mitchnick

Just like the Gem, it's got the northern stream system coming out of the Dakotas. Gfs has essentially nothing of consequences on the map.

Could see it coming. That kicker in the upper Midwest came flying south out of Canada.

Watch out for that kicker on the Gem.

Not quite as good 0z.

Surface looks "busy." https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084

18Z GGEM https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084

Actually, cut snowfall in half from 12z for mby, BWI, DCA and even SBY.

Height lines are not as far north at 72hrs and trough up north and little east of 12z

Maybe, but the surface map looks like the Gfs and unlike other medium range models. Just sayin'.

Posted that 2 hours ago. He's a copy cat! Lol

Appears to be a kicker coming down near the Dakotas and the Gfs has it further north into Canada, the Gem further south, and the Ukie the furthest south. It's killing the ridge orientation.

Ukie on the road to a total miss unless that trough has a miracle.

You could see it coming instead height lines all backing up.

Closer