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Everything posted by Heisy
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Oh I’m in heaven ha was just speculating. Radar rep kind of reminds me of a farther southwest nemo, cough, feb 2013 lol
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Curious How far north do the 40 DBz gets ,band extending west from metro etc will jackpot especially towards pa border.
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Wonder if the oranges will hold into N Nj or maybe shift west with more of a wnw movement.
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Getting slammed here in Dover. At this rate with the radar I don’t see how I don’t beat 20, and may push 2 ft+
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Weathertap just sign up for free trial or RadarScope app 10 bux one time. Or this is free... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-Mid_Atlantic-comp_radar-12-1-100-2&checked=map-plot&colorbar=undefined
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6* I mean it’s not impossible. Hrrr doesn’t seem like it’s matching radar obs to me so that’s good
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The coastal is in the process of forming. Fgen band still hours away from forming
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Haha I have the same issue. Our weenie minds don’t let us sleep. Try to get as much as you can now. I got 3 or 4 hours tonight so far
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Dover NJ, I never measure for some reason. I suspect I will have no way to eyeball this one. I forgot how much more wind you guys get up this way. I have drifting already this is going to be wild.
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Happy I chose northern NJ to chase! I feel bad for my brethren down in Philly if 00z euro comes to pass but this would be top 5 snowstorm I’ve ever witnessed. Anyone have wxbell maps?
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January 31-February 2, 2021 Major Winter Storm Observations
Heisy replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
00z euro makes no sense to me. Blip run? I don’t buy it, especially after what 18z did and rest of guidance tonight -
January 31-February 2, 2021 Major Winter Storm Observations
Heisy replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
I think consistent accumulation stuff moves in close to 9-10am, the orientation of the cold conveyor belt snows probably won’t be known until we see how low forms, how close it tucks etc -
January 31-February 2, 2021 Major Winter Storm Observations
Heisy replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Don’t kill the guy. The ccb snows don’t start reaching here until late morning, do not expect a ton until then best lift further N right now -
Not that one, ugh it’s calling me. I think it starts with a R. It has the black background instead of white
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I knew this would happen. I’m in dover nj right now. My best shot would be tomorrow during the break but I doubt it. Could you imagine if 00z euro and NAM give northeast Philly more than me out here? I swear im the biggest jinx in the world it makes absolutely no sense
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What’s that short term meso model New England posters use a lot I forget what it’s called. Ugh it’s escaping me. Weatherfella loves it haha, curious what it shows
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NAM has to be wrong this isn’t possible this close to a storm right?
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18z euro low was a tiny bit stronger than 12z. The model battle in Philly is epic. Never seen this much difference so far close to a storm
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True my bad. It’s relative, the low was stronger than 12z run
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Either the NAM is out to lunch or this is the greatest fail by the euro of all time. This is snowiest run yet for city I believe
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Euro crushes city, it did not tick NE
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Heisy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is exactly how I’ve learned. I went to met school for 2.5 years but I feel like learning “backwards” goes a long way in this field. You start looking at H5, H7 eventually you know what’s “good” and what’s “not”. Like today’s euro I looked at H5 and knew it was a huge east coast snowstorm. I really didn’t even have to look at surface or precip map. You start seeing the nuances and little things. I have trouble verbalizing what I’m seeing sometimes with met language, but if you sat here with me during a model run and I could talk to you you’d see the difference with me. I am far from a met compared to bob, psu and others, but yeah chill’s post was awesome. -
No clue I don’t know much about the area it’s just one I found. I’m driving at a light, could you pm me a link to one?
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Hey guys I’m headed to Dover nj, gonna be fun
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Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event
Heisy replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Ukie had that look at 144 too I thought this was hella ominous, probably want that ridge a bit farther east, but threat is Legit, gefs have it too