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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Gfs isn't interested in anything over the next week+ unfortunately except for a fast, compressed flow.
  2. mitchnick
    You're right. Rule of thumb should always be disregard anything past its 78 hour wheelhouse.
  3. mitchnick
    I was just looking at that thinking ain't it always the case.
  4. mitchnick
    Yeah, but it almost looks like there's something behind the Friday system. Nam map is just a mall parking lot during Christmas Eve.
  5. mitchnick
    Maybe some trailing energy....maybe?
  6. mitchnick
    Nam looks flatter Edit: flattened
  7. mitchnick
    Do you want to get banned?
  8. mitchnick
    Accuwx take
  9. mitchnick
    Srefs at the end of their recent run. This is just 24hr precip. You can check out other stuff at this Pivotal link. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=qpf_024h-mean-imp&rh=2025120215&fh=87&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  10. mitchnick
    Hopefully we can score in this pattern before the warmup hits at the end of both the Eps and Gefs. Looks to cool off again post 360hrs, but who knows what kind of pattern we'll be given.
  11. mitchnick
    Just remember that the 12z Gfs showed this snowfall that was supposed to fall today after 7am. South of Harrisburg was pretty much a bust and York got 95%+ rain according to a York poster vs the 3.6" the Gfs forecasted.
  12. mitchnick
    And in classic BWI form, it failed for us too. Lol
  13. mitchnick
    Well, cancel the dry trend, at least for this one. Definitely. 5"+ qpf up here.
  14. mitchnick
    Back edge moving fast this way and is now just east of Hancock, MD. Can't end soon enough.
  15. mitchnick
    Rain and sleet now...you ain't missin' a thing.
  16. mitchnick
    Back to mainly snow, but not really accumulating. Just maintaining my whopping 1/2" coating.
  17. mitchnick
    Back to mix. Just another tease.
  18. mitchnick
    My sky is getting that dark, snow sky as % of snow increases. Probably temporary, but maybe slp is winding up and dropping pressures and temps. Idk
  19. mitchnick
    Snow just started mixing back in with more sleet.
  20. mitchnick
    Apparently, the 6z Euro didn't.
  21. mitchnick
    By 2-3pm it will be sunny hopefully and get in my daily oldster walk outside since I'm not going to the mall. Lol
  22. mitchnick
    Did it ever. Here's the 6z forecast hot off the presses. 2"+ for me after the reality of 1/2"+ eyeballing it.
  23. mitchnick
    It had me with 6" today until last night's 0z when it lowered me to 5", then 4.5" at 6z. After 1/2"+ this morning, I went to sleet. Not saying it'll be wrong. But the bottom line is we need all the models on board, or what can go wrong will.
  24. mitchnick
    Fwiw, the warm Nam was best all along down here in S Central PA despite the Eps having me in the jackpot stripe a few days ago. 1/2"+ before a change to sleet with rain soon to follow. Good luck up there, but be careful buying any colder models.
  25. mitchnick
    Sleet line blew past me in Hanover after 1/2"+. Hopefully for those to my north it'll slow down. Fwiw, down here, the much maligned NAM was pretty close to right all along. Good luck!
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