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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. That's snow depth measuring what's already on the ground that isn't melting.
  2. Just like the Gem, it's got the northern stream system coming out of the Dakotas. Gfs has essentially nothing of consequences on the map.
  3. Could see it coming. That kicker in the upper Midwest came flying south out of Canada.
  4. Surface looks "busy." https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  5. 18Z GGEM https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  6. Actually, cut snowfall in half from 12z for mby, BWI, DCA and even SBY.
  7. Height lines are not as far north at 72hrs and trough up north and little east of 12z
  8. Maybe, but the surface map looks like the Gfs and unlike other medium range models. Just sayin'.
  9. Posted that 2 hours ago. He's a copy cat! Lol
  10. Appears to be a kicker coming down near the Dakotas and the Gfs has it further north into Canada, the Gem further south, and the Ukie the furthest south. It's killing the ridge orientation.
  11. Ukie on the road to a total miss unless that trough has a miracle.
  12. You could see it coming instead height lines all backing up.
  13. Look at those height lines rising and everything backingvup
  14. Icon definitely further west with the western lobe of the northern trough at 72 vs 6z run fwiw.
  15. Pivotal has stopped at 57 hrs on the 6z Euro. Any other vendors stuck?
  16. There may be a few twists and turns left, but we are getting to a point of near consensus in general terms to think it's slipping/slipped away.
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