mitchnick

It's a shame it can't be trusted AT ALL anymore. It used to have some coups, but now it just stinks. And shows that the Nam and even the Rgem are better once in their range.

You can see that possibility on the Nam 850's at 57hrs. Look at the colder line of temps thanks to uvv and precip intensity.

Then it must be right.

Nam total qpf a yawner again.

Decent vertical velocities approaching the area at 57hrs on the Nam.

No. Just wondering what's going on with them. Never saw them be so contrary to other guidance. Maybe some usual members missing? Idk

Something is up with the Srefs. Next to no snow up north and precip is mainly across the MA. Check out Pivotal maps for latest 2 runs. Gotta be wrong. Here's the link to 9z total qpf off Srefs. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=qpf_acc-mean-imp&rh=2025122409&fh=87&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

Wasn't expecting it, but was certainly hoping for it. And without hope, what do we have? You see Rusty...

Time to put a fork in this one for snow. Gfs is on an island by itself with any chance. Rgem looks like a light qpf event as well.

Nam is a very light qpf event for all with snow too far away.

I remember that snow event vividly. I had to get to the office and coming out of my subdivision was a slight hill and bend. My tires started slipping as I approached the turn so I hit the brakes and the car just slid while I headed for a mailbox. I took my foot off the brake to get a better position on the brake and the tires got traction and the car turned, barely missing the mailbox. And that event was cold as he!! with temps during snow and that morning in the mid teens. It was so close to being an historic winter for coldcand snow but for the uncooperative mid levels thanks to the u/l lows passing too far to our NW.

Should have known better.

A wennie's got to do what a weenie's got to do! Lol

It shows up on the snow depth map. Our snow depth (including sleet of course), is greater than some all snow locations thanks to the density of the sleet.

Euro AI. We're getting there.