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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Don't know if it's too early for sat pics, but this has an expansive view of the Conus+. https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/large
  2. I haven't, but I can't say I go out socializing very much. Lol I was at the Walmart last night and they literally did not have 1 gallon of milk left and shelves were half to completely empty.
  3. Well, 9z Srefs are colder and snowier than 3z for areas at and north of Fredericksburg; southern extent tightened up a bit. We take anything that shows improvement no matter how small. Just a reminder to those who may not know, Srefs are an ensemble product and not a seperate model.
  4. In case you were wondering, or not, 6z GGEM colder with lots of 10" (light orange) and 12" (dark orange) thru the metro areas. EDIT: This is 10:1 ratios. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off
  5. Feeling better with overnight runs. Starting....juuuust startin', to get that 13/14 vibe when things really did get colder or otherwise improve as crunch time approached.
  6. Frankly, there's plenty of time for this to trend, one way or the other. Admittedly, it's sad to see how, in general terms, it's turning into an old fashioned "Niña north" event. For that reason, odds favor a slow trend north imho. Maybe this one will be different. I hope. Either way, I'm done for the evening.
  7. It's called: Euro They should have waited, but at least they corrected it quickly.
  8. Nams a touch cooler at 48hrs with heights down a touch.
  9. Actually, really, really close to these old eyes. Generally speaking, of course.
  10. That shouldn't be the case based on those maps.
  11. We should, except for maybe 2-3 hours of mix worst case. Being conservative obviously.
  12. Accurate enough for us not to want them to have posted it.
  13. Are you posting from Reston, VA or a rest home in Virginia?
  14. Comparing 15z Srefs 78hr snowfall total to 9z Srefs 84hr snowfall total. 15Z IS BETTER!!!
  15. Eps fwiw at this point. Pretty consistent if nothing else.
  16. Go to any 7-11 and make yourself a large cup of crushed ice.
  17. It'll crush Altoona once inside 48 hours. Lol
  18. Not out yet, but maybe be getting past usefulness at this range.
  19. Once Pivotal catches up, they have sounding plots by clicking on the location. That may be pay only, but they are only $99/year or $10-$12/month.
  20. Looooooooong duration. Now that that is locked in, we work on thermals.
  21. Which probably allows the confluence to leave.
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