mitchnick

-16" I knew he was conservative, but...

Mean is livin' with the termites. I don't recall ever seeing such an extended, weak period of 10mb winds. Still decently below average into January and lower at that point than several days ago.

A link to all the "credible" model RMM forecasts are at this link fwiw: https://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/mjo_phase.html

Been a Iong time since I've been to a great train show. I have a bunch of trains from my youth in my closet to this day in fact. Can't get myself to throw them out or otherwise part with them. Plus, a few are worth a couple of bucks...more evidence of one's age.

Those numbers bode well up here/you as well as in Mappy's neck of the woods, on north. Pattern you posted screams more traditional Niña results i.e. a 40N winter. Which "used to mean" we "could" still pull out an event or 2 even with February H5 looking like what you posted. We'll see.

While understandably we are all focused on temps, I like that the weeklies are keeping us AN to normal with precip thru December. At least in the Mid Atlantic, dry is always a concern in Niñas, especially Decembers. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-tp?base_time=202511130000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202511240000

Cansips run this month for December not far off all things considered.

Just multiply those numbers by -1 and voila!

And it's still below normal on 12/31.

That map is Celsius!

Although I look at the Cfs2 for fun, I doubt it's reanalysis maps are correct!

Coast to coast cold. Hmmmm

Sounds like you woke up on the wrong side of the cave.

42 years as a lawyer, and you learn to understand people's motivations. Sorry, that's my impression of your motivations, along with others.

So there's still a thread of hope for you that we get a warm and snowless winter for you and others of your ilk to sit back and enjoy the meltdowns?