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mitchnick

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    Hanover, PA

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  1. mitchnick
    Agreed that if it rises fast, it won't be a good thing for a cold or snowy December especially in light of enso climo. But if you go to the link below for that graph, as recently as 10/14 or 10/15, the PV split (I'll call it for ease) wasn't even showing up on that weekly prog, and was very slow thereafter to show the extent of the PV's demise. So I guess, probably because I've lived in the M. Atlantic snow hole for so many years, I'll not worry about the state of the PV come December or trust the PV forecast at this distance. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-zonal-mean-zonal-wind?area=nh&base_time=202610140000
  2. mitchnick
    All the ensembles have been heading toward a SE trough (or weakening of heights as a possible precursor of the trough) in one form/location/strength or another consistent with seasonal modeling. Of course, they maybe, like so often, early with the pattern. But it's encouraging to see it happening nonetheless.
  3. mitchnick
    Lowest yet.
  4. mitchnick
    Aren't the + signs supposed to be - signs?
  5. mitchnick
    How big is the bridge? Asking for a friend.
  6. mitchnick
    Lol. It's October. Who cares. Are you seeking relevance or attention?
  7. mitchnick
    Told ya'! Lol
  8. mitchnick
    Sit tight! Lol
  9. mitchnick
    You're comparing October to December. Don't you think that's probably not a fair comparison to draw any conclusions for this year since we're 5 weeks from the start of December and 9.5 from the end?
  10. mitchnick
    Great news. Warmer temps, less energy consumption, and less pollutants. Aren't you celebrating?
  11. mitchnick
  12. mitchnick
    Weeklies were cold last year and were correct. Not all the time, but more often than not. I specifically recall your posts in that regard.
  13. mitchnick
    It actually went noticeably north from yesterday.
  14. mitchnick
    Regardless of the strat, today's weeklies have the first week of December looking exactly like the Euro and all other seasonal modeling for December, which is a good thing.
  15. mitchnick
    Did you scream "police brutality "?
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