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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Better map Snow comes in like a wall. Good stuff kuchera for comp.
  2. Yep, comes in at a good time too. Early morning. Wake up drink some coffee and watch the radar light up with some fronto banding. Nothing better. Let’s gooo
  3. Yea on stormvista plots I have no clue what ptype either.
  4. Haha, so you know the tale of the Heisy curse. I kind of broke it though on my recent chase to Dover NJ, finally didn’t get screwed
  5. Hey fellas if I decide to come chase where do you think I set up shop? Roc?
  6. We have a met on Philly forum that has done some stat verifications on it. It runs too cold. Overall it’s done a decent job this winter imo. Bottom line is you want it to be showing snow if there’s a chance. Just another piece of guidance though.
  7. I’d say both heh. Heavier precip on lead edge. Stronger HP but Thicknesses a touch N since main wave is slightly stronger.Here was 1hr snow on last period. This was some heavy stuff
  8. This looks like one of those 6 hour thumps. So it’s how much snow you can squeeze in that time period. You’re usually looking at 6-7” tops. Hopefully we can pull off a 3-6
  9. That sucks on the snow. I thought it would show more. Is that a stepback from 00z? Just noise, precip was slightly lighter on N edge but the bottom line is colder. More widespread snow this run
  10. Nice hit on EURO. This winter full of surprises eh
  11. Thursday more and more interesting. Fact that it falls during the week and starts around 6-7am right during rush hour makes it a NWS nightmare.
  12. Ha sorta. Trust me we aren’t much better. In fact I’m planning to move to Worcester MA next fall if I can find work. I root for you guys to do well because that usually means I do well too. Especially with big events. Yeah occasionally we get clipped with Miller Bs that miss you, but meh.
  13. Cmc looks icon-ish to me, at least supports high risks post about gfs scouring out the cad too fast.
  14. Gfs hanging that ULL N of New England a bit longer this run...probably won’t be anything like Icon but might tick colder on a front end, maybe?
  15. Its not just the snow but the ice We need this. Just one time before the warmup. Post winter depression about to kick in
  16. 00z icon is pretty cold for Thursday...icon has a cold bias in the medium range, but fwiw total thru run.
  17. Don, statistically does having this strong of a recent -AO correlate to it coming back negative in a certain time period? Like you just said predicting it is almost impossible, but I guess I’m just asking do you think we could see one more blocking period in March?
  18. Yes. As long as guidance shows any chance at 1 or 2 feet I’m in. Living in Philly could be the last chance for me to see snow for 9months. Call me crazy idc!
  19. Does kuchera usually end up accurate at all up your way? It seems to love the south shore over the events. Pretty crazy difference between 10:1, think it’s like 20:1
  20. Icon has some snow Thursday for northern sections. Colder than 12z, getting there. (This is total entire run)
  21. Which supports the warm Tuesday—cold Thursday idea. There’s also more west coast ridging on GEFS vs eps. I wonder if that’s why the GEFS digs the wave deeper
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