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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. 2 runs in a row of 4"+ snowfall on any model this year has been hard to come by. I'll call this a victory and hope it's a sign of better things to come.
  2. I'm not here for hits. I want to meet new people and change the world.
  3. I assumed it did, that's why I used it. It usually does too. Lol
  4. Trough is broader this run which should help with cutter threat.
  5. Thicknesses are not as low on Gfs at 195hrs as they were at 12z.
  6. Selective numbering will give different results all the time.
  7. I should have said dropped that far south as fast as it did prior runs. And it has also crept further east. I agree with Ji on this one.
  8. We've punted more times this season than the Ravens did in any game this year. Quite the honor..
  9. Never drops that far south vs prior runs.
  10. Much more consolidated vort on 18z than 12z Gfs at 120hrs
  11. New to the area, ehh? Scraff can give you the name of the drinking holes if ur interested, I'm sure.
  12. Ok, Euro says 19th and Gfs says 18th. Lol
  13. All we need from here is for the trough to close ala 1/25/00 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2026010912&fh=156
  14. Trough was way too positive for our purposes.
  15. Hope I'm wrong, but at 129hrs it just looks like a cold front. Maybe Euro is right with the 19th?
  16. Comparing 5H anomalies 6z vs 0z, 0z looks better organized with the southern vort, but 6z has energy dropping south from the Great Lakes that wasn't there at 0z. That's a wild card.
  17. You saw the stats on modeling that were posted. It's the worst. The problem is that when it shows something good, we make the mistake of wanting to believe this will be the time when it's right. Of course, it isn't. So now weenies in NE are us from last night for 6 hours until it pulls the rug on them like us.
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