrcall.
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