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Everything posted by Heisy
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Whatever happens Friday it seems like a pretty good chance winter returns 29-30th . -
Look at the game being played out in the PAC with that Rex block. Shortwaves are being flipped right and left, absorbed and pushed through that before our wave hits the conus. Gonna be lots of changes up to 3 day window here each run .
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Shame too because the #1 analog on cansips yesterday was blizzard of 96 lol. The setup is there it’s just some things are slightly misplaced here and there for a full phase monster. Not going to get that barring a miracle, but we can certainly do well. Wish i had the means to get to Nova Scotia for this one lol .I bet if you took the GFS run and just shifted the entire planets H5 pattern west a little bet we’d get a blizzard of 96-like solution ha -
Ukie bombs in similar location to GFS It’s slightly farther E than GFs but it took a step l vs previous runs… .
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#1 on the list… just gonna leave this here. Not saying that’s going to happen obviously, just pointing out the pattern is def good lol .
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Booking my trip to Nova Scotia now, jesus lol .
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sorry I had to throw some DT classics in there, this is close to perfect let’s gooo! . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Wolf woof . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
ALEET . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Whoa this might get close here, does it make the turn in time?! . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Diving down farther west . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Any winter with a blizzard is a good winter. I don’t care if the rest of the days are sunny and 50 degrees. Give me one blizzard and I’d be a happy man. . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
6z eps control look like better phasing occurring. The problem for this event is the PNA ridge rolling over just doesn’t give this wave enough room to amplify. It’s why the GFS shoves the low SE. a modest event certainly possible though . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nah I’m all in for second threat. If it fails I’ll delete wxbell . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Wow, this screams MECS+ for Ne, if we can back up the trough a little more we could get in on this as well . -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Heisy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
What a cave job in 12 hours I do think E areas can do well if the trailer wave is strong enough to redevelop like a lot of eps members do. .- 449 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s close man, gfs was the last model to finally come on board with the wave crashing on shore so it’s the weakest of them all. For fun check out end of icon near Washington state that was a beast coming on shore. Setup is there just once again see if we can finally get lucky . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
For this threat root for the energy crashing on shore to trend stronger and for the tpv to tick East which imo will trap the incoming wave under it with the established block. We gotta cash something on these two threats . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Heisy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
For my own sanity I’ll move to the second threat. . -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Heisy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s still possible it could redevelop like a lot of the eps members did but this would favor E regions up thru SNE .- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Heisy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
It honestly looks like the euro now, pretty similar at H5. What a cave job in 12 hours .- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Heisy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Bleh, fade me crew .- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Heisy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I don’t like this trend here, see what happens… .- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Heisy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
So the 18z icon and icon are in the camp of focusing on that first wave. They’re both too warm for us because of how far NW it is. The images below are the 12z icon, Ukie, then the 3rd one was the 00z Ukie, which was maybe the hottest H5 run we’ve had. A low developing on that wave isn’t ideal. .- 449 replies
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