bkviking
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Everything posted by bkviking
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Anyone know what happened to Isotherm? Miss his analysis. I think his last winter outlook a few years ago frustrated him.
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Cool looking line approaching LI now
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Isotherm was on such a hot streak for years and hit a lot of issues - like everyone - the past few years - and I wonder if that’s why he gave up long range forecast its attempts. Or even showing up anymore.
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NYC 44” EWR 32” MMU 58” ISP 47” SWF 60”
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Don’t know with any scientific reason but aren’t La Nina’s just the “normal/neutral “ conditions (Ie, Hadley cell ) but stronger -whereas El Niños are the opposite of both ? Wouldn’t that lend to La Nina’s being a more “natural” variant ? Idk - just speculating. Would be curious for someone to know the statistical variation and also why.
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Please say clearly your thoughts
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DCA: -1.6 NYC: -1.5 BOS: -1.3 ORD: -1.3 ATL: +0.8 IAH: +0.8 DEN: -0.8 PHX: +1.0 SEA: -0.3 DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ DTW _ BUF ___ DEN _ SEA _ BTV 25”—52”—60”—38”—50”—90”—60”—18”—90”
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Radar quite solid now with large mass of convective type storminess heading northeast towards NYC/LI. Rains today have been that distinct tropical type rains - small little droplets
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November 2022 temperature forecast contest
bkviking replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA: +2.3 NYC: +2.4 BOS: +2.4 ORD: +1.4 ATL: +2.0 IAH: +1..5 DEN: +1.2 PHX: +1.0 SEA: -1.0 -
Sudden crash of thunder followed by lightning here in Smithtown. Wasn’t paying attention to radar past hours or so but it held together quite nicely …
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Thunderstorms now moving in to eastern Long Island from the east.
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October 2022 temperature forecast contest
bkviking replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA: +1.0 NYC: +0.8 BOS: +0.2 ORD: +1.0 ATL: +0.6 IAH: +1.4 DEN: +2.5 PHX: +2.3 SEA: +1.9 -
Warnings here in Smithtown- I can see a swivel with the storm coming through. Looks nasty
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Why is he being weenied? It’s truth
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Nudged up to .61” now on the Tempest. you always had best records of LI snow allocation— and I lived in heart of it in Miller Place for years attesting to your records . But now on Stengel so yes nice short walk to Sweetbriar.
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.55” from this stationary storm by me in Smithtown (by Sweetbriar). Glad I didn’t water the veggies.
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From Giacomo:
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DCA: +2.0 NYC: +2.2 BOS: +2.2 ORD: +1.2 ATL: -0.7 IAH: -0.9 DEN: +1.9 PHX: +0.7 SEA: +3.0
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Looks like it’s about to pull two straight rain outs in Port Jefferson - tonight I did not expect at all ! Advancing showers heading to Port Jeff Village
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Heavy rain here in Smithtown. Although I haven’t lacked for rain all summer , hooray for this one!!!!
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My station in Smithtown 94F/78DP
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87F/76DP at home in Smithtown see bubbling cumulus west of me in PJ Harbor - and matched radar .
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That’s odd - I took video clip of that yesterday - it was a little further south than one above… IMG_2131.MOV
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Actually pretty nice out in Port Jefferson like PSV said - pretty nice breeze - tropical but nice in shade especially . Btw, photo below from Port Jeff harbor attest to the tropical Feel - looks more like Florida or islands :
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My part of Smithtown 12:25pm 88°F /72°DP/95°HI
