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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Didn't see that, but the NWS forecast was cloudy.
  2. mitchnick
    Got a dusting and coming down pretty good. This wasn't in the forecast.
  3. mitchnick
    Here too to my surprise
  4. mitchnick
    Actually,it was intended to be a bit facetious, but accurate, joke. He actually pointed out good numbers on the SOI showing the Niña fading, but the SOI numbers themselves were "negative."
  5. mitchnick
    Do you always have to be so negative?
  6. mitchnick
    That makes 2 of us!
  7. mitchnick
    That post was based on the 12z runs. There have been 4 runs since and the AI has come up with 4 different forecasts. Apparently, it needs my time to learn.
  8. mitchnick
    Updated Euro seasonal out and it can't get out of its own way insisting on AN temps in the east. Don't buy it as mby has been BN for October and November contrary to the Eps seasonal. Heck, even September was only +.5F, also cooler than forecasted. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Seasonal"]}
  9. mitchnick
    https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/model_l.html
  10. mitchnick
    Hrrr support from the Srefs
  11. mitchnick
    18z Rgem came north fwiw.
  12. mitchnick
    No! We've seen failures in shorter times. Lol
  13. mitchnick
    18z Nam's a wreck. I think we're better off if the 12/5 threat fizzled and left some energy behind for our next long shot.
  14. mitchnick
    In a word....Ughhh
  15. mitchnick
    Watch the follow-up on the Gfs. Might be something, might not.
  16. mitchnick
    The question is whether the 6z Euro being its over-amped self. Idk
  17. mitchnick
    Fwiw, 12z Rgem went a bit south of 6z. Not worth posting.
  18. mitchnick
    Fine. I'm starting a thread for each separate model run beginning with 12z today in an effort to confuse it.
  19. mitchnick
    For once, the trend is our friend. But when you think about it, it's looking like a typical north trend. Hopefully, 48hrs isn't enough time for too much. Of course, now that I said that, it'll shift south at 12z!
  20. mitchnick
    You're too quick. I deleted after I saw that. Lol
  21. mitchnick
    6z Eps
  22. mitchnick
    You people are weirdos.
  23. mitchnick
    6z Euro
  24. mitchnick
    6z Rgem came north and brings 1" up to DCA & BWI. Nothing yet for me (wipe that smile off your face!)
  25. mitchnick
    Nah. Gem completely crushes round 2. That trough in Canada is a monster as modeled. Unless things change, fugetaboutit.
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