mitchnick

There's that end of the run overrunning fantasy again on the Gfs similar to 12z.

Now what do I do with my life?

Eps totally screwed mby with the snow to rain threat last week with 5" 4+ days out, 3" the day before and 2"+ on the 6z run the morning of the event only to get close to 3/4" snow and sleet. I guess it's me, but the Eps are always wrong with accumulations imby.

It peaked my interest because it's similar to the recent Cfs2 and Cansips forecasts with a boundary just to our south with precip potential.

Loving the overrunning near end of Gfs run.

Not saying it will happen, but with this pattern I've been waiting for something like rlthis.

Thanks for proving my point.

You and your weenies. I must say, you are the most disrespectful individual on this board.

Icon hoped on board with Friday/Saturday

Your generalizations are a figment of your imagination. You need to supply proof.

6z Euro AI had the Sunday system that looks more like a colder version of last Tuesday, but a slightly different evolution. AI changes a lot, so we'll see what happens at 12z. Probably a SC/NC bullseye as it corrects to the seasonal trends.

It'll change at 12z, but putting the 5H anomalies in motion, the ridge to our east was building, so I would wag it comes through too warm.

Interesting look on Cfs2 lately for January and February. 500mb https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=namer&pkg=z500a&runtime=2025120800&fh=1 Temps https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2025120800&fh=1 Precip https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=apcpna_month&runtime=2025120800&fh=1 P.s. March may be acceptable too.

Don't know if it's lasts, but Cfs2 is liking the trough in SE/Southern Canada for January and February with BN temps in the NE both months and average precip in January and AN in February. 500mb https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=namer&pkg=z500a&runtime=2025120800&fh=1 Temps https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2025120800&fh=1 Precip https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=apcpna_month&runtime=2025120800&fh=1

Wayyyyy too early to say that my friend. But I'll take a breakdown for a while as we desperately need a reshuffle.