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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Rgem did catch up Walt, finally heh
  2. Heisy
    Icon is the new king, all hail the king
  3. Heisy
    I would certainly stay tuned as sunday am is the heaviest part of the event. It’s a heavy wet snow so might have issues sticking to the roads at first, but if it’s heavy enough it WILl stick and the large snowflakes we’ll see should stick fast once the column cools. Could make things very slippery, of course main roads always better. You’ll know once you wake up Sunday if it’s worth it
  4. Heisy
    I love those types. Accumulates quickly on cold surfaces, gradually covers roads, it’ll be a winter wonderland hopefully and then we drip
  5. Heisy
    I’d favor just SE of the city right now for the isolated 8-9” pops but that could change if this trend continues
  6. Heisy
    My guess would be after Euro. In the afternoon.
  7. Heisy
    Wow, you can see how stronger the shortwave trended here...squint hard enough
  8. Heisy
    Rgem looks really good curious where it goes from there heh
  9. Heisy
  10. Heisy
    Because there is still a question of how Far East the storm forms etc. models keep trending better though
  11. Heisy
    I’d ignore the 12km and stick with the 3km, that being said it’s still a very good hit for a progressive system. If that fgen band forms as the NAM says someone inside the max axis would have a shot at 8” of heavy wet snow as it should promote heavy rates and good snow growth
  12. Heisy
    That’s one of the beefiest means you’ll see at this range on the EPS for day 8-10
  13. Heisy
    Quite the difference between 3km NAM and 12km heh....before last event tony (rainshadow) posted the model that’s supposed to be replacing the NAM eventually. It did a decent job. I’ll see if he can post it later today for this event
  14. Heisy
    Yea great run. Not quite, but starting to get bit of a consensus here.
  15. Heisy
    6z gfs slightly improved, bit more ridging thru 51hrs
  16. Heisy
    Before the last event on our Philly forum Tony (rainshadow) posted the model that’s supposed to be replacing the NAM soon. I forget what it’s called, but it did an amazing job. I think it begins with a C but idk lol. I’ll see if I can get a snow map off its recent run. I found it... so supposedly this will be the model replacing the NAM. This was its forecast before the last event
  17. Heisy
    The 00z eps is back to progressing the pattern the way I originally mentioned. Where the TPV heads east and the main low is behind that instead of being a front out ahead of it. This is a juicy mean for this time frame. Legit.
  18. Heisy
    What is the NAM nest? Like an ensemble of all the different resolutions?
  19. Heisy
    Icon is gonna have the day 7-8 overrunning beast event that the gfs has too FYI.
  20. Heisy
    I have it out, it looks like NAM to a degree with that heavy stripe
  21. Heisy
    Was really hoping to nab the cmc/rgem tonight. It’s not an all hope is lost type thing but it’s a big red flag
  22. Heisy
    Think this is just the NAM correcting to rest of guidance. It was obv a bit over amped. Once we get under 24-36 hours we can start seeing if the fronto band can get far enough N to get the heavier stuff into Philly/nyc.
  23. Heisy
    Vs
  24. Heisy
    Idk this looks better to me ?
  25. Heisy
    When it comes to the LR the euro will always be #1 imo. Frankly it sniffs these out much faster than other models. At this range though it is susceptible to ticks in either direction. Seems odd but happens. This really feels like an event where we see an uptick on the euro once inside 48 hours. Idk, just has that setup
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