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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    You can get SSTA maps and figures here. Use the Oisst instead of CRW under the "Option" as it's more accurate. https://cyclonicwx.com/sst/
  2. mitchnick
    It may be the Geps, but that's actually pretty!
  3. mitchnick
    More so on Pivotal
  4. mitchnick
    I agree on the first part, but none of the ensembles are going truly warm. If it changes, so be it.
  5. mitchnick
    Fixed
  6. mitchnick
    Even I'm not worried about the operational Gfs at the end of its run as ensembles are not warm.
  7. mitchnick
    That's just my convincing, lawyerly way. Lol Seriously, in my literally 54 years as a weenie, winters need to prove themselves. This winter has proved itself to have a lousy, overall pattern. Sure, it can change, but until we get that hit, the proof remains the same.
  8. mitchnick
    Are you saying it's a great pattern? I mean we've gone probably a week with ensembles spitting out <1" of snow during peak climo. I'm speaking truth...it's been a lousy pattern.
  9. mitchnick
    We are snake bit with this lousy pattern that has established itself this winter.
  10. mitchnick
    Might go back to snow, but it's an unbelievable scenario.
  11. mitchnick
    With the High Pressure pulling off the Virginia coast, you knew we had no chance.
  12. mitchnick
    Gem light, but just misses the big one.
  13. mitchnick
    GGEM has more potential. Let's see what happens.
  14. mitchnick
    I had no choice.
  15. mitchnick
    Meh up here.
  16. mitchnick
    Meh, a little too far south for my liking.
  17. mitchnick
    It's pretty compact, but getting bigger.
  18. mitchnick
    Yeah, if the Gfs can dip and then hook that storm NE, it may get big near the coast.
  19. mitchnick
    It's doing that already on the Icon, but may be too strong and/or unable/unwilling to move. Even if it cooperates, however, we still need the vort controlling our storm to cooperate as well. Iow, the Canadian vortex is only 1/2 of our problem.
  20. mitchnick
    That tpv in Quebec needs to lift out if it has any chance, and that's assuming our slp wouldn't just slide out to sea.
  21. mitchnick
    Icon? Looks it would be suppressed, but idk.
  22. mitchnick
    Compared to the runs of the last 5 days+ of the Gefs, there's finally some life in the 18z snowfall total. I didn't go into how or when. I'm looking for totals >1"!
  23. mitchnick
    I thought he was dead!
  24. mitchnick
    Gotta' look for hope somewhere and the Gem did look best among the 12z bunch that ran through 2 weeks+. So what the heck.
  25. mitchnick
    I haven't gone into details on how and when it falls, but suffice to say the Geps has the best snowfall for the 12z run. I put the link to Pivotal if you want to delve into it further. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=cmceens&p=sn10_acc-mean-imp&rh=2026010712&fh=6&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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