Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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Sleet mixed in NE airport
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Thats odd, nice
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6z GFS has a major event day 9 lol. EURO too. Glimmer of hope for any people getting a bust today
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Even if it goes to sleet radar stil looks good for some decent IP accumulation
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Idk man. THis thing is racing. The flow is more ENE though so it wont go as fast N as usual, but itll probably get to like the Hatboro line there by 9am at the latest, well see
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Its coming lol....lets see how long we can hold. My goal is 4" in NE probably hit that.
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Gonna be a close call then....Would love to get 3-4" before a changeover.
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I think that map is wrong for parts of MD
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Hold off the sleet! it is beautiful out there
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This is incredible stuff falling right now!
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First flakes NE airport, common!
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Wow! Still nothing here NE Airport, must be at my doorstep
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Whats closest snow report near Philly right now? Birds which radar is that?
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Haha, well....I just might
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Oh yeah. Im gonna be gasing up shortly. My dad lives in Warminster might just head there. just dont wanna pay for a room or sit in my car so idk what ill do yet ha
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As always here in NE Philly living on the damn frigging edge. EVERY STORM it happens here lol.....
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With sleet and banding being an issue it makes sense. There will probably be some 8-10" totals mixed in somewhere NW of the city by the end of this.
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Central/ N Montco is where id wanna be right now based on radar.
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That Northern band up thru just NW of Philly from NW VA is where you can kind of tell is where the higher totals will end up being
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I personally really like the euro kuchera map as a good forecast. Probably factors in sleet/temps/intensity better based on it being farther NW
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FYI IMO this is why the 3km NAM has like no snow for the city with part 1. It has this fronto band setting up farther N. Philly gets clipped with backedge but by then your mid levels are blown. Right now I think 3km NAM is slightly farther N than radar obs. We gotta get in that banding ASAP if we want a more 12km/EURO look.
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Going to depend where that fronto band sets up. Right now based on radar I'd say a euro/nam compromise. Southern edge and beyond from that band will have mixing/precip intensity issues. Could be very similar to superbowl event. The differences in models is pretty impressive. Keep an eye on the radar, but right now I really like places just NW of the city. Tough call for Philly.
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Pretty nice 18z EURO run. Especially for NYC. NE Philly gets around 5-6". Kuchera map NW of 10:1
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Does the HREF only run once a day? let’s just hope some of the mesos are accurate with the fgen My final call for Philly: 3-5” with a light crust on it by the end.
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Both NAMs improvements for the city. After that latest EURO run we may end up lucking out here. Has the main thump directed right at us. Yeah we changeover to sleet at the tail end, but the damage is done, 3-6" isolated 7 spots
