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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    CMC still dumps the tpv out west (which I don’t think will happen) but still delivers. I wonder if the big block near epo land that the 12z gfs showed was/is the culprit.
  2. Heisy
    12z cmc has 3 separate waves that bring snow in the region, unreal!
  3. Heisy
    Nice hit 12z GFS, 4-8 6-10 in spots SE PA jackpot
  4. Heisy
    That band was killer down here in SE pa. 1-2” hr
  5. Heisy
    I’m in extreme SE pa but I just don’t see it. It better switch to all snow and stick soon because this thing is flying. At this rate I think a slushy inch here
  6. Heisy
    How can I get locations to show up on mobile? Where you at Kamu? very concerned here at Ne airport. Could be another temp bust
  7. Heisy
    This isn’t looking great folks. Just enjoy whatever happens.
  8. Heisy
    Thing is all the models last night got iffy down here in Philly. Heavy precip aimed more towards your way. I don’t see it getting worse but I guess it could. Just something to keep an eye on. Yesterday it was Mid atlantic & then last night pretty big bump N on most of guidance. This looks like a really good setup for Philly burbs into NYC & SNE
  9. Heisy
    I think what happened is a lot of these maps came out yesterday when NAM was going nutty. It’s a weekend so they dont update them. Not like you can expect them to change every 6 hours. I’d be Absolutely stunned shocked if Philly got 8”, there’s just no way. This is a 3-5” event with Isolated 6-7” in NJ imo
  10. Heisy
    Meant yours in NYC/Li. Looks better down towards NJ but I’m going off on SV so hard to say for sure without wxbell gradient totals. I know it def was better up in SNE
  11. Heisy
    18z euro tick better for the region
  12. Heisy
    Pretty much all the data heh. His call is spot on imo.
  13. Heisy
    Valentine’s Day 2007 I believe
  14. Heisy
    Weenie happy hour GFS run. Keeps confluence strong enough for wednesday night-Thursday. Might even be cold enough with next wave too
  15. Heisy
    That’s an archambault event imo. Has a really good 50/50 & Hp early on but the trough is linked too far into the northwest and it takes too long to come east. Long way out
  16. Heisy
    could be a pretty massive ice storm down in VA... Also, Half inch of ice up near Allentown on top of all the snow they’ve had and will get sounds pretty terrible to me. That’d be wild.
  17. Heisy
    Thanks, the 12z gfs has “the heisy” event I’ve been talking about. It tracks a bit inland at H5 but is a classic archambault timing event imo. This is when the ULL moves towards the 50/50 region and the block breaks down
  18. Heisy
    3” is my goal in northeast Philly. Well see. Just to see some heavy snow for an hour would be cool.
  19. Heisy
    Cmc has a really bad ice storm day 5. On top of that looks like 3-5” or so falls before the changeover, plus the freezing rain is overnight. Anyone have maps? Curious how much snow it has before the changeover
  20. Heisy
    Rgem and icon East FYI. Worried the NAM had the fgen too far NW
  21. Heisy
    Actually it’s right in its range imo so should start looking like the rest of guidance. I wouldn’t use NAM or rgem outside 36-48 hours and honestly 9.99/10 go with the EPS for the snow axis and the mesos inside 24 hours for last second adjustments. that being said I was personally very happy To see rgem shift like that. Haha
  22. Heisy
    This is the Wentz storm time frame btw. Hope it can deliver. The big tpv has finally moved to 50/50 land. I’ll take my chances with this look! Just gotta get that pna ridge east a bit
  23. Heisy
    Some of this is probably sleet, but check out this 00z eps snow mean for end of the run lol. Mjo you have the eps wxbell by chance?
  24. Heisy
    Sounds about right. The rgem ticking was huge. I think the better totals will be just east of 95 though, but I guess climo argues otherwise. Regardless anyone complaining about even 3-4” a few days after a mecs and with another event in the day 6 vicinity is nuts. This is awesome! Let’s get some tsnow tomorrow
  25. Heisy
    Some of the maps don’t let you for some reason it’s odd. Only reason I screenshot
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