mitchnick

6z Gfs agrees

Getting crushed here with that Special Weather Statement storm. Ughhh...hate severe wx.

Find a new friend.

Cfs2 has been advertising a trough in the east for weeks. Not a winter style trough, a summer one, which is much shallower but still effective in giving us regular shots of more tolerable summer temps. Cfs2 has also been pretty consistent with blocking around the Pole for December too. Here's a link to the most recent of the June 500mb anomalies with a caveat that the Cfs2 for those unfamiliar has 4 runs/day. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2025031318&fh=3

End of Gem has something. I think all the models are going to be teasing thanks to the SSW, but that doesn't mean anyone in the forum will see anything. Threats are so scattered.

It will. It's just going to take 9 months to do it.

0z Euro just 2 weeks away.

Euro AI. Close to something pathetic.

Thunder up here.

Looking at many years of data makes me feel old. No thanks.

Today’s updated Euro monthly not sold on a Niño yet.

Today's updated Euro monthly not seeing a Niño yet.

18z Ukmet ensembles. I guess you can say there was an improvement over the 12z run (on top).

Only goes out 66hrs, but the ensembles go out to 198hrs. It's in the process of updating now.

It's also 30-36 hours later than the Gfs.