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cstrunk

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Everything posted by cstrunk

  1. cstrunk
    Front blew threw here at 12:25 pm when the temp was 47F. Almost 40 minutes later it's 32F. Hoping for some flizzard action in ETX this afternoon!
  2. cstrunk
    A decent area of Texas and much of Oklahoma getting some beneficial rains today. Could be some severe weather, too.
  3. cstrunk
    Yawn. Wake me up when September ends.
  4. cstrunk
    Seems like this round is pretty much over for Longview. I ended up with 7.14". 7.10" within a 24 hour period from 3 pm Sunday to 3 pm Monday.
  5. cstrunk
    6.72" so far at my house in Longview.
  6. cstrunk
    Confirmed tornado in Winona, TX within the last hour.
  7. cstrunk
    4.66" at my house in Longview so far. Moderate rain continuing. Looks like 6"+ is going to be likely before the event is over. DFW got hit hard overnight with more on the way, too.
  8. cstrunk
    It was modeled /forecast as 8"+ for a pretty big area of N/NE TX as of yesterday and now it's 4-6"+. I would bet it ends up being more like 2-4"+ for most of the area based on model trends and what we've seen so far. A few isolated 6"+ totals. Still very welcome moisture but it's not going to be the drought-buster it was pegged as... For most.
  9. cstrunk
    The clouds kept it from getting to 100F here yesterday. The high was only 97F. The rain missed us, but the huge complex in SW AR pushed out some outflow last night that felt pretty good. Another chance of rain today so I've got my fingers crossed.
  10. cstrunk
    105F yesterday in Longview and we missed the evening storms by 10-15 miles. BUT storms have redeveloped early this morning and we're now getting some pretty good rainfall out of it! Already at 0.88" and counting. Other areas are easily picking up 1"-2"+. *Ended up with 1.19"!
  11. cstrunk
    Isn't there an update coming to the GFS? Maybe that'll help fix some of those warm bias issues. Otherwise at least a few folks are getting isolated storms/showers today and there are chances over the next couple of days.
  12. cstrunk
    My weather station hit 104F on Saturday before a brief shower dropped a much-needed 0.18". The temperature quickly rose back to 103F AFTER that. Talk about a sauna! The Longview airport hit 107F - they missed out on any rain.
  13. cstrunk
    Exactly. In 2011, Tyler, TX had: 81 total days of 100F+ temperatures. 46 straight days of 100F+ temperatures. 28 days of 105F+ temperatures. And only received about 60% of normal precipitation for a 22-month rainfall deficit that reached -33.61". We're not looking at anything quite that bad yet.
  14. cstrunk
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0181.html Tornado Watch with 40/20 probs until 6 pm for a good chunk of central/eastern Texas.
  15. cstrunk
    70/40 probs on the new tornado watch for the Arklatex region.
  16. cstrunk
    The SPC is considering a tornado watch for the Ark-la-tex region this morning. The HRRR is showing a line of storms/possible supercells in ETX by the 18-20z timeframe.
  17. cstrunk
    No damage at my house. Gusted 50-60 mph for a couple minutes.
  18. cstrunk
    Absolutely. Also very interesting how many of the same general areas in Texas were affected tonight as they were a few weeks ago. At least for central and east/NE Texas.
  19. cstrunk
    The parameters in and near Iowa along and south of the warm front are pretty crazy. One SCP spot showing up of 36. STP up to 6-8. Helicity 400-600.
  20. cstrunk
    A good day for margarita's in N TX this afternoon with those lime-sized hail pieces falling... I'll be watching for potential pre-MCS supercells in east Texas later this evening. Obviously there will probably be some QLCS tornado potential too with the main line, along with potential 60-70+ mph straight line winds.
  21. cstrunk
    I'm in Longview. It'll probably be closer to midnight before the current group of storms gets here. Unless something goes severe ahead of it.
  22. cstrunk
    Well, losing a engine would certainly be a good reason to not fly into a Cat 4 'cane. But what are we doing? Flying WW2 planes into hurricanes? It's 2021 for crying out loud. This program needs more funding.
  23. cstrunk
    This has been a great summer so far. Most days in the 80's or low-90's and above normal precipitation. I haven't had to water my lawn once this year.
  24. cstrunk
    I had 0.39" on Monday and 0.3" the previous Monday. I'll take that for late June but hope that continues through the next couple of months. It still looks good for the next few weeks at least.
  25. cstrunk
    Quite a bit of sunshine today, a humid airmass, and relatively strong low level winds make today seem like a stronger risk for severe weather this afternoon in East Texas than many other days that have been cloudy/less windy.
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